PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits (user search)
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  PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP/LA-02: Cao down by double digits  (Read 7047 times)
Nichlemn
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,920


« on: October 05, 2010, 03:57:18 AM »

It was humorous to see folks suggest that he might possibly win re-election.

People said the same about Walt Minnick.  Smiley

     Democrats tend to be more partisan, from what I can tell. Minnick is conservative enough to be able to easily hold his district, while Cao is sunk more or less by virtue of the fact that he has an R next to his name.

I think racial voting has something to do with it as well. A liberal Republican probably has a reasonable shot of holding a white liberal Democratic district. (That said, Cao probably isn't liberal enough for his district anyway).
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Nichlemn
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,920


« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2010, 08:43:54 AM »

fivethirtyeight still gives Cao about a 1/3 chance of winning (although without this poll I think). You can't just say that's due to Cao's internal where he was up big, because that poll is hardly weighted at all.
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