Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 18, 2019, 01:55:38 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Eli Gorbinsky, Apocrypha)
  2011 and Beyond...
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 5 6 7 8 9 [10] 11 12 13 14 15 ... 26 Print
Author Topic: 2011 and Beyond...  (Read 129538 times)
feeblepizza
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,915
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #225 on: January 10, 2011, 05:11:08 pm »

Stunning victory! Wink
Logged
Liberalrocks
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,645
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: -4.35


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #226 on: January 15, 2011, 08:01:33 pm »

Good Thread. I really "hope" Palin is the nominee.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #227 on: January 17, 2011, 09:04:37 pm »

10 JANUARY 2012

Tonight, Mitt Romney gets two steps closer to the Republican nomination. In New Hampshire, he has held off a close challenge from Sarah Palin. Because the New Hampshire GOP has drifted further to the right, Palin came within striking distance of winning. However, it roughly 35% of the voters in this primary were Independent; these voters most likely put Romney over the top. Final numbers have Romney winning by less than two points, a close but sweet win for the Governor.




In Michigan, Romney has won a commanding victory. Romney's father, George, was the Governor of Michigan in the 60's and Romney himself is a native of Detroit.





Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #228 on: January 23, 2011, 04:38:16 pm »

21 JANUARY 2012

In the second major round of primaries, Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin each score landslide victories. While this contest seems to be turning into a match between Palin and Romney, the Huckabee campaign insists that it is investing more in the later, Super Tuesday states. It seems all but immanent that Newt Gingrich will drop out before Super Tuesday, as he has garnered 10% or less of the vote in most primaries so far.

In Nevada Mitt Romney has scored a 23-point point victory over Sarah Palin.





"Thank you Nevada! This night marks my fourth primary victory in row! With the help, support and votes of our friends around the county, we will be on the road to the Republican nomination.
All my life, I have been fighting liberalism; the same liberalism that is being embraced by the White House. I've seen first-hand the effects of this corrosive philosophy. In Massachusetts, I ran against Ted Kennedy. While the outcome wasn't exactly what I wanted, I was proud to take a stand for the conservative movement. Years later, my efforts were repaid as the people of Massachusetts elected me to be their governor. Before I was elected, Massachusetts was one of the great epicenters of liberalism, like Nancy Pelosi's San Francisco, or Barack Obama's Chicago. I put my state on a course to financial success and long-term sustainability because of the bold consevartive actions I took in the statehouse. Also, as governor, I built as a solid record of bipartisanship with the Democratic Legislature. These two things, conservatism and bipartisanship, will be the outline of a Romney presidency.  
I think my record stands on solid. I've had vast experience in both sectors, private and public. My approach of fiscal restraint and living within my means has been the cornerstone of my life's endeavors. I've done that with the Olympics, I've done that in Massachusetts and I'll do that in the Washington as your president.
In my public work, I have fought to strengthen the American people. And let me tell you, we need to call on the strength of America; you don't strengthen government, you strengthen the American people. You strengthen the American people by letting them keep more of their own money, and not taxing their families at death. You strengthen the American people by securing our borders and by insisting that the children who come legally to this land are taught in English. And perhaps most importantly, you strengthen the American people when you strengthen the American family; this is why the Republican party place such an emphasis on family values. If our families are strong, our children will be better suited for the challenges of America in the future.
Now is the time, starting here in Nevada, for conservatives, Republicans and Americans to stand together, to lead a great coalition of strength! For our families, for our economy and for our country. We will win this nomination and we will win in November! God bless Nevada, and may God bless this great land!"
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #229 on: January 23, 2011, 05:20:51 pm »

21 JANUARY 2012

The second major primary of the night, South Carolina, has handily gone to Sarah Palin.

The former Alaska governor has won by a commanding 22-points (similar to Romney's margin in Nevada).


In something of a symbolic gesture, Palin is introduced by her former running-mate, John McCain. McCain, who won the SC primary in 2008, is widely credited for giving Palin here vast political clout.

