Official US 2010 Census Results

[cinyc]

Anybody know why Alamogordo's population fell? Cuts at the air force base?

That would be my guess, at least in part.  Wikipedia claims there were cuts to the German Air Force Flying Training Center there.  But that cut alone wouldn't explain all of the 5,200 or so residents who left Alamogordo over the past decade.  White Sands Missile Range and part of Fort Bliss are also in the area, though the more populated areas of Fort Bliss are closer to El Paso and the community of White Sands on the range is closer to Las Cruces.

[Horus]

Results for Minnesota are out now. Looks like blacks and asians both gained about 60%... and hispanics 70%. Highest overall population growth was in the western Minneapolis suburbs. Some of the northern counties held up better than I thought they would too. I'll wait on someone else to do a detailed analysis but those are some interesting figures.

[danny]

And both Minneapolis and St. Paul were almost flat, Minneapolis actually lost a total of just 40 people.

[Nhoj]

Results for Minnesota are out now. Looks like blacks and asians both gained about 60%... and hispanics 70%. Highest overall population growth was in the western Minneapolis suburbs. Some of the northern counties held up better than I thought they would too. I'll wait on someone else to do a detailed analysis but those are some interesting figures.

Yeah St Louis county lost around 3k less than the 09 estimate had predicted.

[cinyc]

And both Minneapolis and St. Paul were almost flat, Minneapolis actually lost a total of just 40 people.

St. Paul lost over 2,000 residents.  Two larger Hennepin County suburbs also lost population, Bloomington, home of the Mall of America, and Minnetonka, in the western part of the county.  Hennepin County itself gained population.  St. Paul's County, Ramsey, lost population. 

Alaska, North Dakota and Tennessee are also out.  Memphis shrunk, but not by enough to be passed by Nashville-Davidson.  The growth in the Mat-Su Valley of Alaska was very high.  And Fargo is where it's at.

There will be more when I have a chance to write things up.

[minionofmidas]

Tennessee, North Dakota, Alaska also out. Memphis marginally lost population, Shelby County is majority black now (I think the estimates had been saying that since 2007 or so, though). State's Hispanic share more than doubled, to 4.6%. Nashville is 10% Hispanic.
Just 11 counties in North Dakota gained - including Fargo, Grand Forks, Bismarck and the reservations.

[minionofmidas]

Okay, so the rises in Black population in Minnesota and North Dakota are a little strange. ND's actually doubled - its 2000 Black population was very largely affiliated with the air force bases.
Minnesota's is up from 3.4 to 5.1%, or by a hundred thousand people. That is, it's grown as fast  as the Asian population percentagewise, and as fast as the Hispanic population in raw numbers.

[Brittain33]

Okay, so the rises in Black population in Minnesota and North Dakota are a little strange. ND's actually doubled - its 2000 Black population was very largely affiliated with the air force bases.
Minnesota's is up from 3.4 to 5.1%, or by a hundred thousand people. That is, it's grown as fast  as the Asian population percentagewise, and as fast as the Hispanic population in raw numbers.

A significant share of that number may be Somali, although the Internet gives conflicting estimates.

[minionofmidas]

Yeah, I recall that. Will be interesting to see ancestry breakdowns once they become available.

[RBH]

Shelby County, 2000: 48.4% Black NH, 46.2% White NH, 2.6% Hispanic
Shelby County, 2010: 49.48% Black NH, 42.2% White NH, 4.9% Hispanic

Memphis, 2000: 56.2% Black NH, 38.4% White NH, 2.9% Hispanic
Memphis, 2010: 60.1% Black NH, 31.5% White NH, 5.7% Hispanic

In case you were wondering.

[minionofmidas]

Shelby County, 2010: 49.48% Black NH, 42.2% White NH, 4.9% Hispanic

Source? Is that a dated estimate? Census release has it at 52.1% Black, 40.6% White (both incl. Hispanic), 5.6% Hispanic.
Oh, and Memphis at 63.3% Black.

[RBH]

Shelby County, 2010: 49.48% Black NH, 42.2% White NH, 4.9% Hispanic

Source? Is that a dated estimate? Census release has it at 52.1% Black, 40.6% White (both incl. Hispanic), 5.6% Hispanic.
Oh, and Memphis at 63.3% Black.

I clicked the 18+ numbers.

And the numbers are 63.1% Black NH, 27.5% White NH.

