Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 18, 2020, 02:04:22 am
News: 2020 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  General Politics
  Political Geography & Demographics (Moderator: muon2)
  US House Redistricting: General (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: US House Redistricting: General  (Read 96997 times)
👁️👁️
The Impartial Spectator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,894


P
« on: January 11, 2020, 02:03:30 am »



1 - D+23 (48% BVAP)
2 - D+22 (48% BVAP)
3 - D+6
4 - D+26 (57% HVAP)
5 - D+21
6 - D+16 (39% HVAP)
7 - D+22 (48% BVAP)
8 - D+8
9 - D+8
10 - D+7
11 - D+6
12 - R+19
13 - D+6
14 - D+12
15 - R+19
16 - R+13
17 - D+4

A different take on an Illinois Dem gerrymander. All sitting dem congressmen keep their own seperate
districts.

There should be more districts going into Chicagoland, but you are on the right track.
Logged
👁️👁️
The Impartial Spectator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,894


P
« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2020, 08:12:29 pm »

I feel like a map this messy would backfire hard in some way. Either it ends up becoming a dummymander or it gets thrown out by a court.  

If it were to get thrown out by a court, that would be a plus, because it would set precedent against partisan gerrymandering that would also throw out GOP gerrymandering. So Dems should be super-aggressive, with the goal of disenfranchising every Republican in Illinois (or else coming as close to that as possible). Likewise in states like MD they should draw an 8-0 map to rig the elections.
Logged
👁️👁️
The Impartial Spectator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,894


P
« Reply #2 on: January 11, 2020, 10:08:39 pm »

There should be more districts going into Chicagoland, but you are on the right track.

You can already draw 2 Dem seats downstate (the 2 squiggles). You can't really get up to a 15-2 map without far worse boundaries and annoying a lot of incumbent D congressmen.

I was trying to say what should happen (as egregious as possible of a gerrymander should be drawn, and if it gets struck down for partisan gerrymandering, that is win-win), not what would necessarily in fact happen.

I wouldn't trust that downstate Dem districts will necessarily stay Dem - it is safer to draw them into Chicagoland than to assume that they won't become more Republican (in particular Cheri Bustos' district).

You can draw 15-2 though, i.e. https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=294399.msg6543428#msg6543428
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC