US House Redistricting: Utah

[nclib]

What are we defining as Matheson's base? In 2002, the GOP gave him a ton of rural territory when he had only previously represented SLC. In any CD, he'll have at least a chunk of SLC plus some of the current outstate UT-2. If there is still a McCain <60% CD, I wouldn't count Matheson out. Where does Matheson best overperform the Obama numbers?

[nclib]

Roll Call came up with the numbers for the proposed map:

UT-01: McCain: 67; Bush: 76
UT-02: McCain: 58; Bush 67
UT-03: McCain: 67; Bush: 76
UT-04: McCain: 56; Bush: 66

Which of UT-2 and UT-4 is better for Matheson? It's hard to tell the population distribution by looking at the land area because of the concentration of the population in western states.