[cinyc]

Alaska, Minnesota, North Dakota and Tennessee have been released:

Alaska
Alaska doesn't really have counties.  Census uses Municipalities, Boroughs and Census Areas to describe regions.  Among the top 20, Matanuska-Susitna Borough, Anchorage's northern exurbs, was the fastest-growing, up 50% from 2000.   Surprisingly, North Slope Borough was next, up 27.7%.  Estimates had shown a population decrease in oil country.  Why there was a gain here is a bit of a conundrum - temporary oil workers working in Prudhoe Bay usually haven't counted as residents and North Slope's largest city, Barrow, actually lost population.   Fairbanks-North Star Borough (+17.8%) was next, followed by its rural neighbor, Southeast Fairbanks Borough (+13.8%).  Anchorage Municipality grew by 12.1%, slower than the state as a whole (+13.3%), but picked up more residents than any other county equivalent, even Mat-Su.  Kenai Peninsula Borough (+11.5%), south of Anchorage, also experienced double-digit growth.  

It appears that much of Southeast Alaska shrunk.  Juneau City and Borough (+1.8%) and Sitka City and Borough (+0.5%) barely grew, while Ketchikan Gateway Borough (-4.2%) declined.  Other geographic areas in Southeast Alaska weren't directly comparable due to incorporations and annexations.

Bush areas were mixed.  The Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area, generally encompassing extremely rural areas of interior Alaska to the north and west of Fairbanks, lost 14.7% of its population.  Valdez-Cordova Census Area (-5.5%), Kodiak Island Borough (-2.3%) and the Dillingham Census Area (-1.5%) on Bristol Bay lost population.  Others not in the top 20 also lost population, including Bristol Bay, Lake and Peninsula Borough on the Alaska Peninsula that sticks out toward the Aleutians, and Yakutat in Southeast Alaska.  On the other hand, some of the coastal bush county equivalents, including the Bethel Census Area (+6.3%), the Wade Hampton Census Area, south of Nome (+6.1%), Northwest Arctic Borough (Kotzebue; +4.4%), the Nome Census Area (+3.2%) and even the Aleutians West Census Area (+1.8%) grew, albeit more slowly than the state.   The Aleutians East Census Area was too small to be in the top 20, but also grew from 15-30% - faster than the state.

On the municipal level, the fastest-growth among the top 20 incorporated places was in South Central Alaska, particularly in Mat-Su and Kenai Peninsula Boroughs.  Sarah Palin's Wasilla was the fastest-growing incorporated place in the state, growing by 43.2%.  Wasilla was followed by the city of Palmer, Mat-Su (+31.0%), Homer, at the end of the road in Kenai (+26.8%), and Anchorage (+12.1%).  Bethel (+11.1%), the market town for much of rural southwest Alaska, and Soldotna, Kenai (+10.7%) also experienced double-digit growth.  Fairbanks city grew by just 4.3%, but it was enough to pass Juneau city (+1.8%) and borough as second-largest in the state.  The other larger municipalities in Southeast Alaska were stagnant or lost population.  The city of Petersburg lost 8.6% of its population, while Sitka (+0.5%), Ketchikan (+1.6%) and Wrangell (+2.6%) were largely flat.  Barrow (-8.1%), the northernmost city in America, Seward (-4.8%), at the end of the other road on the Kenai Peninsula, Kodiak (-3.2%), home to a Coast Guard base on Kodiak Island and the oil port city of Valdez (-1.5%) on Prince William Sound also lost population.
 
Alaska's non-Hispanic White population grew by 7.4%.  Its Hispanic population blossomed by 51.8%, and non-Hispanic Asian population by just about as much - 51.4%.  The non-Hispanic American Indian and Alaska Native Population grew by 6.3%.  As a result, Alaska's non-Hispanic white population declined from 67.6% to 64.1% while its non-Hispanic Alaska Native population declined one point from 15.4% to 14.4%.  The Hispanic and non-Hispanic Asian population both increased by 1.4 points.  5.5% of the state's population is Hispanic.   5.3% is non-Hispanic Asian.

Minnesota
Minnesota's growth was largely concentrated in Minneapolis-St. Paul's suburbs and exurbs, with a few exceptions.  The fastest-growing of the top 20 counties in the state was MSP-southwest suburban Scott (+45.2%), followed by MSP-northwest suburban Wright (+38.6%) and Sherburne (+37.4%), MSP-northeast suburban Chisago (+31.1%) and MSP-east suburban Washington (+18.4%) - areas that BRTD will no doubt tell later us are all exurban hellholes.  Two closer-in MSP suburban counties, Dakota (+12.0%) and Anoka (+11.0%) picked up around the same number of residents as some of these more exurban counties, but grew more slowly in percentage terms due to a higher population base, with Dakota County picking up the most new residents of any county in the state.  At MSP's core, Hennepin County (Minneapolis) grew by 3.2%, while Ramsey County (St. Paul) lost 0.5% of its population.

