Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« on: July 30, 2011, 11:55:41 PM » |
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Here's a solid 9-5 R map. I don't know why Republicans wouldn't want to draw delegation like this. They'd have to concede 2 non-Atlanta Democratic seats, but they'd have 9 seats that Democrats could never win.
GA-01 [Purple] 62.8/36.4 McCain (R+17) GA-02 [Green ] 56.4/43.0 Obama (D+3) GA-03 [Blue ] 63.0/36.0 McCain (R+17) GA-04 [Yellow] 78.2/21.1 Obama (D+25) 52.0% black VAP GA-05 [Teal] 82.1/17.2 Obama (D+29) 54.1% black VAP GA-06 [Crimson] 64.2/34.6 McCain (R+18) GA-07 [Silver] 60.2/38.9 McCain (R+14) GA-08 [Red ] 61.1/38.2 McCain (R+15) GA-09 [Navy] 71.4/27.3 McCain (R+25) GA-10 [Pink] 64.3/34.7 McCain (R+18) GA-11 [Lime] 62.7/36.0 McCain (R+17) GA-12 [Turquoise] 60.0/39.2 Obama (D+7) GA-13 [Salmon] 65.5/33.6 Obama (D+13) 48.3% black VAP GA-14 [OliveDrab] 72.2/26.5 McCain (R+26)
Broun would be drawn out of his district because Athens was needed to pack GA-12. He'd still be ok running in GA-10. I'm not sure if I drew Jack Kingston out of GA-01, again, I packed most of Savannah into GA-12, but his new district would be rather familiar territory for him.
There really aren't any marginal seats; I don't see any districts flipping over the 10 years.
The weakest Republican seat is 60.2% McCain; decidedly out of reach for Democrats.
Conversely, Sanford Bishop has the weakest Democratic seat. He rode out 2010 in a less favorable district, so he could hang around until 2020 if he wanted.
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