Official US 2010 Census Results

[cinyc]

Massachusetts, Michigan and New Hampshire shipped to legislators today and will be released to the public around 2PM tomorrow afternoon.

Every state plus Puerto Rico and D.C. will likely be released by 2PM Thursday, when Census is holding a press conference to announce, among other things, who will take over from Edgar Springs, Missouri as the mean population center of the United States.  Edgar Springs' reign is coming to an end - or, more accurately, a spot 2.8 miles east of town's reign is.  Will the next population center be in Laclede, Wright or even Webster or Texas County, Missouri or further afield?   The winner gets a visit from NOAA and a commemorative survey mark.

[Tender Branson]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

[Sbane]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

[memphis]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

[Sbane]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

But Detroit's population is only worth about a CD now. And except for Oakland County, there are very few Blacks outside of Detroit. Maybe that changed in the last 10 years but I doubt it.

[Brittain33]

My jaw dropped. WOW. 25%?!

[memphis]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

But Detroit's population is only worth about a CD now. And except for Oakland County, there are very few Blacks outside of Detroit. Maybe that changed in the last 10 years but I doubt it.

The old MI-13 and 14 were each about 60% black. Not saying that two majority black districts will or should be the result of redistricting. Just seeing that I've seen some creative sh!t before. Wouldn't count it out.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036

How is this going to affect redistricting? I assume it will be more difficult now to sustain two VRA districts in the city and they may need to expand outwards to the suburbs.

Yes, the Black parts of Oakland County will likely end up in one of the VRA districts.

This may be true, but Detroit is nearly all black unlike other big cities that have smaller majorites. Won't be that hard to keep to majority black districts if that what Michigan chooses to do.

But Detroit's population is only worth about a CD now. And except for Oakland County, there are very few Blacks outside of Detroit. Maybe that changed in the last 10 years but I doubt it.

Yeah, that's what I meant. How can you maintain two VRA districts when there is barely enough population for one?
And is there a big and homogenous enough pool of black voters somewhere nearby to make up for the losses?

[Dave from Michigan]

Southfield Michigan has could have close to 100,000 people, it had 80,000 in 2000. it was 55% black in 2000, but it's know for where black people move to if they leave the city so it could be a lot more. If 238,000 people left the city they had to move somewhere but of course if they are too spread out it will be harder to make 2 districts. I think they will be able to make 2 districts but they will only be 52-53% black.

[cinyc]

Southfield Michigan has could have close to 100,000 people, it had 80,000 in 2000. it was 55% black in 2000, but it's know for where black people move to if they leave the city so it could be a lot more. If 238,000 people left the city they had to move somewhere but of course if they are too spread out it will be harder to make 2 districts. I think they will be able to make 2 districts but they will only be 52-53% black.

The numbers have been released.  I'll work on a full write-up when I have time.  But like most Michigan cities, Southfield lost population in the last decade.  There are just over 590,000 African-Americans in Detroit and 50,000 in Southfield.  The state as a whole lost both non-Hispanic whites and non-Hispanic African Americans.

[Bacon King]

640,000... To keep two black majority districts, you'd need to pull in another 70k blacks from somewhere, and even then you'd need to find a way to split the black population very evenly to get two barely majority black districts. Doesn't really sound doable at all, IMO. 

[cinyc]

640,000... To keep two black majority districts, you'd need to pull in another 70k blacks from somewhere, and even then you'd need to find a way to split the black population very evenly to get two barely majority black districts. Doesn't really sound doable at all, IMO.  

There are 737,943 blacks in Wayne County and 164,078 in Oakland County (including about 31,000 in Pontiac), plus another almost 58,000 African-Americans in the city of Flint.  If the legislature wants to draw a second black majority district in Southeast Michigan, it probably would be able to - though it would likely have to split Detroit and look very ugly.

The numbers might be a bit lower after taking into account Hispanic status.

[Verily]

On those numbers, I don't think it will be possible to draw two 50% black VAP seats. The legislature may want to try to pack Democrats in anyway, of course, but enough of those blacks are in 80-90% white areas (or, as in Pontiac and Flint, too remote from other blacks) to make two majority seats impossible.