Other rapid growth areas outside of the MSP suburbs/exurbs included Olmstead (Rochester; +16.1%), Clay (Moohead/Fargo; +15.2%), Blue Earth (Mankato; +14.4%),  Crow Wing (Brainerd; +13.4%), Rice (Fairbault, south of MSP; +13.2%) and Stearns (St. Cloud; +13.1%) counties.  St. Louis County (Duluth) lost 0.2% of its residents.  Otter Tail County (+0.3%) barely grew - which is more than can be said about most smaller counties in southwestern Minnesota.  Every county along the Canadian border except Cook lost population, with Lake of the Woods and Kittson leading the decline.  Every county bordering the Dakotas except Clay and Polk lost population, as did every county along the Iowa border other than Nobels and Mower.

On the municipal level, the fastest-growers were again in the MSP suburbs and exurbs.  Among the top 20 incorporated places, east-suburban Woodbury, Washington County lead the way with 33.4% growth.  It was followed by south-suburban Lakeville, Dakota County (+29.7%), north-sububan Blaine, Anoka County (27.2%), and, within the MSP metro, northwest-suburban Maple Grove, Hennepin County (+22.2%).   North-suburban Brooklyn Park, Hennepin County (+12.5%) and southwest-suburban Eden Prairie, Hennepin County (+10.7%) also experienced double-digit gains.  Minneapolis (-0.0%) was flat, losing 40 residents.  St. Paul (-0.7%) lost 2,083 residents.  Some MSP suburbs like Bloomington (-2.7%) and Minnetonka (-3.1%) and Coon Rapids (-0.2%) lost population while others like Eagan (1.0%) and Edina (+1.1%) were flat.  

Outside of the MSP metro, the city of Rochester grew the fastest among the top 20, at 24.4%.  Rochester's population is now over 100,000, passing Duluth to become Minnesota's third largest city.  St. Cloud (+11.4%) also grew.

Minnesota's non-Hispanic white population grew by 1.6%, much more slowly than the state as a whole (+7.8%).  Its Hispanic population was up 74.5%, while its non-Hispanic black (+59.4%) and non-Hispanic Asian (+51.0%) also grew rapidly.   Minnesota still has more non-Hispanic blacks than Hispanics of any race.


North Dakota
As Lewis Trondheim said, just 11 counties in North Dakota gained population.  But they included the Williston and Dickinson areas of Western North Dakota and the Magic City of Minot as well as Fargo, Grand Forks, Bismarck and some reservations.  Western North Dakota has seen an increase in oil and gas activity due to the discovery of recoverable oil in the Bakken formation.

Among North Dakota's 20 most populous counties, Cass (Fargo) grew the fastest, at a 21.6% clip.  It also picked up the most new residents - over 26,000 - more than live in all but the top-5 North Dakota counties.  Burleigh, home of the capital city of Bismarck, was next, growing at a 17.1% clip, followed by Mountrail (Stanley; +15.7%), in the western part of the state, Williams (Williston; 13.3%), Morton (Mandan; +8.6%), across the Missouri River from Bismarck, Stark (Dickinson; +6.9%), Ward (Minot; +4.9%), home to an Air Force Base in the north central part of the state, Rolette (+1.9%) on the Canadian border, home to Turtle Mountain Indian Reservation, and Grand Forks (+1.1%).  McKenzie, across the Missouri River from Williston, home to a sliver of the Fort Berhold Indian Reservation was not in the top 20, but experienced double-digit growth.  Sioux County, home of the Standing Rock Indian Reservation which straddles the border of the Dakotas, also grew.

Most counties lost population, among the top 20 counties, none more than Pembina (-13.7%), in the northeast corner of the state on the Canadian border.  Walsh County, immediately to Pembina's south, lost 10.3%.  Bottineau County (-10.1%) on the Canadian border also experienced a double-digit loss, as did many smaller, rural counties throughout the state.

