NY-19: Siena: Hall takes the lead

[Rowan]

NY-19

Hall: 47%
Hayworth: 46%

http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/Parents_and_Community/Community_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/19thCD2010PollRelease2Final.pdf

[Lief 🗽]

Nice! If we can re-elect congressmen like Hall, losing the House won't sting that badly.

[Meeker]

Really hope this comes true.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Nice! If we can re-elect congressmen like Hall, losing the House won't sting that badly.

[Eraserhead]

Hall is (barely) leading but Murphy is getting trounced? Uhh... okay.

My only guess as to why that would be the case is because Hall and his people saw the threat coming far earlier and attacked Hayworth accordingly.

[Miles]

Siena has been kinder to NY Dems than most other pollsters. Still, its a pure tossup.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Hall is (barely) leading but Murphy is getting trounced? Uhh... okay.

My only guess as to why that would be the case is because Hall and his people saw the threat coming far earlier and attacked Hayworth accordingly.

That may be so, though would be weird when you consider how close the by-election was. Of course it could just be because the polls are crap.

[Sam Spade]

Hall is (barely) leading but Murphy is getting trounced? Uhh... okay.

My only guess as to why that would be the case is because Hall and his people saw the threat coming far earlier and attacked Hayworth accordingly.

That may be so, though would be weird when you consider how close the by-election was. Of course it could just be because the polls are crap.

With Siena, which is classic crap polling, anything is possible.

[Vepres]

Hall is (barely) leading but Murphy is getting trounced? Uhh... okay.

My only guess as to why that would be the case is because Hall and his people saw the threat coming far earlier and attacked Hayworth accordingly.

That may be so, though would be weird when you consider how close the by-election was. Of course it could just be because the polls are crap.

With Siena, which is classic crap polling, anything is possible.

House polling is bad in general (except AL seats, of course).

[hotpprs]

I live in this district and the primary concern on voters minds is their standard of living.
This is a middle class district in the shadows of some very wealthy districts in the suburbs of NY. Many households would be considered rich in most parts of the country, but many, not all, are just struggling to make ends meet here.
We threw Sue Kelly out because she was a rubber stamp for Bush. She was oblivious and stunned when she was defeated. We are going to throw John Hall out because he is a rubber stamp for Obama. He is going to feel the same way. It just shows how out of touch members of Congress get when they go to Washington. They put out their stupid newsletters, but I wonder how much of their grassroots e-mails ever reaches them. You have to blame their staffs if they really don't know how their constituents feel.
In both cases, we felt that we were unrepresented by Washington. The Bush and Obama eras so far just left us losing ground every year while they took care of their political cronies.
This election is the classic case where if the incumbent can't break 50% before the election, they won't be able to break it on election day.
So with Hayworth winning, this will be the one lone bright spot for me in this pathetic state with Democrats kicking butt here tomorrow.
The private sector workers will have to start looking for houses down in North Carolina and Florida again as we haven't learned any lessons from California.