Minnesota in 2004

[Flying Dog]

i just have a feeling that minnasota will go (R) in 04

[Flying Dog]

welcome TomatPitt to the forums

[Flying Dog]

You're right that Minnesota has been gradually trending to the right.  The trends most noticeable are the  following:  Older voters are the most heavily Democratic (Humphrey and Mondale people) and are reaching the end of their lives; the Iron Range in Northeast MN is heavily Democrat but casts a much smaller percentage of the statewide vote than 20 years ago; the Minneapolis suburbs are spreading out far from the city center and are heavily Republican; and rural areas, once fairly receptive to Democrats, are becoming more conservative.
The other factor is that the state's Democrat party (called Democrat Farmer Labor) is pretty much controlled by urban liberals and are increasingly out of step with the rest of the state.  IMO Bush has a very good chance of carrying the state in 2004.  He needs to blunt the Democrat trend in the older suburbs though. (As a side note, a poll 3 weeks before the 2000 election showed Bush with a 1 pt. lead.  This forced Gore to spend funds here to hold the state, which cost him resources elsewhere)

So is Minessota not really much of a "rust-belt" Great-Lakes state with a heavy labor presence that Gephardt could take advantage of?

no. those states are illinois, ohio, my homestate michigan is heavy labor.  My dad is a long time member of the teamsters.

[Flying Dog]

The GOP ain't gonna win Minnesota. That's pretty much a foregone conclusion.

are you sure

[Flying Dog]

i,d love minnasota to go dem. but i think it will go republican

[Flying Dog]

minnesota


    R-51% D-49%

those are my predictions

[Flying Dog]

People Has a Desion to Make in Minnestoa & The Rest of the States that have a Right to Vote in Election 2004 & See if their Party won or Not
Here is My Preaction
it will be Cose
Bush: 50%
Dean: 47%

WHY is everybody asumming that dean is the nominee!!! He has a 60% chance but he is not locked in.

[Flying Dog]

Democrats should stop and think about dean beating bush.

[Flying Dog]

Dean isn't the f**king nominee yet. Until he is, stop saying it. If Dean is DEFEATED, I will come back and LAUGH at each person, who said, "Who will win, Dean or Bush, Dean Dean Dean, Deany Deany Dean Dean.

I take it that you are not supporting dean.
Neather am I. I like gephardt

[Flying Dog]

I take it that you are not supporting dean.
Neather am I. I like gephardt

lol. Yeah, I like Gephardt better as well.  Not to imply that I HATE Dean. But still, I don't go around saying, "Who do you think will win, Bush or Gephardt?". Because I know Gephardt is not yet the nominee, and I would never be so cock sure to say he will be.

Like some members on this forum are so sure Dean will be nominated. Or, that Bush WILL win.

i totaly agee