On the municipal level, Horace a south Fargo suburb was the fastest-growing.  Its population more than doubled, increasing by 165.6%, albeit from a tiny 2000 base of 915.  West Fargo was the next fastest-growing, increasing its population by 72.9% - but from a much higher base of almost 15,000.  The Bismarck-area suburb of Lincoln (+39.1%) and Fargo-area Casselton (+25.6%) were next, albeit also from very small bases.  Williston (+17.6%) was next, followed by Fargo (+16.5%), which picked up more new residents than any other municipality.  Minot (+11.8%) continued its "magic" growth.  Dickinson (+11.1%) and Bismarck (+10.3%) grew by double-digits, while Bismarck's neighbor, Mandan (+9.6%) and Grand Forks (+7.1%) grew faster than the state (+4.7%).  Most smaller cities not in metro areas or the Western part of the state, like Wahpeton (-9.6%), in the southeast corner of the state and Bottineau (-5.4%) lost population.

North Dakota's non-Hispanic White population grew by 1.5%.  As previously mentioned, its non-Hispanic African American population (+105.3%) more than doubled, its non-Hispanic Asian population (+91.8%) almost did, and its Hispanic population (+73.0%) soared.  But Hispanics still only comprise 2.0% of the state's population - and non-Hispanic Blacks and Asians closer to 1% each.  North Dakota's non-Hispanic American Indian population grew by 15.6%.

[cinyc]

Tennessee
All but 8 of Tennessee's counties grew.  The net losers were largely small and rural; the biggest net gainers were largely in the Nashville, Knoxville and, to a lesser extent, Chattanooga, Tri-Cities and Memphis areas.

The fastest-growing county in percentage terms was south-Nashville suburban Williamson County (+44.7%).  Williamson's immediate eastern neighbor, Rutherford (+44.3%) was a very close second, picking up the most new residents in the state - over 80,000.  Other Middle Tennesee counties near Nashville followed, including west-Nashville suburban Wilson (+28.4%), Montgomery (Clarksville; +27.9%), northeast-suburban Sumner (+23.1%), north-suburban Robertson (+21.8%), south-exurban Maury County (Spring Hill/Columbia; +16.5%) and Putnam County (Cookeville; +16.1%).  Nashville-Davidson County (+10.0%) grew more slowly that the state as a whole (+11.5%), but picked up more new residents than all but Rutherford County - almost 57,000.

Outside of Middle Tennessee, Sevier County (+26.3%), home of Pigeon Forge, Gatlinburg, Dollywood and some Knoxville suburbs, grew fastest.  In the Knoxville area, south Knoxville-suburban Blount County (+16.2%) and Knox County (+13.1%), home of Knoxville and the University of Tennessee, also experienced double-digit growth.   Elsewhere in the state Washington County (Johnson City/Tri-Cities region; +14.7%) and Bradley County (Cleveland; +12.5%), near Chattanooga, experienced double-digit growth.  Chattanooga's county, Hamilton, grew by 9.3%.  Memphis' county, Shelby, grew by 3.4%. Two of Shelby County's neighbors - Fayette and Tipton - experienced double-digit growth but didn't make the top-20 county list.  Fayette grew by 30% or more.

On the municipal level, Memphis shrunk by 0.5%, or about 3,200 residents.  Nashville-Davidson grew by 10.0%, picking up more residents than any other city in the state, and ending up about 20,200 residents short of passing Memphis.  Nashville-area suburbs grew fastest, particularly those to the city's south, including La Vergne, Rutherford County (+74.4%), Brentwood, Williamson County (+58.1%), Murfreesboro, Rutherford County (+58.0%), Smyrna, Rutherford County (+56.3%) and Franklin, Williamson County (+49.3%).  Hendersonville, Sumner County grew by 26.5%.  The Memphis suburbs of Collierville (+37.9%) and  Bartlett (+34.7%) also experienced rapid growth, as did the Middle Tennessee cities of Clarksville (28.2%) and Cookeville (+27.2%).  Johnson City (+13.9%) grew faster than the state as a whole, while its Tri-Cities colleague, Kingsport (+7.3%) lagged.   Chattanooga (+7.8%) and Knoxville (+2.9%)proper also fell behind the state's growth rate, while the Chattanooga area city of Cleveland (+11.0%) more or less kept pace.

Tennessee's non-Hispanic White population also lagged the state, but grew by 6.5%.  Its Hispanic population more than doubled (+134.2%) to 4.6% of the total population, while    Tennessee's non-Hispanic Asian population grew by a respectable 61.0% to 1.4%.  Tennesse's non-Hispanic black population grew by 13.1%.
---------------
Florida, Georgia and Kentucky have shipped to state legislators, and will be released to the rest of us around 2 PM tomorrow.

[minionofmidas]

the smallest growing major county in the state wasn't Shelby though, that was Sullivan (the main Tri-Cities county) at the extreme other end of the state.

