Official US 2010 Census Results

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Well, there will probably be something surprising.

I think there might be a few surprising results.

I wrote a congressional apportionment program, which stands ready to plug in the final numbers when made available.

By my own population estimates, here are the final 10 seats:

Seat #426:   Texas (35)               Priority:   732,184
Seat #427:   Alabama (7)             Priority:   731,513
Seat #428:   California (52)          Priority:   724,203
Seat #429:   Pennsylvania (18)    Priority:   722,748
Seat #430:   South Carolina (7)   Priority:   714,149
Seat #431:   Arizona (10)             Priority:   714,054
Seat #432:   New York (28)          Priority:   712,863
Seat #433:   Washington (10)     Priority:   712,175
Seat #434:   Texas (36)               Priority:   711,554
Seat #435:   Missouri (9)              Priority:   710,867

...and here are the first 10 that don't make the cut:

Seat #436:   California (53)        Priority:   710,408
Seat #437:   Florida (27)              Priority:   710,227
Seat #438:   Minnesota (8 )         Priority:   708,831
Seat #439:   North Carolina (14)  Priority:   707,359
Seat #440:   Oregon (6)               Priority:   707,156
Seat #441:   Illinois (19)               Priority:   701,047
Seat #442:   Ohio (17)                  Priority:   701,021
Seat #443:   New Jersey (13)       Priority:   699,490
Seat #444:   Massachusetts (10) Priority:   697,903
Seat #445:   California (54)          Priority:   697,128


Stay tuned...

Love,
Your friendly neighborhood Beef.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Regions. NY. 2.1%. MN 7.8%! 8 seats I assume.

It all depends on how CA, FL, MO, and TX do.  My numbers have those four, plus MN, duking it out for the final two seats.

NC and OR and also in the running.  We'll see when we get actual numbers.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

First time ever California didn't gain.

They were lucky not to lose a seat.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Wait... AZ+1 only, and FL+2 ?

And how the hell did Ohio lose only one seat !!!

I'll have the actual apportionment once I get real numbers.  I can also tell you how many more people each state needed to gain/keep a seat.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

OH -1 or -2? I thought it was -2.

I think it's two.

Yeah, AZ+1 is the most obviously surprising thing here.

Not that surprising to me.  By my estimated population numbers I had the LAST FIVE seats going as follows:


Arizona           10th    +2
New York        28th   -1
Washington    10th  +1
Texas              36th  +4
Missouri          9th  

The NEXT FIVE were as such:

California           53rd
Florida               27th +2
Minnesota         8th
North Carolina   14th +1
Oregon              6th +1

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

So three "errors" (AZ, NY, MO vs CA, FL, MN) but all in the top five, or is anything else wrong? Still makes Arizona the most surprising.

It depends on a lot of factors, like how much population movement there was in the past year, how much of it was unexpected, and so forth.  Also, my numbers were based solely on estimates, whereas the final results are an actual headcount (or as close to a headcount as we can come).

The estimates for Arizona and New York were obviously high.

Once I have solid numbers, I will let you know how many people each state needed for its next seat.  Between those last few seats, it will be really close.  A few thousand people, or maybe even under a thousand.

In 2000, UT was only a few hundred people away from getting the last seat, which went to NC instead.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

OHIO LOST 2

Illinois had a BETTER chance of keeping ALL its seats than Ohio had of losing only one.  My numbers had them getting seat #442 to go -1.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Check out the data: http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/

Brutal!

Gotta get lunch, then I'll try to get some apportionment order and other info for y'all.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

LAST TEN SEATS:
Seat #426: Texas 35 (+3)              Priority: 728,933
Seat #427: Pennsylvania 18 (-1)   Priority: 726,147
Seat #428: California 52 (-1)         Priority: 723,412
Seat #429: Georgia 14 (+1)           Priority: 718,097
Seat #430: South Carolina 7 (+1)  Priority: 713,709
Seat #431: California 53 (nc)         Priority: 709,631
Seat #432: Florida 27 (+2)            Priority: 709,610
Seat #433: Washington 10 (+1)   Priority: 708,829
Seat #434: Minnesota 8 (nc)         Priority: 708,767
Seat #435: Texas 36 (+4)             Priority: 708,396

NEXT TEN SEATS
Seat #436: North Carolina 14 (+1)  Priority: 706,817
Seat #437: Missouri 9 (nc)               Priority: 705,802
Seat #438: New York 28 (-1)           Priority: 704,775
Seat #439: New Jersey 13 (nc)       Priority: 703,915
Seat #440: Montana 2 (+1)             Priority: 699,622
Seat #441: Louisiana 7 (nc)            Priority: 699,514
Seat #442: Ohio 17 (-1)                  Priority: 699,503
Seat #443: Oregon 6 (+1)              Priority: 699,455
Seat #444: Virginia 12 (+1)            Priority: 696,400
Seat #445: California 54 (+1)         Priority: 696,366

