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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Socialist Mod Stands with ProudWhatsHisName, Apocrypha)
  2011 and Beyond... (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2011 and Beyond...  (Read 129153 times)
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« on: November 09, 2010, 06:49:13 pm »

Can't wait to see it start, Miles. That 2020 scenario was excellent.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2010, 06:55:38 pm »
« Edited: November 09, 2010, 07:11:18 pm by Unconstitutional Lieutenant Governor KS21 »

It looks like the big contest is going to be Mississippi. I'm thinking a bloody GOP Primary could hand the election to Taylor.

He would win big in Bennie Thompson's district, probably pretty good in his own (not being sent to rubberstamp Pelosi anymore), but he needs to work on NE MS.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2010, 07:14:34 pm »
« Edited: November 09, 2010, 07:21:02 pm by Unconstitutional Lieutenant Governor KS21 »

It looks like the big contest is going tobe Mississippi. I'm thinking a bloody GOP Primary could hand the election to Taylor.

He would win big in Bennie Thompson's district, probably pretty good in his own (not being sent to rubberstamp Pelosi anymore), but he needs to work on NE MS.

PPP released a survey in May asking whether MS voters would be willing to support Taylor over a generic Republican.

Mississippi polling by Cong. District:


Generally speaking, would you support Democrat Gene Taylor for Governor?

District I
Yes-43%
No-52%

District II
Yes-62%
No-32%

District III
Yes-41%
N0-50%

District IV
Yes-53%
No-42%




So it's YES statewide by a 49.75-44.00 margin. That's good, and the primary hasn't gotten bloody yet!
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2010, 08:07:31 pm »

On the national scene, things aren't looking particularly good for Democrats;  a generic Republican would get the bare 270 EVs against Obama.





Obama Approval:

Gallup: 44/50

Quinnipiac: 44/51

PPP: 45/49

Obama Favorables

Gallup: 46/48

Quinnipiac: 47/49

PPP: 48/47


GOP Favorables:

Romney: 43/40

Huckabee: 42/43

Palin: 36/51

Thune: 38/34

Barbour: 37/40

Gingrich: 38/46

Daniels: 35/24





Not good for Taylor if his opponent can tie him to Obama.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2010, 07:00:54 pm »

Gene Taylor's chances are looking good.

I'm glad Lieberman is finally where he belongs.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #5 on: November 12, 2010, 09:45:09 am »

LATE JULY 2011


Politico Reports:

"There have been solid reports from within Democratic ranks that not only Olympia Snowe, but Susan Collins as well will switch parties. Ever since Lieberman left the Democratic ranks, Dems have been aggressively luring Olympia Snowe to join their caucus. Collins, who will be in a similar electoral situation as Snowe in 2014, is heavily considering changing parties at this early junction to avoid accusations that she is  political chameleon."

This is great. The two Maine women are far better than Lieberman.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #6 on: November 12, 2010, 03:12:51 pm »

It looks good for Taylor...

And Ben Nelson and Lieberman are losing. Smiley
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #7 on: November 13, 2010, 10:33:45 am »

27 JULY 2011

With under a week to go until the MS governor's primaries, Gene Taylor gets 2 major boosts.

-Retired NFL star and south Mississippi native Brett Favre will be making frequent campaign stops for Taylor. Favre, a celebrity in his home state, remains very popular in his native Gulf Coast region. In the past, Favre has made donations to Taylor (this is actually true) and now he has time to campaign. Favre will help Taylor consolidate his south Mississippi base and help voter turnout in the Democratic 2nd District by energizing black voters.




-The NRA, which has a history of endorsing Taylor and Mississippi Dixiecrats, endorses Taylor again. This will help Taylor in central and northern MS, areas where he is performing the weakest.




Also, Brett Favre's brother was (and I think maybe still is?) mayor of Bay St. Louis, the town Gene Taylor lives in.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #8 on: November 14, 2010, 10:43:47 pm »

I hope we get a recount...
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #9 on: November 15, 2010, 07:56:57 am »

Sounds like a good list. I hope all (except Corker) win.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #10 on: November 16, 2010, 07:59:25 am »

I think the "histlist" is kind of stupid, but...

Anyway, I wouldn't recommend the Tea Party attempt to take out Brown, given that he's pretty much the GOP's only hope for a Senate seat from Massachusetts, and he's at least more Conservative than Ted Kennedy. Ironic, considering that Tea Party momentum is what put Brown in office in the first place.

And look what happened in Deleware. That was the second easies pickup for the GOP and they blew it because of the TP.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #11 on: November 17, 2010, 06:34:03 pm »

The Jindal post is a little....biased, isn't it?

Not really. He's a political opportuntist, and this is coming from an SB 1070 supporter.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #12 on: November 18, 2010, 10:02:57 pm »

Titus 2012!!!
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #13 on: November 19, 2010, 04:27:40 pm »

It's looking good for Beshear.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #14 on: November 20, 2010, 10:19:54 pm »

Crazy Carl is back. Nice work, Miles.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #15 on: November 26, 2010, 08:58:29 am »

Newt what a joke. Almost as big a joke as Palin. Except Newt has a few more brain cells. Not much but a few more then Palin. I pity the GOP if eithier were to get nominated.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #16 on: November 26, 2010, 04:48:22 pm »

GO GENE!!!!!
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #17 on: November 26, 2010, 07:06:05 pm »

Taylor would be a great candidate. If he ran, I'd consider him the slight favorite regardless of who the Republican is.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #18 on: November 27, 2010, 11:33:01 pm »

NOOOOOOO!!!!! Hutchison!!

Schmidt, lol. Brown will survive.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #19 on: November 28, 2010, 11:31:04 am »

WOW. Nelson probably won't break 40%.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #20 on: December 01, 2010, 07:03:57 pm »

WOW. Now it's down to MS.

C'mon, Gene!!!
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #21 on: December 01, 2010, 07:14:17 pm »

1 NOVEMBER 2011

ELECTION NIGHT

MISSISSIPPI

In a the most competitive race of this season, Dixiecrat Gene Taylor opens with a narrow lead over tea party favorite Tate Reeves. Throughout the race, Taylor was considered a slight favorite due to a harsh Republican primary. The AP maintains that this election is too close to call.



WITH 58% OF PRECINCTS IN...





MISSISSIPPI COUNTY WINNERS

-Red and Blue counties have at least 85% of precincts reporting
-Dark Gray counties have partial returns
-Light Gray counties have no returns



The remaining counties are mostly in Dem/Taylor favorable areas.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #22 on: December 01, 2010, 08:59:38 pm »

It's over.
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #23 on: December 02, 2010, 12:06:43 pm »

Excellent!
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KS21
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,902
Political Matrix
E: -0.97, S: -3.39

« Reply #24 on: December 04, 2010, 01:47:06 pm »

Go Orrin!
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