McCain:
"My friends, tonight I am proud to stand with you. More importantly, I have the privilege of introducing one of America's greatest patriots, Sarah Palin.
In 2008, when I chose to share my ticket with Governor Palin, I knew she had potential. Over these years, she has lived out her potential and I am confident that their is more to come! Even though the election did not favor us in the end, I am still proud to stand with Sarah! She has traveled the country and, I assure you, no one is more in touch with the thoughts and needs of our people than Sarah! As she has gone around the country, she has helped to prop up candidates who will be faithful to our great Constitution and who will carry out an agenda that will emphasize service to the American people. Because of the efforts of people like Sarah, and concerned, patriotic citizens across the country, the American people took away Nancy Pelosi's majority in the House! In 2012, I am confident that we can put Harry Reid and Barack Obama out of power as well! In 2008, conservatism was declared 'dead' by the media. Boy, were they wrong! In 2010, we made an unprecedented comeback and in 2012, with Sarah Palin, we will make a full-scale sweep of Washington! Please welcome Governor Palin!"

 


Palin:
 My friends, lets thank Senator McCain for that great introduction. He is right, 2012 will be a year of great Republican gains. I have been going around the country trying to get constitutional conservative candidates, like John McCain, elected to Congress. Thanks to our efforts, and the power of the tea party, the American fired Nancy Pelosi and said "No!" to her socialist agenda. This year, Americans will send a similar message to the White House and to the Senate! President Obama and Leader Reid will be joining Pelosi on the sidelines of American politics as new conservative Republicans will be elected! The President claims that he is running as grassroots campaign, but nothing is more grassroots than the average citizens in the tea party who are backing my candidacy.
My friends, South Carolina is ground zero for the state of our country. It suffers an unemployment rate of 9.2% and prices for even the most common things are rising. With the landmark of election of Governor Haley in 2010, this state is once again on its way to prosperity. As President, I will reinforce Governor Haley's efforts by enacting pro-growth polices that will make life for South Carolinians, and for all Americans, better and freer. I have a record of  protecting of Americans and taxpayers, such as my vetoes of wasteful spending and my strong executive experiences.
In the 80's Ronald Reagan didn't get America back on track by spending and expanding government. Rather, he promoted common-sense conservatism that sparked the innovative nature of our country. The result was a thriving economy. Lets be clear; 2012 will be 1980 all over again!
As president, I will work my Momma Grizzlies and constitutional conservatives in Congress to reenact measures that are similar to those of President Reagan's were in the 80's.
For now, it will a time of campaigning. Thank you South Carolina, the momentum we have built here will carry use through to the Republican nomination and into the White House! God bless the Republican party, God bless the tea party, and Gob bless America!
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #230 on: January 23, 2011, 06:17:52 pm »

21 JANUARY 2012

With only a few primaries left until Super Tuesday, Romney has a commanding lead with projected delegates.



Romney-156
Palin-54
Huckabee-35
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #231 on: January 24, 2011, 08:34:16 pm »

In addition to the Presidential and Senate races, 2012 will have some closely watched Gubernatorial races. Specifically, the contests in North Carolina and Washington will be quite interesting. In both states, we have unpopular, blond, female Democratic incumbents.
In Washington, despite a net approval rating of -16, Gov. Gregoire will be running for a third term, as WA has no Gubernatorial term limits. Her opponent will be the well-respected WA Attny. General Rob McKenna.
In North Carolina, Gov. Bev Perdue will be fighting for a second term in a rematch against former Charlotte mayor Pat McCrory. Despite her poor approvals, she remains competitive in the polls because some rural voters are hesitant to support a city slicker like McCrory.



PPP: NC Gov. Poll
Perdue Approval: 38/51
McCrory Favorable: 44/41

NC Gov. General Election:
McCrory- 46%
Perdue^- 41%

PPP: Washington Gov. Poll
Gregoire Approval: 39/55
McKenna: Favorable: 36/22

WA Gov. General Election:
McKenna: 47%
Gregoire^: 39%

In two other states, ND and WV, Gubernatorial races are taking form.
Former Rep. Earl Pomeroy, who lose his seat in the 2010 GOP wave, will be running for the statehouse being vacated by Gov. Jack Darlrymple.
In West Virginia, Rep. Shelley Moore Capito will be vacating her seat to run for Governor. Earl Ray Tomblin, the sitting Governor, will not be seeking a full term.
Logged
albaleman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,213
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.77, S: -4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #232 on: January 24, 2011, 11:14:21 pm »

Fantastic!
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #233 on: January 25, 2011, 12:46:24 pm »

C'mooon, McKenna. Cheesy
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #234 on: January 26, 2011, 05:28:51 pm »