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Here's the total apportionment run:


Seat #51: California 2
Seat #52: Texas 2
Seat #53: California 3
Seat #54: New York 2
Seat #55: Florida 2
Seat #56: California 4
Seat #57: Texas 3
Seat #58: Illinois 2
Seat #59: Pennsylvania 2
Seat #60: California 5
Seat #61: Ohio 2
Seat #62: New York 3
Seat #63: Florida 3
Seat #64: Texas 4
Seat #65: Michigan 2
Seat #66: Georgia 2
Seat #67: California 6
Seat #68: North Carolina 2
Seat #69: New Jersey 2
Seat #70: California 7
Seat #71: Virginia 2
Seat #72: Texas 5
Seat #73: New York 4
Seat #74: Florida 4
Seat #75: Illinois 3
Seat #76: Pennsylvania 3
Seat #77: California 8
Seat #78: Washington 2
Seat #79: Ohio 3
Seat #80: Massachusetts 2
Seat #81: Texas 6
Seat #82: Indiana 2
Seat #83: Arizona 2
Seat #84: Tennessee 2
Seat #85: California 9
Seat #86: New York 5
Seat #87: Missouri 2
Seat #88: Florida 5
Seat #89: Maryland 2
Seat #90: Michigan 3
Seat #91: Wisconsin 2
Seat #92: Georgia 3
Seat #93: California 10
Seat #94: North Carolina 3
Seat #95: Texas 7
Seat #96: Minnesota 2
Seat #97: Illinois 4
Seat #98: Pennsylvania 4
Seat #99: New Jersey 3
Seat #100: Colorado 2
Seat #101: California 11
Seat #102: New York 6
Seat #103: Florida 6
Seat #104: Alabama 2
Seat #105: Texas 8
Seat #106: Ohio 4
Seat #107: South Carolina 2
Seat #108: Virginia 3
Seat #109: California 12
Seat #110: Louisiana 2
Seat #111: Kentucky 2
Seat #112: New York 7
Seat #113: California 13
Seat #114: Texas 9
Seat #115: Florida 7
Seat #116: Illinois 5
Seat #117: Michigan 4
Seat #118: Pennsylvania 5
Seat #119: Georgia 4
Seat #120: California 14
Seat #121: North Carolina 4
Seat #122: Washington 3
Seat #123: Oregon 2
Seat #124: Massachusetts 3
Seat #125: Oklahoma 2
Seat #126: Texas 10
Seat #127: Indiana 3
Seat #128: Arizona 3
Seat #129: Tennessee 3
Seat #130: New York 8
Seat #131: Ohio 5
Seat #132: California 15
Seat #133: New Jersey 4
Seat #134: Connecticut 2
Seat #135: Florida 8
Seat #136: Missouri 3
Seat #137: California 16
Seat #138: Texas 11
Seat #139: Maryland 3
Seat #140: Illinois 6
Seat #141: Wisconsin 3
Seat #142: Pennsylvania 6
Seat #143: Virginia 4
Seat #144: New York 9
Seat #145: California 17
Seat #146: Florida 9
Seat #147: Michigan 5
Seat #148: Texas 12
Seat #149: Georgia 5
Seat #150: Minnesota 3
Seat #151: Iowa 2
Seat #152: North Carolina 5
Seat #153: California 18
Seat #154: Ohio 6
Seat #155: Mississippi 2
Seat #156: Arkansas 2
Seat #157: Colorado 3
Seat #158: New York 10
Seat #159: Kansas 2
Seat #160: California 19
Seat #161: Texas 13
Seat #162: Florida 10
Seat #163: Illinois 7
Seat #164: New Jersey 5
Seat #165: Pennsylvania 7
Seat #166: Utah 2
Seat #167: Alabama 3
Seat #168: Washington 4
Seat #169: California 20
Seat #170: Nevada 2
Seat #171: Massachusetts 4
Seat #172: South Carolina 3
Seat #173: Indiana 4
Seat #174: Texas 14
Seat #175: Louisiana 3
Seat #176: New York 11
Seat #177: Arizona 4
Seat #178: Tennessee 4
Seat #179: California 21
Seat #180: Michigan 6
Seat #181: Florida 11
Seat #182: Virginia 5
Seat #183: Ohio 7
Seat #184: Kentucky 3
Seat #185: Georgia 6
Seat #186: North Carolina 6
Seat #187: Texas 15
Seat #188: California 22
Seat #189: Missouri 4
Seat #190: Illinois 8
Seat #191: Pennsylvania 8
Seat #192: New York 12
Seat #193: Maryland 4
Seat #194: California 23
Seat #195: Wisconsin 4
Seat #196: Florida 12
Seat #197: Texas 16
Seat #198: New Jersey 6
