PA-Quinnipiac: Sen. Casey (D) leads "Generic Republican" by 8

[Tender Branson]

If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?

43% Casey
35% Generic Republican

Do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

40% Deserves
33% Deserves Not

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?

39% Approve
29% Disapprove

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1327.xml?ReleaseID=1544

[Keystone Phil]

Pretty good numbers for us. So happy to see he's not polling at a ridiculous 55-60%.

[memphis]

Given that actual Republicans tend to trail "generic" ones by about 10 points, it sounds pretty good.

[Keystone Phil]

Yeah, the fact that generic Republican isn't closer is good news for Casey but that approval rating isn't good. Granted, most incumbents aren't going to have positive approval ratings these days but it just goes to show you that Casey isn't untouchable.

[Smash255]

Yeah, the fact that generic Republican isn't closer is good news for Casey but that approval rating isn't good. Granted, most incumbents aren't going to have positive approval ratings these days but it just goes to show you that Casey isn't untouchable.

His approval is under 50%, but it is in positive territory +10

[Keystone Phil]

Yeah, the fact that generic Republican isn't closer is good news for Casey but that approval rating isn't good. Granted, most incumbents aren't going to have positive approval ratings these days but it just goes to show you that Casey isn't untouchable.

His approval is under 50%, but it is in positive territory +10

I meant positive as in over 50%. My apologies.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

For Casey those numbers are horrible.

[Brittain33]

For Casey those numbers are horrible.

Undecideds are extremely high. Which is probably realistic, but also means we can't just look at the absolute numbers for Casey and rule them poor for being below 50.

[ajc0918]

He's going to win reelection unless turnout in Philly is low, which it won't be with Barack on the ballot.

[Badger]

For a candidate two years before reelection, these kind of high undecided/don't care numbers are actually standard. In that context, only a third of voters saying Casey doesn't deserve reelection and less than 30% actually disapproving of his job are pretty good for the incumbent. Not sure lock numbers, of course, but hardly worrisome.

[fezzyfestoon]

Considering "Generic Republican" is usually the strongest candidate, I'd guess Casey is pretty safe at this point.

[Napoleon]

Considering "Generic Republican" is usually the strongest candidate, I'd guess Casey is pretty safe at this point.

That's not how it works in Pennsylvania, though.

[Badger]

Considering "Generic Republican" is usually the strongest candidate, I'd guess Casey is pretty safe at this point.

That's not how it works in Pennsylvania, though.