WA-09: SurveyUSA: Adam Smith (D) in a tough fight with Dick Muri (R)
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  WA-09: SurveyUSA: Adam Smith (D) in a tough fight with Dick Muri (R)
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Author Topic: WA-09: SurveyUSA: Adam Smith (D) in a tough fight with Dick Muri (R)  (Read 1921 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 27, 2010, 01:28:17 PM »

49% Adam Smith (D)
46% Dick Muri (R)

Already voted (46% of the sample):

49-47 Smith

Filtering: 700 registered voters from Washington's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/22/10 through 10/25/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 590 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. Smith, first elected to the House of Representatives in 1996, is seeking his 7th term. Muri is a Pierce County Councilman.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c6fc5c4c-fe61-45c9-bccf-52f623579ffc
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2010, 05:04:02 PM »

     The number of people who have already voted makes anyone leading at this juncture the overwhelming favorite. Looks like Adam Smith dodged a bullet here.
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Torie
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2010, 08:12:05 PM »

     The number of people who have already voted makes anyone leading at this juncture the overwhelming favorite. Looks like Adam Smith dodged a bullet here.

The margin of error would be more than Smith's margin, so assuming this poll is accurate in its sampling techniques, and respondents are telling the truth, not really.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2010, 08:14:54 PM »

Yeah, a two-point lead is nothing with a MoE of +/-6%.

A Muri victory would be a genuine shock based on everything I know about this race, though.  A margin of only 3 would be a surprise.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2010, 09:17:33 PM »

The invisible hand will guide him toward victory.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2010, 09:29:31 PM »

     The number of people who have already voted makes anyone leading at this juncture the overwhelming favorite. Looks like Adam Smith dodged a bullet here.

The margin of error would be more than Smith's margin, so assuming this poll is accurate in its sampling techniques, and respondents are telling the truth, not really.

     I shoot from the hip, if you don't know. No margin is too small for me to make predictions off of. Tongue
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