US House Redistricting: New York (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: New York (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: New York  (Read 136024 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: December 21, 2010, 11:23:47 PM »

Obviously a Republican seat upstate needs to go. Slaughter's district is already a ridiculous pack to waste Democratic votes. It's basically downtown Buffalo and downtown Rochester.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: December 23, 2010, 05:10:16 AM »

NY-26 and NY-29 should be merged to create one ultra Republican district. Meanwhile Slaughter's ultra-Democratic NY-28 can afford to take on some more Republicans. It's only fair.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: July 07, 2011, 12:34:02 AM »


Vetoing a Republican gerrymander of the State Senate should be a no-brainer, though.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2012, 05:08:37 PM »

Wouldn't a compromise map necessarily mean giving Hochul a decent chance at reelection and not privileging the GOP gerrymander already in place in western NY, though?

True, that map is no more gerrymandered for the Democrats in Western NY than the status quo is gerrymandered for the Republicans. Slaughter's current district is a pretty bad gerrymander to waste Democratic votes.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: February 29, 2012, 10:24:20 PM »

Those districts that span Manhattan and Brooklyn always look awful.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: March 07, 2012, 01:43:56 AM »

Numbers were crunched on DKE.

Kind of a crappy map for the Democrats. The immediate casualties are split (Hochul and the Hincheymander for the Dems, Turner and Buerkle for the Republicans), but it puts Israel and McCarthy in marginal (albeit Dem-leaning) districts. Yes, it does improve the Dem performance in most of the upstate districts held by Republicans, but it's not enough to hurt any of them except for Gibson and maybe Hayworth. Plus it doesn't help out Owens at all.

Agreed, they should be able to get better. Wasting Ithaca's votes by putting it together with the most Republican part of the state is obnoxious.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,728


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: March 12, 2012, 09:31:48 PM »

The hacks were busy this weekend, and apparently have reached agreement on legislative lines, and won't reach an agreement on Congressional lines, as was anticipated. So it looks like the court map will be the map. I suspect the appellate panel will make no changes at all to the lines. Why would they?

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Ugh, if the Democrats are going to implicitly agree to this crappy Congressional map, they should force someone other than the Republicans in the State Senate to draw the State Senate districts. So there'd probably be some Democrats in the state Assembly who lose re-election with a map they didn't draw. Small price to pay.
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