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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Socialist Mod Stands with ProudWhatsHisName, Apocrypha)
  2011 and Beyond...
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Author Topic: 2011 and Beyond...  (Read 129179 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #275 on: February 10, 2011, 07:30:39 pm »

This primary is awesome. Pretty much anyone can win. Cheesy

Thats what I don't like about our primary system today. They're engineered so that a winner will be chosen as fast as possible. I'm trying to make it competitive!
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America™
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« Reply #276 on: February 10, 2011, 09:37:09 pm »

This is great! Keep up the good work!
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Progressive
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« Reply #277 on: February 12, 2011, 06:42:47 pm »

Beautifully done. Update often!
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #278 on: February 12, 2011, 08:03:13 pm »

Go Palin!
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #279 on: February 12, 2011, 11:16:45 pm »
« Edited: February 13, 2011, 01:27:30 am by MilesC56 »

19 FEBRUARY 2012

This Saturday night has not been kind to Mike Huckabee. Although Huck was leading in the Virginia primary polls, Sarah Palin will be pulling an upset tonight. Palin had the help of Gov. Bob McDonnell, a popular figure with conservatives.





Palin-45.1%
Huckabee-42.5%
Romney-11.7%
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #280 on: February 12, 2011, 11:49:14 pm »

Wouldn't Romney have performed better in northern Virginia?
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #281 on: February 12, 2011, 11:54:58 pm »

Wouldn't Romney have performed better in northern Virginia?

Huckabee and McCain crushed him there in 2008.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #282 on: February 13, 2011, 12:07:08 am »

Wouldn't Romney have performed better in northern Virginia?

Huckabee and McCain crushed him there in 2008.
McCain and Huckabee also crushed Romney in Ohio. Why? Because Romney had already dropped out of the race.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #283 on: February 13, 2011, 12:12:46 am »

Wouldn't Romney have performed better in northern Virginia?

Huckabee and McCain crushed him there in 2008.
McCain and Huckabee also crushed Romney in Ohio. Why? Because Romney had already dropped out of the race.

Oh, really?

Can someone help me with an explanation here??!! lol
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #284 on: February 13, 2011, 12:26:59 am »

Wouldn't Romney have performed better in northern Virginia?

Huckabee and McCain crushed him there in 2008.
McCain and Huckabee also crushed Romney in Ohio. Why? Because Romney had already dropped out of the race.

Oh, really?

Can someone help me with an explanation here??!! lol
Mitt Romney dropped out on February 7th, 2 days after Super Tuesday. Virginia's primary wasn't until the 12th.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #285 on: February 13, 2011, 12:34:37 am »

Wouldn't Romney have performed better in northern Virginia?

Huckabee and McCain crushed him there in 2008.
McCain and Huckabee also crushed Romney in Ohio. Why? Because Romney had already dropped out of the race.

Oh, really?

Can someone help me with an explanation here??!! lol
Mitt Romney dropped out on February 7th, 2 days after Super Tuesday. Virginia's primary wasn't until the 12th.

Well, in any case, Palin has won Virginia!
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Mexino Vote
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« Reply #286 on: February 13, 2011, 12:42:37 am »

What a great timeline. Go Palin!
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #287 on: February 13, 2011, 10:15:02 am »

great!!! what a detailed TL, I like it =)

but wouldn't huckabee have carried some rural counties in maryland?
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #288 on: February 13, 2011, 12:56:51 pm »

Guys,

This week is gonna be hell week for me; I have three exams and extra hours at my job. I probably won't be able to post this week. I'll try to post sometime mid-week, but I can't make any promises.

Thank you all for your constant enthusiasm and support; it means the world to me!

'Miles
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HappyWarrior
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« Reply #289 on: February 13, 2011, 06:06:12 pm »

great!!! what a detailed TL, I like it =)

but wouldn't huckabee have carried some rural counties in maryland?

