US House Redistricting: Wisconsin

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

McCain only won five precincts in Green Bay, one of which only had 15 votes. That gave him 80%, but the next strongest with a significant number of votes gave him less than 58%. Don't see too many GOP stronghold precincts there.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

The problem is that Wisconsin is prone to such wild swings that you can't even assume based off the 2004 results even though they were almost 50/50. Especially not for someone like Sensenbrenner. Wasn't WI-08 about 55% Bush? If you draw a lot of districts around that range they will fall in a good Dem year. You simply can not draw a map where only Madison and Milwaukee elect Democrats in any half-decent Democratic year.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What are the chances that a voter ID law passing in Wisconsin will make all of these districts a few more points GOP?

All of them? Pretty much nonexistant. It's targeted at the Democratic strongholds in Milwaukee and college towns.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Wow, I'm surprised.

Bye bye Ryan.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Ryan did just fine before he became the main person behind something that is causing the GOP serious pain in far more conservative districts.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Yeah the Ryan Medicare plan didn't cause any problems for the GOP in NY-26 obviously.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Why bother with protesters? It has zero chance of actually passing the Senate or getting past Obama's desk. On the other hand look at how insanely unpopular the GOP in general is in Wisconsin right now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

So they didn't bother to try anything with Kapaneke's seat.