Maine Republicans Closing Fast

[cinyc]

Recent polls have put Republicans in front or within striking distance in ME-01, ME-02, NH-01, NH-02, MA-04, MA-10, RI-01, CT-04 and CT-05.  And who knows what's going on in some of the other under-the-radar MA districts.

New England is shaping up to be a potential Democratic bloodbath.  Not bad for a region with zero Republican Congressmen right now.

[cinyc]

Yeah, so now it's a 19-point swing over two weeks in ME-01. Sure.

Maine is one of those 2 CD states where pollsters split 500-600 statewide LV poll samples to provide CD-level polling, leading to high MoEs - usually around 6%.  That almost always leads to higher variation than usual.