Either Huckabee or Palin would certainly win Western Maryland and the Eastern Shore as well as St. Mary's and Calvert County.
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Jackson
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« Reply #290 on: February 15, 2011, 07:04:51 am »

It will certainly be interesting to see who the Romney delegates choose to back, in the chinese sense, at any rate.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #291 on: February 15, 2011, 12:01:55 pm »
« Edited: February 18, 2011, 01:15:38 am by MilesC56 »

Updated Delegate Count



ROMNEY-699
PALIN-614
HUCKABEE-402
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #292 on: February 15, 2011, 01:11:57 pm »

Texas might become Huckabee's last stand...

I think he0ll win texas, mississippi, north carolina, kentucky, nebraska, ohio, indiana and maybe pennsylvania. so, IMO, he's not dead, yet.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #293 on: February 21, 2011, 06:34:14 pm »

21 FEBRUARY 2012

For the past weeks, Wisconsin was considered to be among the most competitive states in the GOP race. Tonight, it looks like Sarah Palin will be winning an expectedly narrow victory. Palin had help from Senator Ron Johnson and Governor Scott Walker, both figures are extremely popular with state conservatives.



Palin-34.9%
Romney-33.0%
Huckabee-30.1%


In Washington, Romney will be cruising to an easy victory.



Romney-54%
Palin-31%
Huckabee-15%

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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #294 on: February 22, 2011, 11:31:50 am »

continue =)
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #295 on: February 22, 2011, 12:13:20 pm »

UPDATED DELEGATE TALLY



ROMNEY-743
PALIN-656
HUCKABEE-402
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #296 on: February 22, 2011, 12:31:40 pm »

At this point, I really don't see Romney losing - or at the very least, I really don't see Palin winning.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #297 on: February 22, 2011, 04:31:52 pm »

22 FEBRUARY 2012

As we approach the beginning of the last phase of the GOP primary, lets see how the three remaining Republicans poll against Obama nationally.

PPP and SurveyUSA:

While no Republican polls particuarly well against Obama, he is by no means guaranteed another term. Of course, polling will expectedly change once once a clear GOP President/Vice-President ticket emerges, but for now, here is where the candidates stand.

Map Key
>70%= Safe
>60%= Likely
>40%= Lean
>30%= Slight
Green= Tossup


Obama vs Romney

Our findings show that Obama leads Romney nationally by a 49-46 margin. Obama's job approval numbers are a timid 48/46, but Romney's favorables are only 43/40. Basically, if Romney were the nominee, we would see 7 states that would be pure tossups.
Romney is very competitive in the western states of CO and NV, as well as NH; Romney would force Democrats to spend money in these otherwise blue states. The Romney campaign has been investing heavily in OH, which accounts for his 49-45 lead there. In this scenario, Obama would have the edge in VA, NC and PA.

Obama-246
Romney-199



Obama vs Huckabee

While Huckabee would garner marginally less electoral votes than Romney and he would also push Obama closer to 270. Obama leads Huck nationally by a 48-44 margin.
Huckabee would make VA, NC and IA more competitive, as well as solidify MO into the GOP column. With Huckabee, the GOP looks like it would concede the western states NV, CO to Obama. Also, Huckabee has much less appeal in NH than Romney.

Obama-266
Huckabee-191



Obama vs Palin

If Palin were the Republican nominee, she would start out with a 13 point deficit, at 53-40. Obama would have a 3-to-1 electoral vote advantage. Palin posts a 34/58 favorability nationally and even more troubling for her is that independents break by a wide 64-26 margin in favor of Obama. Palin's numbers at home are even underwater; with 39/53 favorables, she can only lead Obama by a 47-44 margin.

Obama-388
Palin-125



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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #298 on: February 22, 2011, 05:05:59 pm »

As if we needed any more proof that Palin is a disgrace.
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Barnes
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« Reply #299 on: February 22, 2011, 10:37:24 pm »

Excellent so far, Miles! Smiley

As far as the election, I think the Huckster might just pull a comeback. That would certainly make for the most interesting match-up! Wink
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