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| | |-+  Bingaman undecided on re-election. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bingaman undecided on re-election.  (Read 3967 times)
President North Carolina Yankee
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« on: December 01, 2010, 11:56:27 pm »

What about Martin Heinrich? Everyone thinks he's hot and all.

Too much of a city slicker.  You can't win statewide here unless you're Hispanic or look like you can milk a cow.

He certainly has a shot.  He's run two great campaigns in a row with the odds stacked against him, but he'd have to be helped by a strong Obama showing in the state.  That may not come.

Wouldn't he put NM-01 at risk if he ran for the Senate?
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"A majority held in restraint by constitutional checks and limitations, and always changing easily with deliberate changes of popular opinions and sentiments, is the only true sovereign of a free people." - Lincoln's First Inaugural Address, emphasis mine.
President North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #1 on: December 02, 2010, 02:20:05 am »

What about Martin Heinrich? Everyone thinks he's hot and all.

Too much of a city slicker.  You can't win statewide here unless you're Hispanic or look like you can milk a cow.

He certainly has a shot.  He's run two great campaigns in a row with the odds stacked against him, but he'd have to be helped by a strong Obama showing in the state.  That may not come.

Wouldn't he put NM-01 at risk if he ran for the Senate?

A D+5 District during a presidential year?  That's not going to be a major concern.  Also, the urban Albuquerque district will probably be made even more democratic during redistricting as a compromise to make life easier for Steve Pearce in NM-02.

Redistricting is a wild card in most states.

Yet a D+5 seat, but one which a Republican represented since its creation till 2009. And one that is known for bizarre results. An open seat, plus a strong Republican candidate even in a presidential year is more "risk" then having Heinrich run again. Notice I never said "win", I said "risk".
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"A majority held in restraint by constitutional checks and limitations, and always changing easily with deliberate changes of popular opinions and sentiments, is the only true sovereign of a free people." - Lincoln's First Inaugural Address, emphasis mine.
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