GOP house gains in 2012?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And Maine doesn't redistrict till after 2012. And making ME-02 more Republican is rather tricky anyway as ME-01 doesn't have any notable GOP strongholds in it.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It'd be more logical to shove Dem areas into Holden's district than try to eliminate him. The GOP would be spreading themselves far too thin if they couldn't get Scranton in a Dem seat for example. Might survive in 2012 but would eventually backfire.

As for Altmire, eliminating him means only one Dem in western PA, from Pittsburgh. The area just isn't built for that. Even if it worked then, it would eventually backfire.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I predict TX will get a new Dem Hispanic seat and three new Republican seats. Not sure how the Ortiz or Rodriguez seats will end up too, the Rodriguez one could no doubt be held but the Ortiz one would be very difficult to do so without gerrymandering violating the VRA. Phips left off Arizona btw, which will likely get a new Hispanic majority seat as well (DOJ will likely mandate it, and redistricting is done by an independent commission so there will be no desire to gerrymander.) Florida is likely getting only one new seat and while Dems will probably pick up a seat or two under the new rules (The two most blatant examples of districts that can't survive them are FL-08 and FL-22, both of which will be replaced with new far more Democratic seats), the new seat will likely be around central Florida in those heavily GOP fast growing sprawly counties that still aren't suburban as there is nothing to be suburbs of (ugh, wonder why I hate that state?)

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

CO can't be required to make a Hispanic majority seat. It's not covered by that section of the VRA.

Making one would probably help the Democrats by pushing liberal Denver whites to CO-07.