Pennsylvania 2012: Casey's Challenge

[MD]

Today, Corbett looks like he is vulnerable.   It might be the right time for him to strike in 14.  However, Meehan makes for a strong candidate for that seat especially if Obama is re-elected.  If an off-year, he could win it quite easily.   2014 already looks like a tough cycle for the D's in the Senate.  As many as a dozen could have competitive races while the R seats all look safe.  Some of that is a function of how well the D's did in 08.  So Casey leaving could put them in peril.    We'll see.

[MD]

Phil - I was assuming a Casey win against Corbett in 14.   Then you would have either Meehan or Gerlach run in the 15 special against who knows?   Maybe Sestak again.  I think Meehan makes a better candidate than Gerlach.  I should have made my point a bit more clear.  Sorry.   14 could be an ugly cycle for D Senators.  A dozen races on that side will be competitive to one degree or another.   Pretty much zero on the R side (that will change in 16).   Anyway, Casey winning the gov race could prove disasterous to the D's in the Senate.