US House Redistricting: Colorado

[minionofmidas]

It would of course be highly controversial anyways.

[minionofmidas]

The article says the 6th is now a tossup but from the map it looks like a clear Democratic leaning district. 

Someone have the figures?

[minionofmidas]

3rd district appears to be ~49.9% McCain, down from 50.5%.

It's impossible to tell from that map what they added to the 1st district, the 2nd has clearly been unpacked quite a bit to ~60.4% Obama. Or just about still strong enough to be safe.

Ah, thanks Johnny!

[minionofmidas]

Hmmm... doesn't look Democratic enough to consider Coffman a goner. No need to update the scoreboard.

[minionofmidas]

FWIW, Wasserman is skeptical about how much of a win for the Democrats the adopted map is.

I agree. I don't see it as a terribly great map.

Well, they needed to draw a map a judge might be convinced to implement.

[minionofmidas]

Tipton also is hardly a lock for 2012 in co-3

Just as true before redistricting, though.

[minionofmidas]

FWIW, Wasserman is skeptical about how much of a win for the Democrats the adopted map is.

I agree. I don't see it as a terribly great map.

Right. Why settle for 3+1 when you can have 5?



1st 72.5, 2nd 58.9, 3rd 55.6, 4th 34.3, 5th 42.0, 6th 57.1, 7th 57.0 Obama.

I'm sure it could be optimized further.

[minionofmidas]

I assume the court would have rejected such a map.

Quite so.

[minionofmidas]

Improved; carved up Denver.



Also, now with closeup.



1st 60.8%, 2nd 61.4%, 3rd 56.9%, 6th 62.1%, 7th 61.2% Obama
4th 62.4%, 5th 61.0% McCain

4th district is roadlinked by Route 40 and State Highway 14 except within Steamboat Springs city limits.

[minionofmidas]

The Colorado Supreme Court has ruled that Colorado's constitution bans redistricting outside the x1-x2 cycle (in response to Republicans trying it). Whether it would be theoretically possible this spring, I have no idea. Would require some research.
Doubt it would happen even if it might, though.