PA: PPP: Sestak +1 (user search)
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  PA: PPP: Sestak +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA: PPP: Sestak +1  (Read 4782 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« on: October 19, 2010, 08:58:19 AM »

There were many reasons why this race should have been expected to tighten up. Sestak ahead? That's a bigger leap than that. I don't believe this poll, but I have hope here that I've lost for most other races.
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2010, 10:20:33 AM »
« Edited: October 19, 2010, 10:32:52 AM by brittain33 »

From twitter....

jimgeraghty
jimgeraghty
5 minutes ago
% of Democrats in exit polls in PA: 2004, 41%; 2006, 43%; 2008, 44%. Democrats in PPP PA sample today: 48%.


Well, how much of that is due to overweighting of Dems vis a vis Republicans, and how much of it is due to Indys showing up in lower numbers overall, which wouldn't have the same effect? Did Geraghty compare R numbers?

To be sure, I don't believe this poll's top line, and there may be some D oversampling; but I do think the race is closer than it has been.
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