[Sbane]

640,000... To keep two black majority districts, you'd need to pull in another 70k blacks from somewhere, and even then you'd need to find a way to split the black population very evenly to get two barely majority black districts. Doesn't really sound doable at all, IMO.  

There are 737,943 blacks in Wayne County and 164,078 in Oakland County (including about 31,000 in Pontiac), plus another almost 58,000 African-Americans in the city of Flint.  If the legislature wants to draw a second black majority district in Southeast Michigan, it probably would be able to - though it would likely have to split Detroit and look very ugly.

The numbers might be a bit lower after taking into account Hispanic status.

If they can make two AA districts within Wayne and south Oakland County, it won't look that bad. If they need to go to Flint (which if they need to do, I bet they give up on the second district), it gets ugly.

[Verily]

My jaw dropped. WOW. 25%?!

Nearly as much as New Orleans, without a hurricane.

Also, Wayne County in 2010 has fewer people than Detroit had in 1950.

[cinyc]

Massachusetts, Michigan and New Hampshire were released today:

Massachusetts
Massachusetts didn't grow much in the past decade (+3.1%), and what little growth there was was somewhat uniform.  More of the rich and the famous called Martha's Vineyard their home, causing the population of Dukes County to increase by 10.3%.   Growing at more than  times the state average sounds impressive until you realize the Vineyard is still small and 10.3% was just over 1,500 residents.  Dukes was the only county which experienced double-digit growth.  It was followed by Nantucket (+6.8%), and Boston exurban/suburban/maybe not Worcester (+6.3%) and Plymouth (+4.7%) counties and Boston's Suffolk County (+4.7%).  Western Massachusetts' Hampshire County (+3.8%), home to the college towns of Amherst and Northampton, and Boston-suburban Norfolk County (+3.2%) also grew slightly faster than the state.  Cape Cod's Barnstable County (-2.9%) and Western Massachusetts' Berkshire (-2.8%) and Franklin (-0.2%) Counties lost population.  North suburban/exurban Boston's Middlesex County (+2.6%) remains the largest in the state with a population just over 1.5 million.

On the municipal level, there wasn't much change, either.  Among the top 20 cities, Plymouth (+9.2%) grew fastest, while Boston (+4.8%) picked up the most new residents, over 28,000.  In the Merrimack Valley near the New Hampshire border, majority-Hispanic Lawrence (+6.0%) and Haverhill (+3.2%) grew faster than Lowell (+1.3%).   Elsewhere in the Boston area, Malden (+5.5%), Quincy (+4.8%) and Harvard's Cambridge (+3.8%) grew faster than the state, while Brookline (+2.8%), Waltham (+2.4%), Framingham (+2.1%), Lynn (+1.4%), Newton (+1.6%) and Medford (+0.7%) did not.  Inner Boston-area Somerville (-2.2%) and south suburban Brockton (-0.5%) lost population.  Outside of the Boston area, the cities of Worcester (+4.9%), New Bedford (+1.4%) and Springfield (+0.6%) grew, while Fall River (-3.4%) lost the most population of any city in the top 20.

Massachusetts' non-Hispanic white population fell by 4.1%.  Its Hispanic population increased by 46.4%.  Massachusetts' non-Hispanic Asian growth was slightly higher (+46.8%) than Hispanic growth and its non-Hispanic Black population growth (+23.0%) about half that.

Michigan
To come in a separate post.

New Hampshire
Growth was a little bit faster in Central New Hampshire than counties on Massachusetts border.  Central Strafford (Rochester/Dover/UNH; +9.7%), Carroll (Lake region; +9.5%), Grafton (Hanover/Lebanon/Dartmouth; +9.0%), Sullivan (Claremont; +8.1%), Merrimack (Concord; +7.5%) and Belknap (Laconia/Lake region; +6.7%) counties all grew faster than the state (+6.5%).  Massachusetts-bordering Rockingham (Portsmouth/Salem; +6.4%), Hillsborough (Manchester/Nashua; +5.2%) and Cheshire (Keene; +4.5%) counties lagged statewide growth, but Hillsborough picked up more residents than any other county, almost 20,000.  Coos County in the north lost 0.2% of its population - 56 people.

