ARG came in last for state predictions
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  ARG came in last for state predictions
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Author Topic: ARG came in last for state predictions  (Read 1531 times)
King
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« on: November 11, 2004, 11:11:59 PM »
« edited: November 11, 2004, 11:13:36 PM by SCJ King »

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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2004, 11:29:06 PM »

They didn't even get the winner right.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2004, 12:55:49 AM »
« Edited: November 12, 2004, 12:58:15 AM by Gov. NickG »

ARG's last poll before the election had New Hampshire and Wisconsin tied...I'm not sure why you have them going for Bush.  They were actually right on the money with these polls.  They also had WV tied, but this was two months before the election, and again, I'm not sure why you have it going for Kerry.

In six of their final eight polls the week before the election, they were within 2% of the correct result.  It was really an excellent record...I'm don't know how you can claim they came in last.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2004, 02:38:42 AM »

ARG statewise was good in the upper Midwest, and ok in New Hampshire.

Their polling sucked in the Southwest, Ohio and the entire South.

Based on this election and 2000, I'm convinced they should never poll in the South again.  They don't understand the dynamics, nothing that goes on in that area of the country at all.

Their national poll sucked too.

Only Gallup's (and Zogby's) state polling was worse.  Let that be a warning.  Smiley
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