US House Redistricting: California

[greenforest32]

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California Democrats will probably be able to reach 2/3+ in both chambers of the state legislature in the future, especially if that election-day voter registration bill passes this session and voter turnout (as a percentage of eligible voters, not registered) nears/hits 70% in presidential election years: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=154608.0

Tough times ahead for the California Republican party.

[greenforest32]

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California Democrats will probably be able to reach 2/3+ in both chambers of the state legislature in the future, especially if that election-day voter registration bill passes this session and voter turnout (as a percentage of eligible voters, not registered) nears/hits 70% in presidential election years: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=154608.0

Tough times ahead for the California Republican party.

One might have a situation where the Dems in POTUS election years pass tax increases, and then they are repealed by referendum in off year elections.

Maybe Republicans will get a 3/4 supermajority requirement for tax increases on the ballot. I could see that passing...

It's the law in Arkansas and Oklahoma already: http://www.ncsl.org/issues-research/budget/legislative-supermajority-to-raise-taxes%E2%80%942008.aspx

[greenforest32]

California Democrats will probably be able to reach 2/3+ in both chambers of the state legislature in the future, especially if that election-day voter registration bill passes this session and voter turnout (as a percentage of eligible voters, not registered) nears/hits 70% in presidential election years: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=154608.0

The election-day voter registration bill passed the legislature I think: http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/Bills/AB_1436/20112012/

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Brown is going to sign it right?

[greenforest32]

California Democrats will probably be able to reach 2/3+ in both chambers of the state legislature in the future, especially if that election-day voter registration bill passes this session and voter turnout (as a percentage of eligible voters, not registered) nears/hits 70% in presidential election years: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=154608.0

The election-day voter registration bill passed the legislature I think: http://www.aroundthecapitol.com/Bills/AB_1436/20112012/

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Brown is going to sign it right?

Yup: http://gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=17748

I don't think it will go in effect until 2016 because the database it relies on won't be updated till then but it will be interesting to see how much California's voter turnout increases from 2012 to 2016 and what that changes seat-wise under the existing House/state legislature maps.