24 JANUARY 2012

**Breaking News**Breaking News**Breaking News**
GINGRICH GONE; ENDORSES PALIN



"...At this time, I will concede my bid for the Republican nomination. Sadly, I do not see how the primary situation will turn out in my favor.
To all those who have worked on my campaign, and to all those whose votes I have earned, I thank you very much. Your support has meant so much to me; I will never be able to repay your generosity. I'd like to especially thank my dedicated staff and my family; they have propelled me through this process and inspired me to pore everything I had into this campaign.
While my best efforts were not enough to secure the Republican nod, fortunately for the American people, there is still an excellent Republican running in this race; a fine conservative dedicated to restoring our nations founding values. This is why I will encourage my supporters to get behind Sarah Palin. Governor Palin is a tremendous force in American politics and a strong figurehead of the conservative movement. She is a family woman who embodies the ideals of America. She knows that the basis for long term prosperity will not be attained by expanding government or entitlement, but rather, it can be found in the Constitution. She has worked to keep America strong, both at home and abroad and she will be a powerful force against radical Islam. That is why I endorse Sarah Palin..."
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #235 on: January 26, 2011, 06:36:29 pm »

Oh, God. Now there's a united base of stupid.
Logged
feeblepizza
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,915
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.45, S: -0.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #236 on: January 27, 2011, 12:59:02 pm »

The Tea Party base is still divided between Palin and Huckabee. Romney's going to be the nominee.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #237 on: January 27, 2011, 02:54:05 pm »
« Edited: January 29, 2011, 06:13:32 pm by MilesC56 »

26 JANUARY 2012

Tonight, all three remaining Republicans scored victories. The states of Louisiana, Hawaii and Maine had primaries (or caucuses) today.

After suffering a sting of primary loses, Mike Huckabee rebounds with a commanding Louisiana win. Geographically, Huckabee sweeps most of the state, as Palin only wins areas on the coast and river delta, while Romney is limited to Baton Rouge and New Orleans.



In Maine, Palin scores a landslide 38-point victory over Mitt Romney, thanks in large part to the Maine GOP's newly adopted tea party platform.



Finally, Romney wins the Hawaii caucus. Boring.



Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #238 on: January 27, 2011, 03:01:45 pm »


Romney-175
Huckabee-89
Palin-77
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,575
Spain


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #239 on: January 27, 2011, 06:08:50 pm »

Go Palin haha
Logged
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,046
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #240 on: January 28, 2011, 11:29:22 pm »

I don't see how a revision of the state party platform would change the results of the election that much. Maine is Romney Country, and will remain Romney Country in 2012. And on the off chance Palin were to ever win it, it would be razor-thin, at least.

Other than that, this is good! Keep it up Smiley
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #241 on: January 29, 2011, 05:58:39 pm »

The Maine primary is a closed caucus, which would favor the most ideologically pure candidate. Still, maybe I overinflated Palin's margin.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #242 on: January 29, 2011, 10:30:55 pm »

27 JANUARY 2012

GATES TO RETIRE


In a press conference today, US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates announced his retirement, saying that he will leave office by the end of February. Gates maintained that his retirement was entirely for personal reasons, and he praised President Obama, his staff and other members of the Presidential Cabinet.

The outgoing Secretary said that he was privileged to play such a pivotal in "reshaping America's diplomatic process and molding a new and distinct direction for American policy abroad." Gates noted the "progress made in Iraq and Afghanistan in creating a freer world" and his "extensive budgetary work" as the hallmarks of his tenure. He noted that he tried to bring a "culture of fiscal restraint, moderation and restraint" to the Department of Defense; Gates recommended to that his successor should take a similar approach so that the military would be on a solid financial footing.

Gates noted that he was proud to have presided over of and coordinated the technical aspects of the repeal of the DADT policy; he said that DADT repeal was a "great asset to the armed forces" and he was glad that that Congress showed the "fundamental respect and common decency" that made repeal possible.

