2011 State Elections in Germany (user search)
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Author Topic: 2011 State Elections in Germany  (Read 235461 times)
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« on: November 26, 2010, 11:56:39 AM »
Let's hope CDU-FDP get screwed... Any chance of this leading to anticipated elections ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2011, 08:26:38 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 20, 2011, 08:23:04 AM
Still depressingly low, but whatever ...

Don't complain, France had a 53% abstention in last regionals.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2011, 09:00:14 AM »
LOL Bayern...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2011, 12:16:38 PM »
Too bad, a "broad left" (SPD-Linke-Greens) coalition would have been great.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2011, 12:47:28 PM »
Quote from: Franzl on March 20, 2011, 12:34:13 PM
Quote from: RG Hans-im-Glück on March 20, 2011, 12:32:15 PM
We will see the NPD come over the 5%. Normally the numbers of the Nazi will be better in the evening.

Hope you're wrong.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2011, 10:41:01 AM »
20 minutes to go !
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2011, 10:58:27 AM »
Crossing fingers...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #7 on: March 27, 2011, 11:00:52 AM »
Green-SPD at 48.5% !

FDP at exactly 5% for now...
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #8 on: March 27, 2011, 11:07:58 AM »
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #9 on: March 27, 2011, 11:19:08 AM »

Seeing Franzl so enraged is rare enough to be enjoyable. Grin
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #10 on: March 27, 2011, 11:30:54 AM »
So will the FDP survive or not ? It looks dramatically close...
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #11 on: March 27, 2011, 11:41:09 AM »
5.1% Sad
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #12 on: March 27, 2011, 11:48:37 AM »
Why does the CDU get 60 while normally it would be entitled of 59 seats ? Are there Überhangtmandaten also at the Land level ? Huh
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #13 on: March 27, 2011, 01:21:16 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 27, 2011, 01:03:29 PM
With 28 of 70 districts counted:

39.2% CDU
23.9% Greens
23.2% SPD
  4.8% FDP
  3.2% Left
  2.1% Pirates
  1.2% REP
  1.0% NPD
  1.0% ÖDP
  0.4% Others

Please God don't make the FDP reach 5% ! Tongue
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #14 on: March 27, 2011, 01:33:31 PM »
Where can I follow the results in direct ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #15 on: March 27, 2011, 01:37:25 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 27, 2011, 01:35:51 PM
Quote from: Senator Antonio V on March 27, 2011, 01:33:31 PM
Where can I follow the results in direct ?

At the state statistics office, but the site is now slow as crap.

Link !
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #16 on: March 27, 2011, 01:38:12 PM »
Danke Schön Smiley
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #17 on: March 27, 2011, 01:43:52 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 27, 2011, 01:42:46 PM
The State Statistics Office is now broken ... Tongue

Yeah...
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #18 on: March 27, 2011, 01:54:21 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 27, 2011, 01:51:22 PM
With 64 of 70 districts counted:

39.2% CDU
24.1% Greens
23.1% SPD
  5.3% FDP
  2.8% Left
  2.1% Pirates
  1.2% REP
  1.0% NPD
  0.9% ÖDP
  0.3% Others

Hell.
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #19 on: March 27, 2011, 02:01:01 PM »
FDP will get in, final results around 47-44. Quite disappointing.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #20 on: March 27, 2011, 02:24:28 PM »
Quote from: new, improved Lewis Trondheim on March 27, 2011, 02:20:51 PM
NOW it's time for the champagne.

CDU 60
Greens 36
SPD 35
FDP 7

no worries.

138 seats ? I thought there were 139. Huh
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #21 on: March 27, 2011, 02:30:31 PM »
Quote from: new, improved Lewis Trondheim on March 27, 2011, 02:26:04 PM
Quote from: Senator Antonio V on March 27, 2011, 02:24:28 PM
Quote from: new, improved Lewis Trondheim on March 27, 2011, 02:20:51 PM
NOW it's time for the champagne.

CDU 60
Greens 36
SPD 35
FDP 7

no worries.

138 seats ? I thought there were 139. Huh
There are 120 plus what's needed to get things proportional. The problem is that, unlike in other states, the Ausgleich is done separately in four regions, which basically works as a small bonus for the largest party.

Oh, I see. A uselessly complicated systems that partly screw proportionality.

But after all, that's fine, nationwide proportional would just have switched a CDU seat to the FDP.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #22 on: March 28, 2011, 01:30:44 PM »
Any explanation of why the exit polls (I guess they were exit polls) overestimated the left's victory by almost two points (48-43 instead of 47-44) ? I know there's always a margin of error but that seems a bit far of. People too ashamed to admit they still voted for CDUor FDP ?
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #23 on: March 28, 2011, 02:09:08 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 28, 2011, 02:08:22 PM
This has been the case for almost all elections in Germany.

Exit Polls normally always underestimate the CDU by 1% and overestimate the Greens by about 1%.

Really ? Interesting phenomenon. Grin
Logged
Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,186
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83

P P
« Reply #24 on: March 31, 2011, 10:03:18 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on March 29, 2011, 05:56:45 AM
Here's a map of Left vs. Right in Baden-Württemberg:



The BW results are:

53.2% Left
46.7% Right

Which party do you include in left and right ?
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