US House Redistricting: Louisiana (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: Louisiana (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Louisiana  (Read 35293 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« on: January 09, 2011, 10:18:47 AM »

It looks like Jeff Landry would be happy with that map; the new LA-03 would probably favor him over Charles Boustany.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2011, 10:02:49 PM »

I dismantled LA-06 and actually managed to make it look pretty decent, aside from LA-02, of course.



LA-02 is 66% black. LA-04 is 33% black, but that's where it is currently, so that shouldn't hurt the Republican hold on the district. LA-07 got renumbered to LA-05 (yellow).
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2011, 03:36:55 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2011, 03:56:40 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »

Well, with the 2010 Census numbers added for LA, I thought I'd try and make a Louisiana map that doesn't involve going into Baton Rouge to maintain LA-02. Landry gets the shaft, since he's the freshman.

State:



Zoom of LA-02 and surrounding area:



LA-01 (blue, Steve Scalise - R) - Created a district that encircles Lake Pontchartrain. Extremely safe for Stivers.
LA-02 (green, Cedric Richmond - D) - Okay, so this one stretches from New Orleans to Lafayette. It's 59.3% black, with a 56.5% black VAP. It also has the advantage of cutting right through Jeff Landry's home of New Iberia. Boustany lives in Lafayette, but probably not in the heavily-black portions (just guessing).
LA-03 (purple, Charles Boustany - R) - Boustany gets nearly all of his old district plus part of Landry's. He'd be a prohibitive favorite if Landry were to run here.
LA-04 (red, John Fleming - R) - This one pulls in a few new parishes, and loses one (Grant). 60.6% white, 32.9% black, but the VAP is 63.0% and 31.3%, respectively.
LA-05 (yellow, Rodney Alexander - R) - Stretches southeast to take in parts of LA-06 and the former LA-03. 62.6% white, 33.2% black, with a VAP of 65.0% and 31.3%.
LA-06 (teal, Bill Cassidy - R) - Pulls in some parts of LA-01, loses some areas around Baton Rouge. 60.5% white, 32.5% black, with VAP of 63.2% and 30.3%.

The danger here, of course, is if Republicans stop getting 75% of the white vote. Anything below that and they start to have problems.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2011, 08:17:06 AM »

Hey, look, it's our first officially-proposed maps:

http://www.2theadvocate.com/blogs/politicsblog/118209134.html
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #4 on: April 05, 2011, 04:06:42 PM »
« Edited: April 05, 2011, 04:10:49 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »

The Senate passed this map which puts Landry in Boustany's district and gives LA-04 about a 40% black VAP.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #5 on: April 11, 2011, 07:12:27 PM »

The Senate passed this map today:

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2011, 12:45:25 PM »

SSP has the Presidential numbers for the new districts:

LA-01 - 72.7 McCain, 25.3 Obama
LA-02 - 73.4 Obama, 25.4 McCain
LA-03 - 64.3 McCain, 34.1 Obama
LA-04 - 58.9 McCain, 39.9 Obama
LA-05 - 62.0 McCain, 36.7 Obama
LA-06 - 67.5 McCain, 30.9 Obama
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