Seat #199: California 24
Seat #200: Oregon 3
Seat #201: New York 13
Seat #202: Ohio 8
Seat #203: Oklahoma 3
Seat #204: Minnesota 4
Seat #205: Michigan 7
Seat #206: Texas 17
Seat #207: California 25
Seat #208: Illinois 9
Seat #209: Florida 13
Seat #210: Washington 5
Seat #211: Pennsylvania 9
Seat #212: Georgia 7
Seat #213: North Carolina 7
Seat #214: Massachusetts 5
Seat #215: California 26
Seat #216: Virginia 6
Seat #217: Connecticut 3
Seat #218: New Mexico 2
Seat #219: Colorado 4
Seat #220: Indiana 5
Seat #221: Texas 18
Seat #222: New York 14
Seat #223: Arizona 5
Seat #224: Tennessee 5
Seat #225: California 27
Seat #226: Florida 14
Seat #227: Alabama 4
Seat #228: Texas 19
Seat #229: Ohio 9
Seat #230: New Jersey 7
Seat #231: California 28
Seat #232: Illinois 10
Seat #233: Missouri 5
Seat #234: Pennsylvania 10
Seat #235: New York 15
Seat #236: South Carolina 4
Seat #237: Michigan 8
Seat #238: West Virginia 2
Seat #239: Louisiana 4
Seat #240: California 29
Seat #241: Florida 15
Seat #242: Georgia 8
Seat #243: Nebraska 2
Seat #244: Maryland 5
Seat #245: Texas 20
Seat #246: North Carolina 8
Seat #247: Wisconsin 5
Seat #248: California 30
Seat #249: Kentucky 4
Seat #250: New York 16
Seat #251: Iowa 3
Seat #252: Virginia 7
Seat #253: Washington 6
Seat #254: Texas 21
Seat #255: Illinois 11
Seat #256: California 31
Seat #257: Ohio 10
Seat #258: Florida 16
Seat #259: Mississippi 3
Seat #260: Pennsylvania 11
Seat #261: Massachusetts 6
Seat #262: Arkansas 3
Seat #263: Minnesota 5
Seat #264: Indiana 6
Seat #265: California 32
Seat #266: New York 17
Seat #267: New Jersey 8
Seat #268: Texas 22
Seat #269: Arizona 6
Seat #270: Michigan 9
Seat #271: Kansas 3
Seat #272: Tennessee 6
Seat #273: California 33
Seat #274: Georgia 9
Seat #275: Florida 17
Seat #276: Utah 3
Seat #277: Colorado 5
Seat #278: North Carolina 9
Seat #279: Texas 23
Seat #280: Illinois 12
Seat #281: California 34
Seat #282: Idaho 2
Seat #283: New York 18
Seat #284: Oregon 4
Seat #285: Pennsylvania 12
Seat #286: Nevada 3
Seat #287: Ohio 11
Seat #288: Missouri 6
Seat #289: Oklahoma 4
Seat #290: California 35
Seat #291: Florida 18
Seat #292: Texas 24
Seat #293: Virginia 8
Seat #294: Alabama 5
Seat #295: Maryland 6
Seat #296: California 36
Seat #297: New York 19
Seat #298: Michigan 10
Seat #299: Wisconsin 6
Seat #300: Washington 7
Seat #301: New Jersey 9
Seat #302: South Carolina 5
Seat #303: Connecticut 4
Seat #304: Illinois 13
Seat #305: Texas 25
Seat #306: Georgia 10
Seat #307: California 37
Seat #308: Pennsylvania 13
Seat #309: Florida 19
Seat #310: Louisiana 5
Seat #311: Massachusetts 7
Seat #312: North Carolina 10
Seat #313: Ohio 12
Seat #314: Indiana 7
Seat #315: New York 20
Seat #316: California 38
Seat #317: Arizona 7
Seat #318: Texas 26
Seat #319: Tennessee 7
Seat #320: Kentucky 5
Seat #321: Minnesota 6
Seat #322: California 39
Seat #323: Florida 20
Seat #324: Hawaii 2
Seat #325: Illinois 14
Seat #326: Texas 27
Seat #327: New York 21
Seat #328: California 40
Seat #329: Virginia 9
Seat #330: Michigan 11
Seat #331: Pennsylvania 14
Seat #332: Maine 2
Seat #333: New Hampshire 2
Seat #334: New Jersey 10
Seat #335: Missouri 7
Seat #336: Georgia 11
Seat #337: Ohio 13
Seat #338: California 41
Seat #339: Colorado 6
Seat #340: Florida 21
Seat #341: Texas 28
Seat #342: North Carolina 11
Seat #343: New York 22
Seat #344: Washington 8
Seat #345: California 42
Seat #346: Maryland 7
Seat #347: Illinois 15
