Capito gets a free shot at the governor's mansion?
Doubtful. She seems glued to that House seat.
The House seat is likely(ish) to be swept from under her in the redistricting, though.
What are you talking about? Her district is the only one in West Virginia that is growing. She's safe. Democrats can try, but they can't gerrymander WV. It's becoming more and more hostile to Democrats.
Under West Virginia law, counties cannot be split in redistricting, and the ONLY legal map is the one with the greatest population equality without splitting counties. Which, unfortunately for her, means her district, already only one county wide across most of the state, is going to have to be chopped up and vastly reorganized.
Maybe she could beat Nick Rahall, but I don't think so.