Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 25, 2019, 06:03:45 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Eli Gorbinsky, Apocrypha)
  2011 and Beyond...
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9 10 11 ... 26 Print
Author Topic: 2011 and Beyond...  (Read 129664 times)
feeblepizza
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,915
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #125 on: November 30, 2010, 04:51:57 pm »

Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #126 on: December 01, 2010, 01:27:29 am »

OCTOBER 29 2011

Three days out from the 2011 Gubernatorial Elections, pollsters are putting out their final projections. Here is where the races stand heading into the final weekend:

KENTUCKY

PPP
Beshear-53%
Williams-44%

Quinnipiac
Beshear-54%
Williams-44%

SurveyUSA
Beshear-56%
Williams-42%

Mason-Dixon
Beshear-55%
Williams-43%

538.com:
Beshear-55.1%
Williams-44.9%

RATING: LIKELY DEMOCRATIC


LOUISIANA

PPP
Jindal-59%
Cazayoux-37%

Quinnipiac
Jindal-60%
Cazayoux-36%

Survey USA
Jindal-61%
Cazayoux-35%

Mason-Dixon
Jindal-59%
Cazayoux-36%

538.com:
Jindal-60.2%
Cazayoux-36.3%

OVERALL RATING: SAFE REPUBLICAN


MISSISSIPPI

PPP
Taylor-51%
Reeves-47%

Quinnipiac
Taylor-50%
Reeves-48%

SurveyUSA
Taylor-52%
Reeves-47%

Mason-Dixion
Taylor-52%
Reeves-47%

538.com:
Taylor-52.3%
Reeves-47.7%

OVERALL RATING: SLIGHT DEMOCRATIC
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #127 on: December 01, 2010, 01:42:55 am »

WOO. Election night is coming right up. Cheesy
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,575
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #128 on: December 01, 2010, 10:08:24 am »

My predictions (LoL):

Beshear 54%
Williams 45%

-----

Jindal 59%
Cazayoux 39%

-----

Taylor 52%
Reeves 48%
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #129 on: December 01, 2010, 11:52:27 am »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

2011 ELECTION DAY

In mid-afternoon, exit polls confirm what most major pollsters have predicted:

KENTUCKY
Beshear*-55%
Williams-45%

LOUISIANA
Jindal*-60%
Cazayoux-38%

MISSISSIPPI
Taylor-52%
Reeves^-48%
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #130 on: December 01, 2010, 01:37:19 pm »

Snap. Election day. Cheesy

Can't wait! Grin
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,575
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #131 on: December 01, 2010, 03:18:54 pm »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

2011 ELECTION DAY

In mid-afternoon, exit polls confirm what most major pollsters have predicted:

KENTUCKY
Beshear*-55%
Williams-45%

LOUISIANA
Jindal*-60%
Cazayoux-38%

MISSISSIPPI
Taylor-52%
Reeves^-48%

if the exit polls are accurate, my predictions were perfect xD
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #132 on: December 01, 2010, 06:58:54 pm »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

ELECTION NIGHT

KENTUCKY

2 hours after voting precincts began reporting, Steve Beshear opens with a wide lead of better than 14 points. Despite Kentucky's Republican trend and Obama's poor approvals, the race is quickly called in favor of Beshear.


WITH 60% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING...

Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #133 on: December 01, 2010, 07:03:12 pm »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

ELECTION NIGHT

LOUISIANA

With a majority of precincts in, Republican governor Bobby Jindal handily wins a second term. The AP projects a Jindal landslide.


WITH 55% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING...





 
Logged
-
KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #134 on: December 01, 2010, 07:03:57 pm »

WOW. Now it's down to MS.

C'mon, Gene!!!
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #135 on: December 01, 2010, 07:12:30 pm »
« Edited: December 01, 2010, 09:05:57 pm by IDS Legislator MilesC56 »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

ELECTION NIGHT

MISSISSIPPI

In a the most competitive race of this season, Dixiecrat Gene Taylor opens with a narrow lead over tea party favorite Tate Reeves. Throughout the race, Taylor was considered a slight favorite due to a harsh Republican primary. The AP maintains that this election is too close to call.



WITH 58% OF PRECINCTS IN...





MISSISSIPPI COUNTY WINNERS

-Red and Blue counties have at least 85% of precincts reporting
-Dark Gray counties have partial returns
-Light Gray counties have no returns

Logged
-
KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #136 on: December 01, 2010, 07:14:17 pm »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

ELECTION NIGHT

MISSISSIPPI

In a the most competitive race of this season, Dixiecrat Gene Taylor opens with a narrow lead over tea party favorite Tate Reeves. Throughout the race, Taylor was considered a slight favorite due to a harsh Republican primary. The AP maintains that this election is too close to call.



WITH 58% OF PRECINCTS IN...





MISSISSIPPI COUNTY WINNERS

-Red and Blue counties have at least 85% of precincts reporting
-Dark Gray counties have partial returns
-Light Gray counties have no returns



The remaining counties are mostly in Dem/Taylor favorable areas.
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #137 on: December 01, 2010, 07:36:52 pm »

Yeah, Taylor's got this. Never thought I'd say this, but I'm not really complaining much.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #138 on: December 01, 2010, 08:57:56 pm »
« Edited: December 01, 2010, 09:10:12 pm by IDS Legislator MilesC56 »

As more counties report in Mississippi, Taylor expands his lead. Still, the AP is waiting for every county to report at least 85% of its precincts until declaring a winner. The Republican's path to retaining this seat is narrowing.





