US House Redistricting: Wisconsin

[krazen1211]

Has anyone played with the legislative map at all?

At first glance, it looks like the 27th, 15th and 16th can be sort of recombined into 2 Dem districts based on Dane County. Perhaps one of the Dem districts in Milwaukee (3,4,6,7) can be somehow merged.

Other than that it looks like the GOP has hit its ceiling.

[krazen1211]

Can the legislature ram through gerrymandered maps before the recall process gets underway and Republicans risk losing their senate majority? Recall elections would be in June or July.

Population growth in Wisconsin has been mostly uniform; you're not looking at an Ohio situation where Cleveland dumped population while Columbus picked it up.

The GOP can't count on blue district expansion to swallow up precincts; they're going to have to recombine stuff altogether.

That guy in North Wisconsin (Holperin, I think) is almost certain to lose Menominee County. The Milwaukee districts can I think be packed hard to pick up another seat.

[krazen1211]

There are rumors that the Republicans are going to try to shove through redistricting in a special session this week.

All 3 levels?

[krazen1211]

No Racine into the Milwaukee district = fail.

Rest is ok.

[krazen1211]

Angry old man Dave Obey is back again.

http://host.madison.com/ct/news/opinion/column/dave_zweifel/article_60aa17d8-a343-11e0-80bf-001cc4c03286.html

Former U.S. Rep. Dave Obey stopped by the office last week on his statewide tour to alert Wisconsin citizens about the "crassly political" reapportionment plan that the state's Republican congressional delegation, led by Rep. Paul Ryan, is touting.




What is this guy's deal? Regret over retiring?

[krazen1211]

What exactly is "angry" about him in this article? He sounds pretty reasonable to me.

Most retired reps slink off into the sunset or get a lobbyist job (Obey did do this). Rarely do you see them go around complaining about maps.

I just wonder if we see Lautenberg 2.0 in the mix. He'll probably clean Duffy's clock.

[krazen1211]

Maps are being unveiled today and passed next week.

Edit: http://newsdesk.learfielddemos.com/files/2011/07/11-2266_1-leg-maps-and-tables.pdf

First thing noticed is they redid Kenosha and Racine County to put the 2 cities in 1 district.

[krazen1211]

This is only leg, then?

The Congressional map is as discussed earlier.

http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/125231319.html

For the legislature, the Assembly map is apparently better than the Senate one. The numbers help work it that way.

[krazen1211]

So they didn't bother to try anything with Kapaneke's seat.

Or indeed most of the seats outside the Milwaukee area, which was racked and packed.

Darling in particular, even if she loses the recall, likely will snooze back into the same seat in 2012. Big improvements were also made with the Kenosha/Racine seats.

[krazen1211]

2 districts in the Assembly map were thrown out in Milwaukee.

http://media.jsonline.com/documents/baldus-decision-032212.pdf


No partisan effect. Judges are treading very cautiously on rewriting legislative maps after Perry v Perez.



Indeed, to  avoid disrupting other lines, the court emphasizes that the re-drawing of the lines for Districts 8 and 9 must occur within the combined outer boundaries of those two districts.

[krazen1211]

There still is the issue of having too many people switching Senate districts, which will result in a large number of people not being able to vote for a state senator for a total 6 years. There was previous court case that ruled you have to keep that number as low as possible and previous maps had to be fixed. Don't know if they dealt with it in this case or if this just dealt with Hispanic areas in Milwaukee.

Those claims were dismissed.

[krazen1211]

Here is the enacted map and stats, and my Michigan rule map and stats.  The game with the Michigan rule map of course vis a vis the 2011 enacted map, was to share the Pub wealth of WI-05 with other Pub held CD's that could use some Pub padding. Sesenbrenner was a pig.

 

Technically it was Paul Ryan and his staff that seems to have taken a lead on the mapping this decade. Sensenbrenner was eclipsed as the delegation point man.