SENATE/HOUSE RESULTS: IL, IN, KY, MI, MD, MO, OH, WV

[GMantis]

Rand PAUL (REP)      64.15%   696
Jack CONWAY (DEM)      35.85%   389
Strangely, 0 counties are reporting.

[GMantis]

Fox just called IN-02 for Walorski (R).

I think this doesn't indicate a call, but just a lead. They are still at 0 seats for both parties.

[GMantis]

25 of the Seats Republicans picked up plus Republican held seats in IL-10,WA-8 may likely go Democratic in 2012.

Also, I think you're ignoring the geopolitical challenges Obama is more than likely to face in the next 24 months:  99% chance Iraq and Afghanistan will be basket-cases with the US coming home losers…>50% chance Pakistan falls...90% chance Israel will fights another war with Lebanon when the Hezbollah takes over (this is already baked in and is a done deal and is simply awaiting the Special Tribunal for Lebanon), which could easily spill over to involve Syria and Iran…99% chance Turkey will continue its lurch away from secular government and align itself more and more with Iran….and so on and so on.

You're overestimating the degree to which most voters in the US care about the Middle East. In this election cycle, they were basically ignored. Iraq is already a basket case but because there are a bit less bombings than a few years ago the US army is abandoning the country, to general approval of the US public. As for Afghanistan, the Republicans will hardly attack him for his current aggressive policy there and if a proper narrative of decreased violence is made, an eventual withdrawal will be met with support.
There is no reason that an Israeli-Lebanon war should impact the Obama administration negatively. The last such war had little impact on US politics.
And the comment about Turkey is ridiculous. Obama, like Bush wants to use Turkey against the EU and Russia and whatever way Turkey moves will not change this.
In any case, the economy will probably be the leading election in the next election as well and will drive foreign policy to the sidelines.