SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV

[cinyc]

Can I get the template for the AP senate results pages? I have House, but not senate.

Good luck finding it.  I can't.

Here's the IN SoS:
http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/general/general2010

And KY:
http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/22208/37094/en/summary.html

[cinyc]

Rand PAUL (REP)      64.15%   696
Jack CONWAY (DEM)      35.85%   389
Strangely, 0 counties are reporting.

Meaningless without context.

The only context I can give is that it appears to be from KY-02.

[cinyc]

FWIW - the KY PVI bellwethers are Nelson, Woodford, Bourbon and Gallatin.  There are two others - but they experienced a big swing in 08:

Of the 6 KY PVI bellwethers, Perry County (Hazard) in the Appalachians had a huge double-digit swing away ftom the Democrats compared to the rest of the state - and simply can't be trusted.  Daviess County's (Owensboro) swing TOWARD the Democrats was noticeable, but much less pronounced.  The other 4 counties - all fairly rural with fewer than 20,000 votes cast in 2008 - are better KY PVI bellwethers.  Woodford had the least pronounced swing.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=126829.msg2697511#msg2697511

[cinyc]

If NV was tied on election day that's good for Reid since polls had him winning the early vote.

Exits likely include both early and election day vote.  They have in the past.

[cinyc]

Oh dear. Chandler's decent lead in KY-6? All votes in that race so far are from Fayette county.

That's not the case in the Senate race. Is that really true in the house race?

Not exactly.  It's mainly Fayette, though. (157 of the 240 precincts in).   Some of Anderson, Madison , Mercer and Scott are also in, last I checked.

[cinyc]

The exit poll has Manchin winning WV by over 10 points:

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#val=WVS01p1

Among women.  5 or 6 is more likely what the exit poll says.

[cinyc]

Kirk leads for the first time.  Pull away now Mark and let's go home with a moderate win1

Like PA, another Chicago/Cook reported early vs. late-reporting Downstate effect.

Rock Island, the IL bellwether is 49-45 Kirk right now.  We'll see if the statewide margin conforms to the norm.