MISSISSIPPI COUNTY WINNERS

WITH 72% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING...


Logged
-
KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #139 on: December 01, 2010, 08:59:38 pm »

It's over.
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,575
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #140 on: December 02, 2010, 10:51:26 am »

my predictions were OK. I'm glad taylor won!
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #141 on: December 02, 2010, 11:28:58 am »

2 NOVEMBER 2011


2011 ELECTION FINAL RESULTS


KENTUCKY






LOUISIANA






MISSISSIPPI





Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #142 on: December 02, 2010, 11:33:51 am »

UPDATED GUBERNATORIAL MAP

REPUBLICAN-28
DEMOCRATIC-21
INDEPENDENT-1



Logged
-
KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #143 on: December 02, 2010, 12:06:43 pm »

Excellent!
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,575
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #144 on: December 02, 2010, 07:04:29 pm »

Logged
albaleman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,213
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.77, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #145 on: December 03, 2010, 06:25:24 pm »

Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #146 on: December 03, 2010, 08:54:48 pm »

3 NOVEMBER 2011



Former Republican candidate John Raese announces that he will be seeking a rematch with West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin. Raese makes his announcement with Sarah Palin at a tea party rally.

Palin:
"Hello West Virginia! Next year you will have an opportunity to elect John Raese, a great Constitutional Conservative to the Senate. I supported John in 2010 and when he asked me if I'd help him again, I sad "You bectha!." West Virginia needs John's small business experience and his commitment to restoring America to the nation that our founders envisioned it. That liberal, big-spending Joe Manchin needs to go! Ever since he's been in Washington he's been cozying up to President Obama and the liberal Democrat leadership. Thats not good for West Virginia! John had a good effort in 2010, but he fell a bit short. Next year, we can change that! So next year, how 'bout we vote those liberals Joe Manchin and Barack Obama out!"
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #147 on: December 03, 2010, 09:23:55 pm »

7 NOVEMBER 2011

PPP: West Virginia Poll

Summary: Despite President Obama's low approvals here, both of West Virginia's Democratic Senators remain very popular, as their approvals approach 60%. Heading into 2012, Manchin opens with an impressive 16-point lead. Raese doesn't seem to be a particularly strong candidate; he posts slightly negative favorables. Manchin leads by 21% with independents and gets almost 25% crossover support from Republicans, this is very impressive considering the polarized political atmosphere. With Rep. Shelley Moore Capito likely to run for Governor, the Republicans seem like they will be unable to recruit a strong candidate to challenge Manchin.

Do you approve of the job Senator Joe Manchin is doing?
Yes-56%
No-36%

Do you approve of the job Senator Jay Rockefeller is doing?
Yes-58%
No-35%

Do you approve of the job President Barack Obama is doing?
Yes-35%
No-58%

Do you have a favorable view of John Raese?
Yes-43%
No-47%

If the 2012 Senate race was between Joe Manchin and John Raese, who would you vote for?
Manchin-54%
Raese-38%
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #148 on: December 04, 2010, 02:55:17 am »
« Edited: December 04, 2010, 03:15:40 am by IDS Legislator MilesC56 »

9 NOVEMBER 2011



Throughout my career, I have built a pragmatic conservative record. While I have remained true to my conservative roots, I have often worked in a bipartisan way to better serve the people of Utah. Sadly, my work across the aisle has become a political liability. For instance, the right is using my bipartisan my work with my great friend Ted Kennedy to attack me.

In 2010, Bob Bennett fell victim to the far right. Bob was a great Senator and I greatly enjoyed working with him; I couldn't have asked for a better colleague. In 2012, I have decided to fight back against the tide of ideological extremism that is flooding the Republican party. Therefore, rather than seeking the Republican nomination, I will seek reelection as a candidate with No Party Affiliation.

By running as an independent, I can focus on my Senate work and not have to worry about answering to ideological purists; instead, I will answer to the people of Utah. My constituents have trusted me to represent them in the Senate for 36 years. While this bold move will likely pit the entire state Republican party against me, I am confident that my constituents will afford me the chance to serve them for 1 more term.


12 NOVEMBER 2011

Bob Jones: Utah Senate Poll

Among Likely GOP Convention Delegates:

Who would you be most inclined to support at next year's Convention? (before Hatch left GOP)
Chaffetz-36%
Bridgewater-31%
Hatch-23%
Other-10%

Who would you be most inclined to support at next year's Convention? (after Hatch left GOP)
Chaffetz-45%
Bridgewater-39%
Other/Unsure-16%

General Election Polling:

3-Way Races

Chaffetz-38%
Hatch-37%
Generic D-19%

Hatch-39%
Bridgewater-36%
Generic D-18%

2-Way Races

Hatch-48%
Chaffetz-46%

Hatch-47%
Bridgewater-44%
Logged
Vazdul (Formerly Chairman of the Communist Party of Ontario)
Vazdul
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,300
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #149 on: December 04, 2010, 08:18:45 am »

Go Orrin!

(It's a scary world when Orrin Hatch is hailed as a Moderate Hero.)
Logged
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9 10 11 ... 26 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC