PA-13: POS(R): Keep both hands on the keyboard, Phil, but ...

[Keystone Phil]

Crazy things happen during a wave, my friends. 

[Keystone Phil]

I wonder if this race would have been a probable Republican pickup had Schwartz run for governor or Senate this year.

Schwartz wouldn't run for Governor. It was her plan to run for the Senate, though, before Specter switched.

This seat is difficult but the main reason why Schwartz is able to hang on is because she has a ton of cash and personally popular. Without her as the nominee, the GOP would certainly have a better shot at winning.

One thing is for certain with this race: Schwartz won't be breaking 60% this year. 

[Keystone Phil]

I put this as on the outside of "Watch List" and I'm sticking to it.  I'm calling:

Schwartz (D): 58%
Adcock (R): 42%

Much closer. 

[Keystone Phil]

I put this as on the outside of "Watch List" and I'm sticking to it.  I'm calling:

Schwartz (D): 58%
Adcock (R): 42%

Much closer. 

For the record, I agree.

Schwartz (D): 56%
Adcock (R): 43%

Not what you were expecting?

Are you expecting 1% for a write in? There aren't any third party candidates this year. 

[Keystone Phil]

I don't think I can trust any pollster that has the name "POS".

Yeah, I never understood how they could stick with that name given the acronym.

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This could be one of the surprises. PA 3 is basically finished and PA 10 is still competitive and very close.