When Gates does leave office, he will be replaced on an interim basis by Gordon English, one of his deputies. President Obama is expected to appoint a permanent Secretary after his 2012 campaign, assuming he is reelected.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #243 on: January 29, 2011, 11:04:59 pm »

28 JANUARY 2012

Looking back at the Republican contest,  the upcoming Florida Primary is looming large. This will be the last primary before Super Tuesday. All three candidates have been around the state trying to collect votes in preparation for the February 7 primary. However, the endorsement that was which was most sought was that of Governor Scott. Today, Scott made his decision:



"Today, I will be joining many other governors across the county, such as my friends Susana Martinez and Rick Perry, in endorsing Governor Sarah Palin for president. Palin will bring a much needed breath of fresh air to Washington and offers a wealth of meaningful experiences, both at the professional and personal level. If the conservative brand must continue, Republicans must elect leaders who carry out our vision for America, in the field of candidates this year, Sarah is best equipped to do that. A governor who fights for fiscal conservatism, I relate to Sarah. Florida Republicans are a smart group of voters; once they examine each candidate, I am confident that Governor Plain will win this primary."

Scott's endorsement of Palin was more to spite Romney than anything else. In the close primary between Rick Scott and Bill McCollum in 2010, Romney campaigned for McCollum. Ever since, relations between Romney and Scott have been strained.


Zogby: FL GOP Poll

Who do you plan on voting for in this primary?
Palin-33%
Romney-29%
Huckabee-23%

Will Governor Scott's endorsement be a factor in your vote?
Yes-57%
No-39%
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #244 on: January 29, 2011, 11:25:34 pm »

AGH! Scott, you useless cockroach! Angry

...*ahem* Sorry, I think I got too into it there for a second. Gotta hate Palin! Cheesy
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #245 on: January 29, 2011, 11:43:09 pm »

AGH! Scott, you useless cockroach! Angry

...*ahem* Sorry, I think I got too into it there for a second. Gotta hate Palin! Cheesy

Don't worry, I agree with you Wink

Rick Scott should be behind bars, not in the Governor's mansion!
Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,460
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #246 on: January 30, 2011, 12:14:09 am »

Palin and Huckabee split the conservative vote... Romney has the advantage unless one of them withdraws.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #247 on: January 30, 2011, 12:48:12 am »

28 JANUARY 2012

While Florida will be a critical state at the Presidential level, the race to replace retiring Sen. Bill Nelson is looking like it will one of the most entertaining in the county. Both parties have 2 prominent frontrunners seeking the nominations of their respective parties.

On the Democratic side, two candidates from 2010 will be competing once again; former Governor Charlie is running as a Democrat and will be facing former Congressman Kendrick Meek. This will be Crist's third run for the Senate and Meek's second. President Obama said that he will not be endorsing in this primary.

Two big-name Republicans will be fighting for the GOP nod. Former Senator George LeMeiux will be running against George P. Bush, the son of former Governor Jeb Bush.



Major Endorsements:

Meek:
-frmr. Rep. Alan Grayson
-Rep. Debbie W-Schultz
-Rep. Frederica Wilson
-Rep. Alcee Hastings
-frmr. Sen. Roland Burris
-frmr. Rep. Ron Klein
-Pres. Bill Clinton

Crist:
-Gov. Gene Taylor
-frmr. Rep. Suzanne Kosmas
-frmr. Gov. Arnold Shwarzenegger
-frmr. Rep. Allen Boyd
-Rep. Kathy Castor
-Sen. Mary Landrieu
-2010 Gov. Candidate Alex Sink

LeMiuex:
-frmr. Sen. Connie Mack
-frmr. Lt. Gov. Jeff Kottkamp
-frmr Sen. Connie Mack III
-Rep. Connie Mack IV
-Rep. Ander Crenshaw
-Sen. John McCain
-Sen. Richard Burr
-Sen. Lindsay Graham
 
Bush:
-Jeb Bush (obviously)
-Sen. Marco Rubio
-Pres. George Bush
-frmr. Sen. Mel Martinez
-Rep. Dan Webster
-Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen
-Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart
-Rep. Vern Buchanan
-Gov. Bobby Jindal
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,345
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #248 on: January 30, 2011, 07:02:35 pm »

7 FEBRUARY 2012

The AP can now project that Sarah Palin will be winning the Florida primary and the votes of Florida's 135 Convention delegates:




Because of her FL victory, Palin will now overtake Romney in the delegate count leading up to Super Tuesday.



Palin-212
Romney-175
Huckabee-89

...needless to say, Democrats are cheering.
Logged
SvenssonRS
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,519
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.39, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #249 on: January 30, 2011, 07:03:29 pm »

CRAP. Damn you, Rick Scott. Angry
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 5 6 7 8 9 [10] 11 12 13 14 15 ... 26 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC