US House Redistricting: General

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Any chance of something like this passing in Oregon in 2021?

https://davesredistricting.org/join/b3a39d40-0280-41b6-bbd4-a3f1c423d267



Obviously the numbers aren't going to be precise, but the general idea is putting Salem and Eugene in one district.   The numbers actually work pretty well for the most part,  Washington and Yamhill are almost exactly one district with 2018 numbers.

Multnomah County	811880
Clackamas County	416075
Clatsop County	39764
Columbia County	52377
Tillamook County	26787
Total	1346883
Districts	1.928382593
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Washington County	597695
Yamhill County	107002
Total	704697
Districts	1.008940961
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Eugene (City)	171,245
Salem (City)	173,442
Benton County	92101
Lincoln County	49388
Polk County	85234
Total	571,410
Districts	0.818108995

I think the northwest rural counties are a bit ugly, but not terrible.  

This map underestimates Portland's population growth and needlessly chops up communities of interest (Multnomah and Clackamas Counties, as well as the Northwest Coast should be attached to Washington County; Marion should be left intact, and looping East Salem, Corvallis, and the City of Eugene into one district is disengenuous. Also, this is clearly a 4D-2R map, when a 5D-1R map can easily and fairly be drawn while taking into account simpler county combos (Clackamas and Marion being an obvious one) just like this:

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Any chance of something like this passing in Oregon in 2021?

https://davesredistricting.org/join/b3a39d40-0280-41b6-bbd4-a3f1c423d267



Obviously the numbers aren't going to be precise, but the general idea is putting Salem and Eugene in one district.   The numbers actually work pretty well for the most part,  Washington and Yamhill are almost exactly one district with 2018 numbers.

Multnomah County	811880
Clackamas County	416075
Clatsop County	39764
Columbia County	52377
Tillamook County	26787
Total	1346883
Districts	1.928382593
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Washington County	597695
Yamhill County	107002
Total	704697
Districts	1.008940961
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Eugene (City)	171,245
Salem (City)	173,442
Benton County	92101
Lincoln County	49388
Polk County	85234
Total	571,410
Districts	0.818108995

I think the northwest rural counties are a bit ugly, but not terrible.  

This map underestimates Portland's population growth and needlessly chops up communities of interest (Multnomah and Clackamas Counties, as well as the Northwest Coast should be attached to Washington County; Marion should be left intact, and looping East Salem, Corvallis, and the City of Eugene into one district is disengenuous. Also, this is clearly a 4D-2R map, when a 5D-1R map can easily and fairly be drawn while taking into account simpler county combos (Clackamas and Marion being an obvious one) just like this:

Isn't the purple district a little questionable for Democrats?

It's D+6 or so.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Any chance of something like this passing in Oregon in 2021?

https://davesredistricting.org/join/b3a39d40-0280-41b6-bbd4-a3f1c423d267



Obviously the numbers aren't going to be precise, but the general idea is putting Salem and Eugene in one district.   The numbers actually work pretty well for the most part,  Washington and Yamhill are almost exactly one district with 2018 numbers.

Multnomah County	811880
Clackamas County	416075
Clatsop County	39764
Columbia County	52377
Tillamook County	26787
Total	1346883
Districts	1.928382593
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Washington County	597695
Yamhill County	107002
Total	704697
Districts	1.008940961
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx	xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Eugene (City)	171,245
Salem (City)	173,442
Benton County	92101
Lincoln County	49388
Polk County	85234
Total	571,410
Districts	0.818108995

I think the northwest rural counties are a bit ugly, but not terrible.  

This map underestimates Portland's population growth and needlessly chops up communities of interest (Multnomah and Clackamas Counties, as well as the Northwest Coast should be attached to Washington County; Marion should be left intact, and looping East Salem, Corvallis, and the City of Eugene into one district is disengenuous. Also, this is clearly a 4D-2R map, when a 5D-1R map can easily and fairly be drawn while taking into account simpler county combos (Clackamas and Marion being an obvious one) just like this:

Isn't the purple district a little questionable for Democrats?

It's D+6 or so.

When I drew the purple district in DRA, I got R+2 12/16 CPVI. Like I said DON"T USE OBAMA 08 NUMBERS! HORRIBLY OUTDATED! Obama+6 in '08 isn't even that strong of a result.

I know. I just assumed this area was trending heavily D. Regardless, you can just swap out east Multnomah County for Sellwood and Lents and shore it up.