Official US 2010 Census Results

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What information will be released in the 2010 census that was not released in the 2000 census and visa versa?

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It looks like a net six vote loss to Obama in the Electoral College over 2008.

Yes. Also true with a tied popular vote.

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Just saw the results, but don't have a lot of time for analysis because I´m off to work:



The green states had larger numerical gains this decade than in the 90s.

Obama loses a net 6 EV in 2012.

I´m really surprised that the overall figure is not higher, maybe the 2000 Census was a slight overcount.

It also looks like states who had high (or higher compared with 2000) mail-in participation have better growth than other states (see North Carolina or Texas).

More later.

Somewhat of a regional pattern to the states with higher growth in the 2000s than in the 1990s, in fact 5 consecutive states from SC, NC, VA, WV, and PA. Not sure if this is coinidence or not.

Can anyone make a % gain map?

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What information will be released in the 2010 census that was not released in the 2000 census and visa versa?

Anybody know?

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The congressional districts that appear to have lost population are (within state ordered from most declining):

AL-7
AR-4
CA-31, 53, 38, 47
FL-10
IL-4, 1, 2, 17, 7, 9, 6
IN-7, 6
IA-5
KS-1
LA-2, 3, 5
MI-14, 13, 5, 12, 1, 9, 15, 11
MN-4, 7
MS-2
MO-1
NE-3
NJ-10, 8
NY-28, 27, 24, 25, 26, 29
NC-1
OH-11, 10, 6, 17, 5, 1, 4
PA-14, 12, 5, 4, 2, 3
RI-1
SC-6
TN-9
VA-2
WV-3, 1

Most of which are self-explanatory (inner cities, black belt, plains, rust belt), but I was somewhat surprised at IL-6, VA-2, and FL-10.

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The congressional districts that appear to have lost population are (within state ordered from most declining):

AL-7
AR-4
CA-31, 53, 38, 47
FL-10
IL-4, 1, 2, 17, 7, 9, 6
IN-7, 6
IA-5
KS-1
LA-2, 3, 5
MI-14, 13, 5, 12, 1, 9, 15, 11
MN-4, 7
MS-2
MO-1
NE-3
NJ-10, 8
NY-28, 27, 24, 25, 26, 29
NC-1
OH-11, 10, 6, 17, 5, 1, 4
PA-14, 12, 5, 4, 2, 3
RI-1
SC-6
TN-9
VA-2
WV-3, 1

Most of which are self-explanatory (inner cities, black belt, plains, rust belt), but I was somewhat surprised at IL-6, VA-2, and FL-10.

There's no way NY-23 didn't lose population, too.  Perhaps NY-22, as well - though that depends on whether more people left the Binghamton area than moved into the Orange, Ulster and Dutchess portion of the district.

I used jimrtex's list from this thread though that may be the 2009 ACS estimates, and I used the census 2000 100% summary for the 2000s CD's. That has NY-23 up 3,882 or 0.59% and NY-22 up 13,587 or 2.08%.

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...though Allegheny did so by 0.2%

Hispanic share almost doubled - Hispanic population more than doubled. Black share also rose. State is now down to 55% Anglo.

The Prince George's County exurban outmigration continues.  The African-American population in neighboring Charles County nearly doubled, while the white population dropped by almost 10,000.  African-Americans make up about 41% of the county's population.   Whites are now barely a majority there, with 50.3%.   Whites continue to leave Prince George's County, too.

I wonder if this reflects the "syndrome" that whites don't want to live with blacks when their percentage in the hood gets "too high," or whether it is more due to differential hood housing demand, with blacks paying a premium to live in high percentage black neighborhoods that are safe and middle class, with decent schools. Does anyone know? Is this more about "racism" or economics is my question. And I have no idea, at least in this neck of the woods (in the deep South I just might assume racism frankly), what the answer is.

Part of it is that whites are leaving Maryland (and much of the Northeast, I suspect) for other areas of the country.  Maryland's non-Hispanic white population dropped by about 32,000 in the last 10 years.  Part is people moving from suburban Prince George's to new exurban developments in Charles County.  Since the overwhelming majority of Prince George's residents are black, it usually logically follows that those moving in to new developments up the road would be of the same race.  And a good part of it is probably simple white flight to other areas of Maryland.  The white population of Charles County's neighbors, St. Mary's and Calvert counties, both rose by over 10,000.

Is there data yet for which states had a net loss of whites?

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What information will be released in the 2010 census that was not released in the 2000 census and visa versa?

Anybody know?

The 2000 census included only the short form which asked the following questions:

Number Persons in Household
Housing: Owned; Mortgaged; Rented; Squatting.

For each person:

Family relationship to person filling out form
Sex
Age
Hispanicity
Race

The information that was formerly collected by the long form, is now collected in the American Community Survey.

Housing: Type (house, apartment, cave, boat, etc.), age, length of tenancy, acreage, farm income, business use, number of rooms, number of bedrooms, running water, flush toilet, bathtub or shower, sink with faucet, stove or range, refrigerator, telephone, number of vehicles, heating fuel, cost of electricity, gas, water&sewer, and other fuel; food stamps, condominium (and fee), rent (and whether board included), value, taxes, insurance, mortgage payments,

Population: Citizenship, and basis thereof; entry into USA, attending school and level, highest level of education completed,  ancestry, language spoken at home, residence location 1 year earlier, health insurance, deaf, blind, physical disabilities, marital status, recent motherhood, caring for grandchildren, military service, employment, commuting, laid off, productive or government worker, income, social security.

