more likely to happen in 2012...

[WalterMitty]

discuss.

[Eraserhead]

Option 1 is 1,000 times more likely.

[TomC]

Not 1000x, but yes, option 1

[tmthforu94]

A Republican wave for New Jersey would have to be considerably bigger than a Democratic wave for Obama, and given that it looks like a tight election now and Obama is already close in NC, I'll go with Option 1.

[FEMA Camp Administrator]

Option 1, sadly.

[Bull Moose Base]

Obama winning NC is more likely than the GOP winning NJ even if Christie is the nominee.

[Miles]

Obama ran a great operation in NC; his strongest contender here is Huckabee, who ties Obama in the polls. Obama's turnout operation would likely mean that he would win NC in a close race.

While NJ is trending slightly GOP, it wouldn't be enough for a Republican to win there.

[Stranger in a strange land]

Option 1 has about a 15-20% chance of happening. Option 2 has about a 2-5% chance of happening.

[Eraserhead]

Option 1 has about a 15-20% chance of happening. Option 2 has about a 2-5% chance of happening.

That's wayyyyy too low.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Option 1 is 1,000 times more likely.

[WalterMitty]

people are still drinking the obama kool aid, i see.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

people are still drinking the obama kool aid, i see.

uh, you asked and even some blue avatars picked nc.  and we never heard your opinion, mitty.  care to share?

[WalterMitty]

at *this point* id say it is more likely that the gop wins nj.

i dont think either option is very likely to happen.

if unemployment does not significantly improve, the election will be a landslide.  period.

[Niemeyerite]

Obama CAN win north carolina, but any of the republican potential candidates can win NJ

[albaleman]

Option 1 is 1,000 times more likely.

[© tweed]

Obama CAN win north carolina, but any of the republican potential candidates can win NJ

Huckabee and Palin can't, to begin with.

[opebo]

if unemployment does not significantly improve, the election will be a landslide.  period.

Old news, WalterMitty. 

[Liberalrocks]

people are still drinking the obama kool aid, i see.

I am one of Obama's harshest democratic critics but will vote to reelect him over any in the pathetic republican field. I vote for option one being far more likely to happen then option 2. If Option 2 happens Obama will likely be defeated in a near landslide similiar to 1988.

[Lambsbread]

While Obama won NC in 2008, I don't think New Jersey is going to vote Democratic in 2012. As a resident of Jersey, I can tell you from at least what I've heard, there is a general approval of Governor Christie.

[Niemeyerite]

While Obama won NC in 2008, I don't think New Jersey is going to vote Democratic in 2012. As a resident of Jersey, I can tell you from at least what I've heard, there is a general approval of Governor Christie.

yeah, people in vermont also approved of jim douglas in 2008, and in hawaii people actually liked linda lingle...

[ajc0918]

Option 1 is 1,000 times more likely.

Congrats on 1000th post.

[Eraserhead]

people are still drinking the obama kool aid, i see.

I don't like the guy anymore and probably won't vote for him again. It just seems pretty clear to me that he is in much better shape politically than he is being given credit for. Hell, NJ was polled today. Christie is down by 17 so you can pretty much forget about the rest of these clowns having a real shot.

[Bull Moose Base]

Obama winning NC is more likely than the GOP winning NJ even if Christie is the nominee.

people are still drinking the obama kool aid, i see.

I don't like the guy anymore and probably won't vote for him again. It just seems pretty clear to me that he is in much better shape politically than he is being given credit for. Hell, NJ was polled today. Christie is down by 17 so you can pretty much forget about the rest of these clowns having a real shot.

And Obama beat everyone in NC except Huckabee who was tied.

(Why don't you like Obama? Come home!)

[Niemeyerite]

OK, Obama is beating romney by 15% in NJ. more or less the same margin than in 2008... if romney isthe nominee, if not, NJ will be even more democrat ^^. Palin trails by 20 points. LoL.

people are still drinking the obama kool aid, i see.

I don't like the guy anymore and probably won't vote for him again. It just seems pretty clear to me that he is in much better shape politically than he is being given credit for. Hell, NJ was polled today. Christie is down by 17 so you can pretty much forget about the rest of these clowns having a real shot.

so, if the election is between obama and gingrich, palin, romney or huck (read palin twice haha) will you stay home?

[Eraserhead]

Palin actually trails by 30%.

I'll probably vote no matter what, it just may not be a vote for one of the two major party candidates.

Also I should note that I don't think this will be a very close election. I think it'll be a near-blowout one way or the other.