NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) (user search)
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  NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM) (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who won the 2010 election?
#1
Republicans		  
#2
Democrats		  
#3
Neither Party		  
#4
Both Parties		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 78

Author Topic: NATIONAL SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS THREAD (LATE RESULTS/POSTMORTEM)  (Read 158003 times)
cinyc
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« on: November 02, 2010, 05:41:37 PM »
First Dashboard:
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2010, 05:48:57 PM »
Quote from: Dan the Roman on November 02, 2010, 05:46:45 PM
Given the margins the GOP is racking up in its safe seats in Kentucky I can see them winning the generic ballot by 15 and not gaining more than 55 seats.

It's early though, even in Kentucky, very little is in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2010, 05:57:16 PM »
KY-06 had a big swing to the Democrat in the last dump (but only 3% is in).
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2010, 06:07:49 PM »
Dem is up by 11.3 in KY-06 with 13% in. 
Reps up by 10+ in IN-02. IN-08 and IN-09. 
Rep up by 7.8 in KY-03.
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2010, 06:10:09 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on November 02, 2010, 06:09:07 PM
Fayette's coming in, so Chandler's still at a 10-point lead. He's actually ahead in many of the counties now, so he's doing okay.

Chandler is in which district?
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2010, 06:14:26 PM »
With 1% in, R leads NH-02 by 16.7%
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cinyc
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2010, 06:19:38 PM »
Updated Dashboard - KY-03 and -06 are Dem leads now.  No Rep Watch List or Dem targets are in yet.
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: November 02, 2010, 06:40:00 PM »
Updated Dashboard - with a Dem target on it now:
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cinyc
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« Reply #8 on: November 02, 2010, 06:49:20 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 02, 2010, 06:41:35 PM
Indiana is looking terrifying at the moment...

Yeah, but the Northwest Indiana annex to Chicagoland closes later than the rest of the state, as does the Evansville area.
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cinyc
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« Reply #9 on: November 02, 2010, 06:51:20 PM »

Those are Sam Spade's rankings, not my model.  The upset was with 1% in, so it should reverse itself.
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cinyc
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« Reply #10 on: November 02, 2010, 06:56:28 PM »

TO early to tell, really.
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cinyc
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« Reply #11 on: November 02, 2010, 06:58:59 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 02, 2010, 06:55:14 PM
Bridgeport, CT precincts running out of ballots, and polls may be held open until 10pm:

http://www.wtnh.com/dpp/news/politics/hartford-no-problems-voting


Ah, yes, the old Democrat let's keep our precincts open longer trick.   I'm sick of those games.  Either all precincts remain open longer or none of them.
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cinyc
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« Reply #12 on: November 02, 2010, 07:01:02 PM »
Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on November 02, 2010, 06:59:26 PM
First results in from Ohio... Wilson up in OH-06, Gibbs and Renacci crushing in OH-18 and OH-16, respectively... and Jim Traficant is ahead of the Republican in OH-17.

Beam me up!
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cinyc
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« Reply #13 on: November 02, 2010, 07:01:35 PM »
Fox projects Blumenthal in CT, Coons in DE.
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cinyc
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« Reply #14 on: November 02, 2010, 07:08:55 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on November 02, 2010, 07:04:12 PM
Just as a note - Chandler-Barr tightened to 3500 (51-49) votes with 70% in.  Only 79% of Fayette in, but I really don't know these other areas by heart.

From the statewide PVI map, Fayette (Lexington) is the reddest center.  The counties around it are blue.   The next tier are mixed - toward the east, pink (D+0 to D+5); to the west generally blue.  
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cinyc
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« Reply #15 on: November 02, 2010, 07:09:59 PM »
Quote from: Lief on November 02, 2010, 07:07:50 PM
First pick-up of the night? Dems in DE-AL. Grin

Exit polling, I assume?  I don't see any results yet.
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cinyc
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« Reply #16 on: November 02, 2010, 07:11:41 PM »
IN-02 flipped over to the Dems (+2.5) with about half in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2010, 07:14:43 PM »

Fox called nothing.
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cinyc
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« Reply #18 on: November 02, 2010, 07:17:13 PM »
Updated Dashboard - more is trickling in:
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cinyc
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« Reply #19 on: November 02, 2010, 07:20:32 PM »
Overall, Republicans are leading in 25 of the seats with results.  Not all are listed as reporting if no precinct vote is in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #20 on: November 02, 2010, 07:21:01 PM »
Quote from: redcommander on November 02, 2010, 07:19:45 PM
Sandy Adams has picked up Suzanne Kosmas's seat.

Which seat is that?
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cinyc
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« Reply #21 on: November 02, 2010, 07:28:27 PM »
KY-06 has closed to within 0.3 points, Dem leading.  80+% in:
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cinyc
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« Reply #22 on: November 02, 2010, 07:31:12 PM »

That DEFINITELY depends on where the results are in from.
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cinyc
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« Reply #23 on: November 02, 2010, 07:36:00 PM »

They're early (I'm showing 0% in).  Who knows.

Dems lead in the other 3 MA watched races (MA-05, MA-06, MA-10) - but again, with little in.
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cinyc
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« Reply #24 on: November 02, 2010, 07:37:14 PM »
Updated Dashboard:





R leading in 33, after that run.  32, if you take out DE-AL.
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