The long form was distributed to a large sample of households (10% to 20%) and was intended to ask all the annoying questions that would have made census participation plummet if asked of everyone.  It was intended to be a large enough sample to provide statistically reliable information for small areas (down to the block group, which has around 1000 persons).

The American Community Survey is administered on an ongoing basis, with a much smaller sample each month, but which when aggregated over 5 years produces a comparable sample size and accuracy to the long form.  The Census Bureau earlier this month released the ACS data for 2005 to 2009.   The Census Bureau also releases ACS data on 3-year and 1-year basis for larger areas (3-year data is statistically reliable for areas with population greater than 20,000; and the 1-year data for areas with population greater than 65,000).

Because the data is collected on a continuing basis, next year the ACS will be released for 2006 to 2010, with the oldest year of the sample being dropped and a new year added in.  So the ACS will be better for trends, while the long form census data, while clearer and more concise because it all is for a single data, won't show changes between decades, and because of unlucky timing might even be misleading (a 2010 long form would show higher levels of unemployment, and more persons in their mid-20s living with their parents).

So everything will still be covered, just in different format or different times? I had heard a while back that there would not be ancestry asked this decade. Yes or no?

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Alabama, Hawaii, Missouri, Nevada and Utah are now out.  The highlights, in reverse alphabetical order:

Utah
In Utah, growth was largely in the Salt Lake City area, particularly in the I-15 corridor from Salt Lake City to Provo.  The state's fastest-growing cities were Lehi (+149%),  Spanish Fork (+71%), South Jordan (+71%), Draper (+67%), Riverton (+55%), West Jordan (+52%) and St. George (+47%), all but the last of which are in that corridor.  Salt Lake City proper barely grew (+3%) and suburban Sandy lost population (-1%).

The fastest-growing counties were Wasatch (+55%), on the other side of the mountains for which it is named from Provo (perhaps exurban spillover in the Heber City area - but the population is still under 25k), Washington (+53%), on the state's southwest corner in Utah's dixie, home to the city of St. George, Tooele (+43%), immediately west of Salt Lake County, and Utah (+40%), home of Provo and BYU.   Salt Lake County grew slower than the state (14.6% vs. 23.8%), but still picked up more residents than all but Utah County - and more residents than live in all but the top 5 counties.

Where are you getting the tabular form for data like this? The website is hard to navigate.

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Can anyone find high (over 40%) Asian tracts outside the West Coast and the urban areas? I find one 54% outside Philly and several over 40%, up to 49%, in MontCo, MD.

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Can anyone find high (over 40%) Asian tracts outside the West Coast and the urban areas? I find one 54% outside Philly and several over 40%, up to 49%, in MontCo, MD.

Morrisville, NC has one tract which is 40% Asian, a few of the surrounding ones are 30%.  Depending on what you mean by urban, you have a 42% in southwest Charlotte (while its in the city, the area looks suburban)

Also have a 40% tracts in western Nassau (Herricks with a few surrounding tracts at 39%, and others in the 30% + range (with some more over 40% ones over the Queens border

Morrisville is due to the proximity to Research Triangle Park. Not sure about the Charlotte one.

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That surprised me. While looking at that, I also saw one in Athens.

It appears that the only states without a black plurality tract are OR, ID, MT, WY, ND, SD, UT, NM, AK, HI, RI, VT, NH, and ME.

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These CD's have lost population:

NY 28, 27, 11, 15, 3, 6, 14
RI-1
WV-3
MI 13, 14, 5, 12, 1, 9
FL-10
KY-5
MN-4
TN-9
WI-4
OH 11, 1, 10, 17, 9, 6, 5
PA 14, 12, 2, 3
CA 31, 47, 33
NE-3
KS-1
AL-7
MO-1
TX-32
IL 1, 4, 2, 9, 17, 7, 5, 10
AR-4
IA-5
MD-7
LA 2, 3
MS-2
NJ-10

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Growth for non-Hispanic whites:

Blue = above average growth
Gray = below average growth
Red = population decline

Growth for minorities:

Blue = above average
Red = below average (DC was the only negative)

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113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

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113th CD demographics have been released, though doesn't appear to list VAP or white non-hispanics.

http://www.census.gov/newsroom/releases/archives/american_community_survey_acs/cb13-tps07.html

Those are both cross tabs from race, hispanic and age. The easy stats don't list them, just the main categories. This is also only from the 1-year sample so the statistics get weaker as one tries to cross tabulate different questions.

The Census Bureau releases ACS data based on areas as of January 1 of the last year of the collection period.   The 1-year 2011 data was released in September 2012, and the 3-year data was released in the following months.

Presumably the 2012 release will have data for the congressional districts for the 113rd Congress.  The raw ACS data has street addresses and block numbers, so tabulation should be
"trivial".  The minimum sampling rate (one year) is 1.5%, so the estimates for CD-sized objects entities should be pretty good.

I.E., that data isn't available yet? When is it expected to come? Interesting since some states had NHW and VAP data available before the districts took effect.

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https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bz_uFI8VY7xLQWlodGI1T1FiSUk/edit?pli=1

appears to include NHW VAP, but doesn't match up with DailyKos's numbers.