On the municipal level, commuter and college towns grew fastest.  Windham, Rockingham County, in the I-93 commuter corridor, grew by 26.9%, fastest among the top 20.  Windham was followed by Manchester-suburban Bedford (+16.0%), the University of New Hampshire's hometown of Durham (+15.6%), Nashua-area Milford (+11.7%) and Portsmouth-area Dover (+11.5%).  The state capital of Concord (+4.9%) grew, its largest city, Manchester (+2.4%) lagged and Nashua (-0.1%) actually lost population.  Portsmouth (-0.0%) was flat.  Other population-losing top 20 municipalities included lake-region Laconia (-2.8%) and, somewhat surprisingly, Derry (-2.7%) in the I-93 commuter corridor

New Hampshire's non-Hispanic white population increased by 3.4%.  It remains over 90% non-Hispanic white, despite its Hispanic population increasing by 79.1%, non-Hispanic Asian population by 78.7% and non-Hispanic African American population increasing by 63.1%.   As in 2000, New Hampshire's blacks remain a very tiny minority - there are more Hispanics and non-Hispanic Asians in the state than non-Hispanic African-Americans.

[Dave from Michigan]

from what I'm seeing a lot of cities close to Detroit have big increases in black population

[memphis]

from what I'm seeing a lot of cities close to Detroit have big increases in black population

Not surprising. Blacks with the means have been fleeing urban ghettos all over the country.

[cinyc]

from what I'm seeing a lot of cities close to Detroit have big increases in black population

Not surprising. Blacks with the means have been fleeing urban ghettos all over the country.

The difference is that, like whites, blacks are fleeing from the entire state of Michigan, not just the urban ghettos there.  The only groups whose numbers significantly increased were Hispanics, non-Hispanic Asians and those of 2 or more races.   The non-Hispanic American Indian and non-Hispanic Pacific Islander populations also grew, but only very slightly.

[bgwah]

from what I'm seeing a lot of cities close to Detroit have big increases in black population

Not surprising. Blacks with the means have been fleeing urban ghettos all over the country.

The difference is that, like whites, blacks are fleeing from the entire state of Michigan, not just the urban ghettos there.  The only groups whose numbers significantly increased were Hispanics, non-Hispanic Asians and those of 2 or more races.   The non-Hispanic American Indian and non-Hispanic Pacific Islander populations also grew, but only very slightly.

Well, that may be true, but the state black population only appears to have decreased by 1%, so a lot must have simply moved elsewhere within the state, presumably to the suburbs...?

[cinyc]

from what I'm seeing a lot of cities close to Detroit have big increases in black population

Not surprising. Blacks with the means have been fleeing urban ghettos all over the country.

The difference is that, like whites, blacks are fleeing from the entire state of Michigan, not just the urban ghettos there.  The only groups whose numbers significantly increased were Hispanics, non-Hispanic Asians and those of 2 or more races.   The non-Hispanic American Indian and non-Hispanic Pacific Islander populations also grew, but only very slightly.

Well, that may be true, but the state black population only appears to have decreased by 1%, so a lot must have simply moved elsewhere within the state, presumably to the suburbs...?

By my math, Detroit lost about 185,000 blacks - almost 24% of the 2000 Detroit African-American population.  Wayne County outside Detroit picked up about 55,000 African-Americans.  Macomb County picked up about 51,000 blacks.  Oakland County picked up about 43,000 blacks.  That leaves about 36,000 Detroit blacks who didn't move to the Detroit-area's big two suburban counties or suburban Wayne. All those areas lost whites.  

Outside of the big 3 counties, you might be able to find a few more Detroit blacks who moved to more far-flung Livingston or Monroe counties, but their combined African-American population is only about 4,000 to begin with.

Note that this is before taking into account Hispanic status.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

New Hampshire won't even need to change its lines. The districts are only 254 people from the mean:

NH-01    Guinta (R)    657,984    (254)
NH-02    Bass (R)    658,486    254

[cinyc]

Rhode Island, South Carolina and West Virginia shipped to legislators today and are expected to be released at 2PM tomorrow.  Sorry, New York and Maine - you're dead last, on equal footing with D.C. and Puerto Rico.

[bullmoose88]

Could someone be so kind to put a post in here with links to the individual states (or Cincy's summaries)?

Thanks.