US House Redistricting: South Carolina

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That is actually a really clean looking map. I've drawn something similar myself.

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Idea here was to split Spratt's old territory and otherwise maintain the existing map.

CD-1: 73% white, 20% black
CD-2: 66% white, 20% black
CD-3: 76% white, 19% black
CD-4: 69% white, 21% black
CD-5: 67% white, 27% black
CD-6: 38% white, 56% black
CD-7: 67% white, 27% black

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In an attempt to spread the GOP strength in the northwest, I tried the following:



Shoving a tendril from Duncan's district into Columbia (to take a few blacks, plus what I assume would be the most liberal white neighborhoods around USC) allows Clyburn to take more of Charleston's blacks from Scott.  Mulvaney seems like a decent fellow, so I'm guessing he's more amenable to the rest of Columbia's moderate white voters than Joe Wilson is.  Instead of Columbia, Wilson soaks up some blacks downstate.  The grey seat is the open seat, perfect for a Myrtle Beach Republican. 

That CD-1 looks somewhat marginal. I know though that the Hilton Head Republicans want to get out of Wilson's Lexington based district.




This configuration unfortunately maintains Beaufort in Wilson's Lexington County based district; I'm trying to think of a way around it.

[krazen1211]

I tried running the numbers on Scott's district in my map.  It's kind of hard because SC lists absentee ballots separately from their precincts, and there are a sizable number of them.  Using a conservative estimate of them, I have Scott's district at 55.22 McCain.  This is probably low since I assumed that absentee ballots ran roughly in the same proportion as each precinct, but they actually go quite a bit more Dem than the in-person ballots.  

So Scott should be quite safe this way, and you could easily make him a point or two safer if you want to soften the grey district a bit.  

Solid.

From what I've read, my map might be problematic because of Kershaw. They don't want Shaheen in the new district, so Kershaw has to go in the 5th, and Georgetown in the 7th.

So your post 11 map is dead on.

The other unresolved question is what happens to Greenville/Spartanburg county. Neither wants to be split, but 1 of them has to be if they remain together, and you can't attach Spartanburg to the 5th unless Gowdy is willing to move.

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SC maps are out. Basically as predicted.

http://www.thestate.com/2011/05/19/1824510/suggested-horry-anchors-new-congressional.html
http://redistricting.schouse.gov/CongressionalPlanDistrictMaps.html

Both Greenville and Spartanburg were whining about not being split....well, 1 of them had to be. So it was Greenville, as Gowdy is from Spartanburg.

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The Democrats actually are somewhat happy with those proposed maps. Nobody seems to be comtemplating such a monstrosity.

Clyburn just released his own 6-1 map.

http://www.redracinghorses.com/diary/472/political-roundup-for-may-18-2011

[krazen1211]

SC maps are out. Basically as predicted.

http://www.thestate.com/2011/05/19/1824510/suggested-horry-anchors-new-congressional.html
http://redistricting.schouse.gov/CongressionalPlanDistrictMaps.html

Both Greenville and Spartanburg were whining about not being split....well, 1 of them had to be. So it was Greenville, as Gowdy is from Spartanburg.

How risky is that 1st district for the Republicans?  I'm assuming it is reasonably safe right now but isn't that area trending Dem?

It's about 56% McCain or so, I believe, and should be fine for the decade. A good number of the white liberals should end up in the Clyburn district. The 7th is actually weaker at about 54% McCain, but Horry County is growing faster than the Pee Dee.

[krazen1211]

Some minor tweaks, and we are off.

http://redistricting.schouse.gov/CongressionalPlan/Sub-Committee%20Approved%20Changes%205-26-2011%20Map.tif

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http://www.thestate.com/2011/06/15/1859409/house-signs-off-on-plan-to-redraw.html


Dick Harpootlian, chairman of the S.C. Democratic Party, said the party or a group of Democrats will challenge the proposed new maps in court, contending they create too many majority minority districts.


The gist of the lawsuit, he said, would be to encourage the U.S. Justice Department to approve a S.C. plan that moves African-American voters out of majority-black districts to other districts, giving them more sway over who is elected.




LOL, what a bunch of hacks! They say the opposite in so many other states, and for that matter, in the same state for the Congressional map.

ACLU liberals are whining that the Senate map creates too FEW minority districts. Shrug.

http://www.stamfordadvocate.com/news/article/SC-Dems-call-GOP-district-electoral-apartheid-1424667.php

South Carolina senators with a 33-0 vote gave the Senate's redistricting plan a key second reading with a final vote expected Thursday. That plan includes nine majority black districts instead of the 11 pushed by the American Civil Liberties Union, which also has threatened legal action.

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Senate passes surprise plan
Beaufort would anchor new congressional district

The State

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It's so hard to imagine these goings on in SC. It is inconceivable to think that a split among Dems in IL would result in a rogue group banding with the GOP to pass an alternate plan.

Then again, maybe I should be prepared to submit my credentials to the federal court in SC.

We saw the same in Louisiana. Regional morons; in the end they will fall in line.

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General Assembly has set July 26th as the date they'll come back for a special session and try to finish up redistricting.

Senate, as I predicted, just fell in line behind the house plan that creates a 6-1 majority.

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http://www.gtowntimes.com/local/House-and-Senate-reach-compromise-on-redistricting--Georgetown-in-7th-District2011-07-27T04-30-31

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http://www.rollcall.com/news/DOJ-Approves-New-South-Carolina-Map-209888-1.html

Precleared.