Redistricting favoring big cities? (user search)
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  Redistricting favoring big cities? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Redistricting favoring big cities?  (Read 1768 times)
jimrtex
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Posts: 11,817
Marshall Islands


« on: January 15, 2011, 08:36:35 PM »

I haven't seen detailed numbers, but several people have said the 2010 census favors larger cities and urban areas.

Anybody else hear this?

I did notice that the population for D.C. jumped about 5% (the first increase in decades), but D.C. isn't a state.

Maybe it only appears to favor big cities because of the fact that the 2000 census deliberately skipped so many urban areas.

Also, if the redistricting doesn't accommodate the cities' growth, will there be a lawsuit to remedy it? And will the new census figures make some Republican-leaning states lean Democratic?
Most are no longer declining, and 20 of the 50 largest are growing faster the country as a whole.  The following is based on census estimates projected forward to the 2010 census.  These estimates do include boundary changes through 2009.


1New York4.4%
2Los Angeles2.7%
3Chicago-1.6%
4Houston14.4%
5Phoenix19.8%
6Philadelphia2.5%
7San Antonio18.2%
8San Diego6.2%
9Dallas9.0%
10San Jose6.6%
11Detroit-3.0%
12San Francisco4.2%
13Jacksonville9.6%
14Indianapolis3.0%
15Austin16.0%
16Columbus, OH6.8%
17Fort Worth33.5%
18Charlotte23.0%
19Memphis-1.6%
20Boston7.7%
21Baltimore-1.3%
22El Paso10.2%
23Seattle8.7%
24Denver8.8%
25Nashville-Davidson10.2%
26Milwaukee1.5%
27Washington4.0%
28Las Vegas15.0%
29Louisville/Jefferson2.3%
30Portland6.3%
31Oklahoma City10.1%
32Tucson10.4%
33Atlanta27.7%
34Albuquerque17.5%
35Kansas City, MO8.9%
36Fresno11.0%
37Mesa13.3%
38Sacramento11.8%
39Long Beach-0.5%
40Omaha10.9%
41Virginia Beach1.5%
42Miami19.9%
43Cleveland-9.3%
44Oakland1.5%
45Raleigh37.2%
46Colorado Springs9.3%
47Tulsa-0.7%
48Minneapolis1.2%
49Arlington, TX12.2%
50Honolulu1.0%
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jimrtex
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Posts: 11,817
Marshall Islands


« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2011, 08:43:48 PM »

Among mid0sized cities, 26 of 50 are growing faster than the country.

51Wichita5.8%
52St. Louis2.0%
53New Orleans-27.5%
54Tampa12.5%
55Santa Ana0.1%
56Anaheim2.5%
57Cincinnati0.6%
58Bakersfield32.0%
59Aurora, CO15.8%
60Toledo0.4%
61Pittsburgh-6.1%
62Riverside12.8%
63Lexington-Fayette13.1%
64Stockton14.9%
65Corpus Christi4.6%
66Anchorage9.1%
67St. Paul-2.0%
68Newark1.7%
69Plano, TX18.0%
70Buffalo-7.2%
71Henderson, NV35.7%
72Fort Wayne1.2%
73Greensboro11.7%
74Lincoln11.1%
75Glendale, AZ10.8%
76Chandler, AZ33.7%
77St. Petersburg-1.5%
78Jersey City0.9%
79Scottsdale, AZ13.7%
80Orlando21.3%
81Madison, WI11.4%
82Norfolk-0.7%
83Birmingham-4.3%
84Winston-Salem13.0%
85Durham20.8%
86Laredo24.4%
87Lubbock12.3%
88Baton Rouge-0.6%
89North Las Vegas84.7%
90Chula Vista, CA23.3%
91Chesapeake, VA10.7%
92Gilbert, AZ81.6%
93Garland, TX1.4%
94Reno17.6%
95Hialeah, FL-3.9%
96Arlington, VA13.6%
97Irvine, CA37.1%
98Rochester, NY-5.2%
99Akron-4.2%
100Boise City4.4%
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jimrtex
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Posts: 11,817
Marshall Islands


« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2011, 08:51:51 PM »

Mid-small 13 faster than country.

101Irving, TX5.6%
102Fremont, CA-0.7%
103Richmond, VA3.4%
104Spokane3.7%
105Modesto3.7%
106Montgomery0.5%
107Yonkers1.8%
108Des Moines0.0%
109Tacoma2.6%
110Shreveport-0.0%
111San Bernardino4.0%
112Fayetteville, NC-0.6%
113Glendale, CA0.1%
114Augusta-Richmond, GA-0.3%
115Grand Rapids-2.1%
116Huntington Beach, CA1.3%
117Mobile-2.0%
118Newport News6.7%
119Little Rock4.9%
120Moreno Valley, CA34.5%
121Columbus, GA2.2%
122Amarillo9.3%
123Fontana, CA24.5%
124Oxnard, CA7.8%
125Knoxville4.8%
126Fort Lauderdale7.6%
127Salt Lake City0.4%
128Worcester6.7%
129Huntsville, AL13.0%
130Tempe, AZ12.6%
131Brownsville, TX22.0%
132Jackson, MS-4.8%
133Overland Park, KS13.6%
134Aurora, IL16.5%
135Oceanside, CA5.4%
136Tallahassee13.8%
137Providence-1.7%
138Rancho Cucamonga, CA30.1%
139Ontario, CA7.0%
140Chattanooga8.6%
141Santa Clarita, CA7.1%
142Garden Grove, CA0.3%
143Vancouver, WA12.0%
144Grand Prairie, TX25.0%
145Peoria,AZ41.4%
146Sioux Falls23.5%
147Springfield, MO3.6%
148Santa Rosa, CA4.6%
149Rockford4.0%
150Springfield, MA3.1%
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jimrtex
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Posts: 11,817
Marshall Islands


« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2011, 11:10:37 PM »

Wow! Look at Boston!

And Tulsa is one of few big cities to shrink?

Wow. Just wow.
Tulsa lost 12K between 2000 and 2005 and gained 8K from 2005 to 2009.  The projection assumed constant change from 2000 to 2009, so it will be low.  Tulsa is pretty hemmed in by suburbs which all grew strongly (Broken Arrow, Jenks, Bixby, Owasso, Glenpool)

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