IL: Mason-Dixon: Kirk 43% Giannoulias 41%

[mypalfish]

Kirk 43%
Giannoulias 41%

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/illinois/article_965c3e74-de4f-11df-a0da-0017a4a78c22.html

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Seems to be the general narrative here. Kirk is in the low 40s, Alexi G is in the lower 40s.

[Tender Branson]

Interesting that they only polled Alexi vs. Kirk with Jones (G) missing.

Also, a lot of Democrats are still undecided - more than 20% in this poll.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Its within the margin of error I am not concerned, as long as thie Governors racce is with five pts I am satisfied both Quinn and Alexi will eventually pull it out.

[Franzl]

Seems to be broad agreement that Kirk is leading at this point....but I wouldn't be all that confident yet in his position.

[Torie]

Seems to be broad agreement that Kirk is leading at this point....but I wouldn't be all that confident yet in his position.

Is the Chicago machine still turning out voters in the way it used to, particularly black voters? Does the machine even exist anymore for all intents and purposes? Can Obama fire them up?  

[sg0508]

Again, the issue is, there are still quite a few undecided voters and probably 2/3 of them are in Cook.  What are the odds that they break near 50/50 so that Kirk comes out ahead?

48-46% is a lot better to me thatn 43-41% for that reason, even though the margin of error tells us that nobody is leading.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I still fear this race will end up as a D victory because Kirk remains in the lower 40s despite leading. We shall see. It would be a shame to see him lose. I like Kirk.

[Franzl]

I still fear this race will end up as a D victory because Kirk remains in the lower 40s despite leading. We shall see. It would be a shame to see him lose. I like Kirk.

yeah that is concerning....but don't forget that 3rd parties should be relatively strong this year....especially the Green guy.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I still fear this race will end up as a D victory because Kirk remains in the lower 40s despite leading. We shall see. It would be a shame to see him lose. I like Kirk.

yeah that is concerning....but don't forget that 3rd parties should be relatively strong this year....especially the Green guy.

You mean Alvin Greene? He is especially strong!

[Tender Branson]

Bill Clinton campaigning in Illinois next week should probably turn up the heat for the Republicans.