# Herbert should be very happy that Utah is more than 2-1 Republican over Democrat. Jones found that while Herbert beats Matheson 70-21 percent among Republicans, Matheson wins among Democrats 84-12 percent and among the critical independent voters 47-42 percent.
# Matheson, a moderate-to-conservative Democrat, wins in Salt Lake County – the eastside of which is in his 2nd District -- but loses to Herbert in all other areas of the state.
# Most Republicans are Mormons, and Herbert wins in the LDS vote 59-31 percent. Matheson wins among voters who said they belong to some other religion, or have no religion.
# Finally, just how tough the 2nd District is for Democrats is found in this: Even though Matheson has won his U.S. House seat fairly comfortably when up against less-well-known GOP opponents, in a match-up with Herbert in the governor’s race, 2nd District voters picked Herbert over their own congressman, 46-41 percent.
http://utahpolicy.com/featured_article/herbert-would-best-matheson-2012
