UK 2005- Seat by Seat Part 2 (South London)

[Silent Hunter]

We now go South of the Thames.

These are Electoral Calculus predictions with some changes.

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Battersea  Martin Linton  LAB Hold
Beckenham  Jacqui Lait  CON Hold
Bexleyheath and Crayford  Nigel Beard  LAB CON Gain
Brentford and Isleworth  Ann Keen  LAB Hold
Bromley and Chislehurst  Eric Forth  CON Hold
Camberwell and Peckham  Harriet Harman  LAB Hold
Carshalton and Wallington  Tom Brake  LIB Hold
Croydon Central  Geraint Davies  LAB Hold
Croydon North  Malcolm Wicks  LAB Hold
Croydon South  Richard Ottaway  CON Hold
Dulwich and West Norwood  Tessa Jowell  LAB Hold
Ealing Acton and Shepherd's Bush  Clive Soley  LAB Hold
Ealing North  Stephen Pound  LAB Hold
Ealing Southall  Piara Khabra  LAB Hold
Eltham  Clive Efford  LAB Hold
Erith and Thamesmead  John Austin  LAB Hold
Feltham and Heston  Alan Keen  LAB Hold
Greenwich and Woolwich  Nick Raynsford  LAB Hold
Hayes and Harlington  John McDonnell  LAB Hold
Kingston and Surbiton  Edward Davey  LIB Hold
Lewisham Deptford  Joan Ruddock  LAB Hold
Lewisham East  Bridget Prentice  LAB Hold
Lewisham West  Jim Dowd  LAB Hold
Mitcham and Morden  Siobhain McDonagh  LAB Hold
Old Bexley and Sidcup  Derek Conway  CON Hold
Orpington  John Horam  CON Hold: Good chance of a Liberal gain, but their candidate is gay and the Tories are making a good go at this.
Putney  Tony Colman  LAB Hold
Richmond Park  LIB Hold: Jenny Tonge is retiring from this seat. It should stay Lib Dem.
Ruislip-Northwood  John Wilkinson  CON Hold
Southwark North and Bermondsey  Simon Hughes  LIB Hold
Streatham  Keith Hill  LAB Hold
Sutton and Cheam  Paul Burstow  LIB Hold
Tooting  Tom Cox  LAB Hold
Twickenham  Vincent Cable  LIB Hold
Uxbridge  John Randall  CON Hold
Vauxhall  Kate Hoey  LAB Hold: Being pro-hunting won't be enough to unseat her.
Wimbledon  Roger Casale  LAB Hold

Any retirees, let me know.

[English]

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Battersea  Martin Linton  LAB Hold
Beckenham  Jacqui Lait  CON Hold
Bexleyheath and Crayford  Nigel Beard  CON Gain
Brentford and Isleworth  Ann Keen  LAB Hold
Bromley and Chislehurst  Eric Forth  CON Hold
Camberwell and Peckham  Harriet Harman  LAB Hold
Carshalton and Wallington  Tom Brake  LIB Hold
Croydon Central  Geraint Davies  CON Gain
Croydon North  Malcolm Wicks  LAB Hold
Croydon South  Richard Ottaway  CON Hold
Dulwich and West Norwood  Tessa Jowell  LAB Hold
Ealing Acton and Shepherd's Bush  Clive Soley  LAB Hold
Ealing North  Stephen Pound  LAB Hold
Ealing Southall  Piara Khabra  LAB Hold
Eltham  Clive Efford  LAB Hold
Erith and Thamesmead  John Austin  LAB Hold
Feltham and Heston  Alan Keen  LAB Hold
Greenwich and Woolwich  Nick Raynsford  LAB Hold
Hayes and Harlington  John McDonnell  LAB Hold
Kingston and Surbiton  Edward Davey  LIB Hold
Lewisham Deptford  Joan Ruddock  LAB Hold
Lewisham East  Bridget Prentice  LAB Hold
Lewisham West  Jim Dowd  LAB Hold
Mitcham and Morden  Siobhain McDonagh  LAB Hold
Old Bexley and Sidcup  Derek Conway  CON Hold
Orpington  John Horam  CON Hold
Putney  Tony Colman  LAB Hold
Richmond Park  Jenny Tonge  LIB Hold
Ruislip-Northwood  John Wilkinson  CON Hold
Southwark North and Bermondsey  Simon Hughes  LIB Hold
Streatham  Keith Hill  LAB Hold
Sutton and Cheam  Paul Burstow  LIB Hold
Tooting  Tom Cox  LAB Hold
Twickenham  Vincent Cable  LIB Hold
Uxbridge  John Randall  CON Hold
Vauxhall  Kate Hoey  LAB Hold:
Wimbledon  Roger Casale  CON Gain

Bexleyheath, Wimbledon and Croydon Central will likely be Tory gains.

[Silent Hunter]

Jenny Tonge is retiring at Richmond Park. Apparently she said she'd go at 65.

[Peter]

Jenny Tonge is retiring at Richmond Park. Apparently she said she'd go at 65.

Isn't she the one that got it into a lot of trouble for saying she sympathised with suicide bombers?

[Tory]

Jenny Tonge is retiring at Richmond Park. Apparently she said she'd go at 65.

Isn't she the one that got it into a lot of trouble for saying she sympathised with suicide bombers?

Yes. She used to be a spokesman for the LD front bench. Not anymore.