Seat #348: Texas 29
Seat #349: Iowa 4 (-1)
Seat #350: Wisconsin 7
Seat #351: California 43
Seat #352: Pennsylvania 15
Seat #353: Massachusetts 8
Seat #354: Florida 22
Seat #355: Alabama 6
Seat #356: Indiana 8
Seat #357: New York 23
Seat #358: Michigan 12
Seat #359: Oregon 5
Seat #360: Mississippi 4
Seat #361: California 44
Seat #362: Ohio 14
Seat #363: Arizona 8
Seat #364: Texas 30
Seat #365: Tennessee 8
Seat #366: South Carolina 6
Seat #367: Virginia 10
Seat #368: Georgia 12
Seat #369: Arkansas 4
Seat #370: New Mexico 3
Seat #371: Oklahoma 5
Seat #372: New Jersey 11
Seat #373: California 45
Seat #374: Florida 23
Seat #375: North Carolina 12
Seat #376: Illinois 16
Seat #377: Louisiana 6 (-1)
Seat #378: New York 24
Seat #379: Texas 31
Seat #380: Kansas 4
Seat #381: Pennsylvania 16
Seat #382: California 46
Seat #383: Minnesota 7
Seat #384: California 47
Seat #385: Missouri 8 (-1)
Seat #386: Florida 24
Seat #387: Connecticut 5
Seat #388: Texas 32
Seat #389: Utah 4 (+1)
Seat #390: Ohio 15
Seat #391: Washington 9
Seat #392: Kentucky 6
Seat #393: Michigan 13
Seat #394: New York 25
Seat #395: California 48
Seat #396: Nevada 4 (+1)
Seat #397: Illinois 17
Seat #398: Colorado 7
Seat #399: Georgia 13
Seat #400: Texas 33 (+1)
Seat #401: Massachusetts 9 (-1)
Seat #402: Maryland 8
Seat #403: Pennsylvania 17
Seat #404: California 49
Seat #405: Florida 25
Seat #406: New Jersey 12 (-1)
Seat #407: Indiana 9
Seat #408: North Carolina 13
Seat #409: Virginia 11
Seat #410: New York 26
Seat #411: Wisconsin 8
Seat #412: West Virginia 3
Seat #413: Arizona 9 (+1)
Seat #414: California 50
Seat #415: Texas 34 (+2)
Seat #416: Tennessee 9
Seat #417: Nebraska 3
Seat #418: Ohio 16 (-2)
Seat #419: Rhode Island 2
Seat #420: California 51
Seat #421: Alabama 7
Seat #422: Florida 26 (+1)
Seat #423: Illinois 18 (-1)
Seat #424: Michigan 14 (-1)
Seat #425: New York 27 (-2)
Seat #426: Texas 35 (+3)
Seat #427: Pennsylvania 18 (-1)
Seat #428: California 52
Seat #429: Georgia 14 (+1)
Seat #430: South Carolina 7 (+1)
Seat #431: California 53
Seat #432: Florida 27 (+2)
Seat #433: Washington 10 (+1)
Seat #434: Minnesota 8
Seat #435: Texas 36 (+4)

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Oo

I made this list for the 2000 census and it took me a couple of weeks !

I code for a living .

Never used the POI spreadsheet library in Java before.  That took the most time.  But now I know something new .

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

State closest to gaining a another seat

1. Montana (needed 12,409 more people)
2. North Carolina (21,301 short)
3. Missouri (22,012 short)
4. Oregon (48,971 short)
5. New Jersey (about 56,000)
6. Louisiana (about 58,000)
7. New York (almost 100,000 short)

I believe all other states would need population pickups of more than 100,000.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

The closest margin any state had in earning a seat was Minnesota.  By my calculation, they were 14,977 people above the threshold needed to keep their 8th seat.  Otherwise they would have lost that seat to North Carolina.

There's nothing in these results that will be challenged, I think.  Pretty clear cut.  It's not like in 2000 when we had a razor-thin margin between UT and NC for the last seat.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Long time no see Beef

Yo, yo, still keepin' it real in tha hoosier state.