NY: CNN/Time: Son-of-Cuomo Up 14
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  NY: CNN/Time: Son-of-Cuomo Up 14
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Author Topic: NY: CNN/Time: Son-of-Cuomo Up 14  (Read 451 times)
cinyc
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« on: October 06, 2010, 06:54:45 PM »

NY: CNN/Time by Opinion Research Corp

Likely Voters:
Cuomo  (D)     - 55%
Paladino (R)    - 41%
Other/Neither   -  2%
No Opinion        -  1%

October 1-5; 585 LV; MOE +/- 4%

Registered Voters
Cuomo (D)        - 65%
Paladino (R)      - 31%
Other/Neither   -  2%
No Opinion        -  1%

October 1-5; 1315 RV; MOE +/- 2.5%
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2010, 07:00:49 PM »

Of the four states CNN/Time released polls for today (MO was the other), the Democratic lack-of-enthusiasm gap is most evident in New York.   New York's LV poll is the only of the four with a +/- 4 MOE.  

As a result (perhaps), the crosstabs aren't as complete as in the other states.  There were only enough voters in NYC and the Hudson Valley for a regional breakdown.  Cuomo leads in NYC 79-18 and the Hudson Valley 50-45.   Similarly, Cuomo leads in urban areas 74-22, but trails in the suburbs 50-46 and exurbs 51-45.

Someone else will have to add this to the database.  I don't have access.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2010, 07:04:04 PM »

Yeah, that's a ridiculously huge gap between Likely Voters and Registered Voters here.
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2010, 08:15:35 PM »

Yeah, that's a ridiculously huge gap between Likely Voters and Registered Voters here.

Not-so-close races = lower turnout, I suppose.

Quinnipiac promises a NY Governor poll at 6:30AM tomorrow.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2010, 08:32:40 PM »

Yeah, that's a ridiculously huge gap between Likely Voters and Registered Voters here.

Not-so-close races = lower turnout, I suppose.

Quinnipiac promises a NY Governor poll at 6:30AM tomorrow.

Ah, very interesting. I've been waiting for them and SUSA to check in again.
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2010, 10:09:22 PM »

Yeah, that's a ridiculously huge gap between Likely Voters and Registered Voters here.

Not really a surprise that a moderate hero versus an extreme wingnut would produce a large gap, although 20 points is rather extreme.
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