PRE-ELECTION CHATTER THREAD (SENATE/HOUSE RACES)

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

From CNN Exit Poll:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Nhoj]

So voted about a half hour ago. 200 some voters had voted by then out of 500 some registered in the township. its a generally republican township, but I doubt the Dem ones in the county are much lower as in Wisconsin turnout is always high here.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

According to Republicans, turnout is record high in rural areas and low in urban areas.  According to Democrats, turnout record high in urban areas and low in rural areas.  Just as an FYI.

lol, about what I'd expect.

[Mr. Morden]

First real exit poll stories from the AP, not that they say much yet:

link

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Dave from Michigan]

I have a bad feeling the republican pickups aren't going to be as big as expected, but it's based on nothing.

[Keystone Phil]

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

MSNBC just said that Phila was doing about the same as 2006 (which was my conclusion).

They think it helps Sestack.  I think he needs more than 2006 to win this one.

I think Brady said they need 400,000 votes out of Philadelphia this year. They received about 360,000 in 2006.

Are we getting any turnout from across PA?

I heard things are very good for us.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Anybody heard anything on what turnout in Chicago is like?

[Insula Dei]

I have a bad feeling the republican pickups aren't going to be as big as expected, but it's based on nothing.

My gut feeling as well...

[Alcon]

The difference between 2006 and 2010 turnout isn't expected to be enough to rely on anecdotal reports in this way.

The anecdotes/possibly-fake-exit-polls definitely look more Republican this year, but considering the narrative and the enthusiasm, I don't think that's shocking.  Certainly no signs of a Democratic overperformance so far, though.

[Eraserhead]

From CNN Exit Poll:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

And they're supposed to win +70 seats with even worse favorables than the Democrats?

[Phony Moderate]

Those figures don't look particularly good for either party.

[Mr. Morden]

National Review is encouraged by the exits:

http://www.nationalreview.com/campaign-spot/252009/first-reactions-exits-if-not-exits-themselves

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I've got five reporting methods ready to go for tonight, CNN TV, CNN.com, NY Times, Politico, and my local NBC affiiate (kfor.com) for the Oklahoma results.

[Phony Moderate]

Ed Rendell says there's a high African-American turnout in Philly.

[Insula Dei]

Ed Rendell says there's a huge Afro-American turnout in Philly. Bigger than in 2006.

[Lief 🗽]

Rendell on Hardball: AFRICAN-AMERICAN TURNOUT IN PHILLY THROUGH THE ROOF, HIGHER THAN 2006, THEY "GET IT" THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE PRESIDENT; SESTAK HAS A REAL CHANCE

Rendell's interviews on Hardball are pretty much my favorite part of MSNBC.

[Insula Dei]

Good sign, I hope.

[Eraserhead]

Rendell says African-American turnout is big in Philadelphia and will be much stronger than it was in 2006.

[Torie]

From Campaign Spot. Ah the hype builds ... and builds ... and builds.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Eraserhead]

Rendell on Hardball: AFRICAN-AMERICAN TURNOUT IN PHILLY THROUGH THE ROOF, HIGHER THAN 2006, THEY "GET IT" THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE PRESIDENT; SESTAK HAS A REAL CHANCE

Rendell's interviews on Hardball are pretty much my favorite part of MSNBC.

You could tell he was pretty much writing off Onorato though. lol.

[ag]

I have a bad feeling the republican pickups aren't going to be as big as expected, but it's based on nothing.

Given how it was moving in the lasta few days, I'd say the other way around: Republicans should do a little bit better than predicted, say, by the headline numbers on fivethirtyeight. I'd consider it a success for the Dems, if they stay above 200 seats in the House. They should keep the Senate, though, barring a Lieberman defection.

[Insula Dei]

What to watch according to TNR:

http://www.tnr.com/blog/ed-kilgore/78782/comprehensive-2010-election-guide

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/11/02/light-turnout-in-nevada/

Turnout very light in Nevada so far.

Also, heard on twitter that turnout in University of Michigan is light, moderate turnout in Ann Arbor.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

I'm wary of these pre-exit polls. In 2008, they showed Obama slightly ahead in Virginia and a tie in some more swing states, yet it turned out to be about as bad as polls predicted.

My mind tells me it will be an absolute boodbath for Dems tonight, but my gut tells me the Dems somehow hold seats we thought were lost. I may be still spooked from 2006 and 2008 when the Democrats seemed to win all the tossup races.

[Mr. Morden]

Updated AP story on the exits:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20101102/ap_on_el_ge/us_exit_polls

You must be logged in to read this quote.