[cinyc]

the smallest growing major county in the state wasn't Shelby though, that was Sullivan (the main Tri-Cities county) at the extreme other end of the state.

True.  

I didn't bother listing the more slowly growing major Tennessee counties or cities - the write-up is long enough, already.  All of the top 20 Tennessee counties gained population.  All of the top 20 municipalities also gained population, except Memphis.  It's not North Dakota.  Also, I missed fast-growing Smyrna in the initial write-up,  That's been fixed.

[cinyc]

North Slope Borough, Alaska's gain seems to be due to people declaring residency in Prudhoe Bay, CDP.  The CDP's population grew 43,380%, from 5 residents in 2000 to 2,174 residents in 2010.  The CDP had 47 residents in 1990.   There haven't been any recent estimates.  

I'm not exactly sure what's going on there.  I doubt the CDP has many permanent residents - just oil field workers who rotate out of the area every few weeks.  If they weren't considered residents in 2000, I don't know why they would be in 2010.  Further investigation is required.

[Horus]

Updated Map

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I don't think it's just Somalis, we've had an influx of blacks from Chicago here lately. I'm more interested in the breakdown within Minneapolis and St. Paul really...

North Dakota doesn't surprise me, that Somalis have been drifting to Fargo has been a well known fact there for awhile.

[cinyc]

I don't think it's just Somalis, we've had an influx of blacks from Chicago here lately. I'm more interested in the breakdown within Minneapolis and St. Paul really...

North Dakota doesn't surprise me, that Somalis have been drifting to Fargo has been a well known fact there for awhile.

Without taking into account Hispanic status, 19.4% of Minneapolis residents are black.  St. Paul is 16.4% black.

Hennepin and Ramsey Counties are home to about 31% of Minnesota's population and 70% of the state's African-Americans.

[memphis]

FYI, Memphis had a sizeable annexation back in 2003, which masks what would have been a larger decline. We've been playing this game for decades. In 1910, Memphis was 18 sq mi. We're now at 314 sq mi, which is larger than the combined dry land parts of New York City. Without annexations, we'd have a longterm population decline comparable to or even worse than St. Louis.

[minionofmidas]

North Slope Borough, Alaska's gain seems to be due to people declaring residency in Prudhoe Bay, CDP.  The CDP's population grew 43,380%, from 5 residents in 2000 to 2,174 residents in 2010.  The CDP had 47 residents in 1990.   There haven't been any recent estimates.  

I'm not exactly sure what's going on there.  I doubt the CDP has many permanent residents - just oil field workers who rotate out of the area every few weeks.  If they weren't considered residents in 2000, I don't know why they would be in 2010.  Further investigation is required.

It may be that no one was there (at least no one without an address elsewhere) on Census Date 2000. It's not as if migrant workers don't get counted at all - Kodiak Island gets overcounted at every census, and has its Asian population overstated and Native population understated ate every census, thanks to the salmon run.

[cinyc]

North Slope Borough, Alaska's gain seems to be due to people declaring residency in Prudhoe Bay, CDP.  The CDP's population grew 43,380%, from 5 residents in 2000 to 2,174 residents in 2010.  The CDP had 47 residents in 1990.   There haven't been any recent estimates.  

I'm not exactly sure what's going on there.  I doubt the CDP has many permanent residents - just oil field workers who rotate out of the area every few weeks.  If they weren't considered residents in 2000, I don't know why they would be in 2010.  Further investigation is required.

It may be that no one was there (at least no one without an address elsewhere) on Census Date 2000. It's not as if migrant workers don't get counted at all - Kodiak Island gets overcounted at every census, and has its Asian population overstated and Native population understated ate every census, thanks to the salmon run.

The oil fields don't stop running on April 1.   I'm sure that more than 5 people were there on April 1, 2000.

A similar thing happened in Red Dog Mine CDP.  Its 2000 population was 32.  Its 2010 population was 309.

Prudhoe Bay CDP, Red Dog Mine CDP in Northwest Arctic Borough, Port Clarence CDP in the Nome census area and Attu Station CDP in Aleutians West Borough all have residents but no households.  The population of the last two areas was in the 20s in both 2000 and 2010, though.

[minionofmidas]

Yeah, it might have been something irregular though. Or just something about the time people's contracts expired and where they were from exactly.
Or perhaps more likely just a minor change to residency rules (I think there was one... anyways there was a new more detailed leaflet on what constitutes residency) that affected these places.

[minionofmidas]

2000 text

2010 text