Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 17, 2018, 04:20:24 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: New features added! Click here for more information. Click here to configure new features.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: AndrewTX, Apocrypha)
| | |-+  2011 and Beyond... (search mode)
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: 2011 and Beyond...  (Read 126159 times)
Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« on: July 16, 2011, 05:22:40 pm »

Grayson! Cheesy

Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2011, 11:07:56 pm »

Advice on PA: Given that Obama now has greater strength in Appalachia, he should win the state even though Romney will improve in the Philly suburbs and Central PA.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2011, 11:16:41 pm »

Interesting results in both states.

Not to nitpick, however, but I'd say Snowe would win by a much bigger margin without a Republican, and that given the context Obama would have a better shot at some of the little counties in WV; maybe switch Mingo or Nicholas to Obama.

But I probably am nitpicking. Tongue Excellent job on the timeline, and certainly better than any of my election nights. If those Maine numbers don't change, this could be a very suspenseful timeline (on par with that one between Obama and Palin)
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2011, 04:06:07 pm »

I want to see Pennsylvania soon.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: July 28, 2011, 07:25:18 pm »

Tip on PA: The final results, given Obama's slightly improved rural appeal, should give him at least the 2004 Kerry>2008 McCain counties, plus Greene. I may be also tempted to suggest giving Chester, Berks, and Dauphin to Romney. Romney would also likely improve rather than do worse in Delaware and Montgomery counties.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: July 28, 2011, 09:46:42 pm »

Not doubting the results in my home county (Lancaster).
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2011, 04:17:28 pm »

If Romney's winning Ohio, he'd do better in the counties. I'd hand him Cincinnati, at least, and maybe give Obama a couple counties in SE Ohio.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: August 01, 2011, 06:27:32 pm »

One more thing--Romney would probably win Colfax and Hidalgo counties in NM if he halves Obama's margin in the state.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2011, 06:45:39 pm »

*breathes in*...FEINGOLD!!! Cheesy

I'm working towards election night 2016 (Romney vs. Feingold) in my timeline.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: August 08, 2011, 10:45:59 am »

Hey, I'd like to see South Dakota, especially the Congressional race (it's Sandlin, right?)
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2011, 03:01:14 pm »

Yeah, go Obama!

What was the 1% who didn't vote for Barasso?
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #11 on: August 13, 2011, 01:59:34 pm »

Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2011, 01:35:33 pm »

Woah, Obama did worse than I expected in the Dakotas. Guess Thune helped a lot more than I expected.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #13 on: August 18, 2011, 01:50:04 pm »

Yeah. Obama slightly overperformed as well due to McCain's opposition to ethanol.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: August 18, 2011, 10:58:42 pm »

Wow. I must have forgotten just how much Romney can do in Utah.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: August 19, 2011, 07:00:02 pm »

You messed up with the Iowa percentages. Tongue
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: August 27, 2011, 08:44:45 pm »

Hey, did you do Colorado yet?
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2011, 07:43:26 pm »

Please finish! We are dying for the conclusion! Smiley
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: September 05, 2011, 03:00:23 pm »

 YEAH
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: September 05, 2011, 03:29:28 pm »

1. What did Obama do in years 5 and 6?
2. What happened in the NYC mayoral election?
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: September 09, 2011, 07:34:11 pm »

Decent map, not ultra-gerrymandered like either the D plans or the R plans.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: September 11, 2011, 12:51:39 pm »

I thought Wilder ran for President.

Also, is McConnell vulnerable?
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: September 11, 2011, 02:15:04 pm »

Guessing either Mongiardo or Conway.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2011, 06:20:47 pm »

Begich is a Blue Dog, though. (Though chances are you're sarcastic)

I'd love to see Palin lose to, say, Sean Parnell in the primary.
Logged

Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,313
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: October 08, 2011, 08:07:24 pm »

Oh, Pawlenty.

I'd love to see him become a Harold Stassen, running until he keels over in 2044 or so.
Logged

Pages: [1] 2 Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines