WV special election: October 4, 2011 (Primary on May 14)
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  WV special election: October 4, 2011 (Primary on May 14)
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Author Topic: WV special election: October 4, 2011 (Primary on May 14)  (Read 13534 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
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« on: January 18, 2011, 03:55:23 PM »
« edited: February 03, 2011, 04:04:53 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »

http://www.wvgazette.com/News/201101180902

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http://sundaygazettemail.com/News/201102031182

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krazen1211
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« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2011, 05:28:37 PM »

Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?
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redcommander
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« Reply #2 on: January 18, 2011, 08:47:32 PM »

Hurray!!! Another election in what is a fairly boring election cycle this year.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: January 19, 2011, 04:13:06 AM »

When is it likely to take place ?

In early November or even earlier ?
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #4 on: January 19, 2011, 04:42:56 AM »

Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?

Doubtful. She seems glued to that House seat.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #5 on: January 19, 2011, 05:24:18 AM »

So there's going to be one election in 2011 and the next in 2012?

Fun!
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: January 19, 2011, 06:26:47 AM »

Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?

Doubtful. She seems glued to that House seat.
The House seat is likely(ish) to be swept from under her in the redistricting, though.
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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2011, 12:30:51 PM »

Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?

Doubtful. She seems glued to that House seat.
The House seat is likely(ish) to be swept from under her in the redistricting, though.
Why would the Dems want to push her towards a statewide run by taking away her house seat? Wouldn't they rather she just stay in the House and accumulate seniority?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2011, 01:14:05 PM »

Isn't that fairly obvious?
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2011, 01:46:26 PM »


I have to assume that Capito takes the free opportunity, though.  Though the fact that WV Dems want to keep her in the House makes a lot of sense.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2011, 02:05:43 PM »

She's not running.
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #11 on: January 19, 2011, 10:15:25 PM »


Figured. Glued to her seat.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2011, 11:18:18 PM »


I suppose Shelley truly has no balls.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #13 on: January 23, 2011, 08:33:58 AM »

The election has been set... for October 4.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #14 on: January 23, 2011, 07:58:25 PM »

What about Carte Goodwin? Any rumors of him?
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SvenssonRS
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« Reply #15 on: January 25, 2011, 03:14:32 PM »

What about Carte Goodwin? Any rumors of him?

It was mentioned he might run for Capito's House seat, but nothing much else.
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Badger
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« Reply #16 on: January 26, 2011, 09:41:05 PM »

The election has been set... for October 4.

OK, why not a month later when the regular election for local races is held? Doesn't seem to make sense to pay for 2 elections that close together. 

What's the catch? Or more specifically, who does this odd timing benefit?
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #17 on: January 26, 2011, 09:53:21 PM »

The election has been set... for October 4.

OK, why not a month later when the regular election for local races is held? Doesn't seem to make sense to pay for 2 elections that close together. 

What's the catch? Or more specifically, who does this odd timing benefit?

It looks like municipal elections are held in June, not November. As to who it benefits, I would guess the Democrats, since it was Tomblin who had to call the election.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #18 on: January 27, 2011, 06:54:15 AM »

The real question is whether the Democrat party nominee will be selected by convention or by primary.

Polls (and history) indicates the Demo nominee is highly likely to be elected.

Conventions are expected to favor the candidates of the left.
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Badger
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« Reply #19 on: January 27, 2011, 09:17:46 AM »
« Edited: January 27, 2011, 09:19:38 AM by Badger »

The election has been set... for October 4.

OK, why not a month later when the regular election for local races is held? Doesn't seem to make sense to pay for 2 elections that close together.  

What's the catch? Or more specifically, who does this odd timing benefit?

It looks like municipal elections are held in June, not November. As to who it benefits, I would guess the Democrats, since it was Tomblin who had to call the election.

Presumably, but why? Lower turnout benefits Dems who can get union votes out? Since Dems still hold a large registration advantage one would think that getting more irregular voters to the polls in a non-federal race might benefit them as well.
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #20 on: February 02, 2011, 06:06:25 PM »

Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?

Doubtful. She seems glued to that House seat.
The House seat is likely(ish) to be swept from under her in the redistricting, though.

What are you talking about?  Her district is the only one in West Virginia that is growing.  She's safe.  Democrats can try, but they can't gerrymander WV.  It's becoming more and more hostile to Democrats. 
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Verily
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« Reply #21 on: February 02, 2011, 06:44:04 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2011, 10:51:39 AM by Verily »

Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?

Doubtful. She seems glued to that House seat.
The House seat is likely(ish) to be swept from under her in the redistricting, though.

What are you talking about?  Her district is the only one in West Virginia that is growing.  She's safe.  Democrats can try, but they can't gerrymander WV.  It's becoming more and more hostile to Democrats.  

Under West Virginia law, counties cannot be split in redistricting, and the ONLY legal map is the one with the greatest population equality without splitting counties. Which, unfortunately for her, means her district, already only one county wide across most of the state, is going to have to be chopped up and vastly reorganized.

Maybe she could beat Nick Rahall, but I don't think so.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #22 on: February 02, 2011, 06:57:11 PM »

Could she just be waiting to run for the full term in 2012? That way she could fufill her duties as Congresswoman, which was her main excuse.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #23 on: February 03, 2011, 04:02:34 PM »

Looks like the special election is set for October 4, with a primary on May 14.
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Kalwejt
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« Reply #24 on: February 03, 2011, 06:12:04 PM »

Could she just be waiting to run for the full term in 2012? That way she could fufill her duties as Congresswoman, which was her main excuse.

But in 2012, she would have to give up her seat to run. Now, she can run and, if lose, retain her seat.

I think she just don't want it.
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