What is considered a 'Safe' popular vote win? (user search)
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  What is considered a 'Safe' popular vote win? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What is considered a 'Safe' popular vote win?  (Read 16725 times)
angus
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« on: March 19, 2004, 11:16:19 PM »

That's Bill Schneider's take on it.  Greenfield says it's probably more like 2%.  So does Michael Beschloss.  Of course it's mathematically possible to win 70% of the PV and still lose.  But unlikely.
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angus
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« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2004, 11:32:06 PM »

Hayes was a special case.  The GOP were playing some pretty dirty tricks that year, particularly in Oregon.

NHpolitico is right, at least in a historical context.  Also consider disapproval ratings, over 40 means bad news for the incumbent.
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