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November 20, 2019, 11:31:59 am
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kenny-chan kawaii princesu, Apocrypha)
  2011 and Beyond... (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2011 and Beyond...  (Read 130722 times)
Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« on: July 16, 2011, 05:22:40 pm »

Grayson! Cheesy

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Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2011, 11:07:56 pm »

Advice on PA: Given that Obama now has greater strength in Appalachia, he should win the state even though Romney will improve in the Philly suburbs and Central PA.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2011, 11:16:41 pm »

Interesting results in both states.

Not to nitpick, however, but I'd say Snowe would win by a much bigger margin without a Republican, and that given the context Obama would have a better shot at some of the little counties in WV; maybe switch Mingo or Nicholas to Obama.

But I probably am nitpicking. Tongue Excellent job on the timeline, and certainly better than any of my election nights. If those Maine numbers don't change, this could be a very suspenseful timeline (on par with that one between Obama and Palin)
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2011, 04:06:07 pm »

I want to see Pennsylvania soon.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #4 on: July 28, 2011, 07:25:18 pm »

Tip on PA: The final results, given Obama's slightly improved rural appeal, should give him at least the 2004 Kerry>2008 McCain counties, plus Greene. I may be also tempted to suggest giving Chester, Berks, and Dauphin to Romney. Romney would also likely improve rather than do worse in Delaware and Montgomery counties.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #5 on: July 28, 2011, 09:46:42 pm »

Not doubting the results in my home county (Lancaster).
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2011, 04:17:28 pm »

If Romney's winning Ohio, he'd do better in the counties. I'd hand him Cincinnati, at least, and maybe give Obama a couple counties in SE Ohio.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2011, 06:27:32 pm »

One more thing--Romney would probably win Colfax and Hidalgo counties in NM if he halves Obama's margin in the state.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2011, 06:45:39 pm »

*breathes in*...FEINGOLD!!! Cheesy

I'm working towards election night 2016 (Romney vs. Feingold) in my timeline.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #9 on: August 08, 2011, 10:45:59 am »

Hey, I'd like to see South Dakota, especially the Congressional race (it's Sandlin, right?)
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2011, 03:01:14 pm »

Yeah, go Obama!

What was the 1% who didn't vote for Barasso?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2011, 01:59:34 pm »

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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2011, 01:35:33 pm »

Woah, Obama did worse than I expected in the Dakotas. Guess Thune helped a lot more than I expected.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2011, 01:50:04 pm »

Yeah. Obama slightly overperformed as well due to McCain's opposition to ethanol.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2011, 10:58:42 pm »

Wow. I must have forgotten just how much Romney can do in Utah.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #15 on: August 19, 2011, 07:00:02 pm »

You messed up with the Iowa percentages. Tongue
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #16 on: August 27, 2011, 08:44:45 pm »

Hey, did you do Colorado yet?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2011, 07:43:26 pm »

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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #18 on: September 05, 2011, 03:00:23 pm »

 YEAH
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #19 on: September 05, 2011, 03:29:28 pm »

1. What did Obama do in years 5 and 6?
2. What happened in the NYC mayoral election?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #20 on: September 09, 2011, 07:34:11 pm »

Decent map, not ultra-gerrymandered like either the D plans or the R plans.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #21 on: September 11, 2011, 12:51:39 pm »

I thought Wilder ran for President.

Also, is McConnell vulnerable?
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #22 on: September 11, 2011, 02:15:04 pm »

Guessing either Mongiardo or Conway.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2011, 06:20:47 pm »

Begich is a Blue Dog, though. (Though chances are you're sarcastic)

I'd love to see Palin lose to, say, Sean Parnell in the primary.
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #24 on: October 08, 2011, 08:07:24 pm »

Oh, Pawlenty.

I'd love to see him become a Harold Stassen, running until he keels over in 2044 or so.
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