UK 2005- Seat by Seat Complete list

[Silent Hunter]

First up- North London
(Incumbent in brackets, if open then none)
Barking  (Margaret Hodge): She's Children's Minister and Barking is solidly Labour. LAB Hold.
Bethnal Green and Bow (Oona King): Galloway's turning up in this ethnic minority constituency means that this pro-war MP will be in for one rough ride. Expect this to be very nasty. I don't think Galloway can do it, but I could be wrong. LAB Hold.
Brent East (Sarah Teather): The by-election was probably a protest vote and this may well go back. LAB gain from LD.
Brent North (Barry Gardiner): He's a minister now. LAB Hold.
Brent South  (Paul Boetang): He's an ethnic minority candidate in an ethnic minority borough. Plus he's in the Cabinet  LAB Hold
Chingford and Woodford Green  (Iain Duncan Smith): He may have been sacked by his party, but he won't be by the electors. CON Hold.
Chipping Barnet  (Sydney Chapman):  Don't know enough for this but CON Hold.
Cities of London and Westminster  (Mark Field): It's a business vote.  CON Hold
Dagenham  (Jon Cruddas): White, East End.  LAB Hold
East Ham  (Stephen Timms): See above.  LAB Hold
Edmonton  (Andy Love):  LAB Hold
Enfield North  (Joan Ryan):  LAB Hold
Enfield Southgate  (Stephen Twigg):  LAB Hold
Finchley and Golders Green  (Rudi Vis):  LAB Hold
Hackney North and Stoke Newington  (Diane Abbott): Private school, schmivate school.  LAB Hold.
Hackney South and Shoreditch  (Brian Sedgemore): LAB Hold
Hammersmith and Fulham  (Iain Coleman)  LAB CON Gain
Hampstead and Highgate  (Glenda Jackson):  LAB Hold
Harrow East  (Tony McNulty):  LAB Hold
Harrow West  (Gareth Thomas):  LAB Hold
Hendon  (Andrew Dismore):  LAB Hold
Holborn and St Pancras  (Frank Dobson)  LAB Hold
Hornchurch  (John Cryer): A marginal, which could go either way. Small swing needed, but popular rebellious MP. NO CALL.
Hornsey and Wood Green:  (Barbara Roche)  LAB Hold
Ilford North  (Linda Perham):  LAB Hold
Ilford South  (Mike Gapes):  LAB Hold
Islington North  (Jeremy Corbyn): LAB Hold
Islington South and Finsbury: LAB Hold.
Kensington and Chelsea: Portillo's gone, but this seat is staying Tory. CON Hold
Leyton and Wanstead  (Harry Cohen): LAB Hold.
Poplar and Canning Town  (Jim Fitzpatrick): No Galloway, no problem. He'll walk this. LAB Hold.
Regent's Park and Kensington North  (Karen Buck): LAB Hold.
Romford  (Andrew Rosindell): New dog, new term. CON HOLD
Tottenham  (David Lammy): LAB HOLD
Upminster  (Angela Watkinson): CON HOLD
Walthamstow  (Neil Gerrard) LAB HOLD
West Ham  (Tony Banks): He'll be walking all the way to it. LAB Hold

[Silent Hunter]

South London

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Battersea  Martin Linton  LAB Hold
Beckenham  Jacqui Lait  CON Hold
Bexleyheath and Crayford  Nigel Beard  LAB CON Gain
Brentford and Isleworth  Ann Keen  LAB Hold
Bromley and Chislehurst  Eric Forth  CON Hold
Camberwell and Peckham  Harriet Harman  LAB Hold
Carshalton and Wallington  Tom Brake  LIB Hold
Croydon Central  Geraint Davies  LAB Hold
Croydon North  Malcolm Wicks  LAB Hold
Croydon South  Richard Ottaway  CON Hold
Dulwich and West Norwood  Tessa Jowell  LAB Hold
Ealing Acton and Shepherd's Bush  Clive Soley  LAB Hold
Ealing North  Stephen Pound  LAB Hold
Ealing Southall  Piara Khabra  LAB Hold
Eltham  Clive Efford  LAB Hold
Erith and Thamesmead  John Austin  LAB Hold
Feltham and Heston  Alan Keen  LAB Hold
Greenwich and Woolwich  Nick Raynsford  LAB Hold
Hayes and Harlington  John McDonnell  LAB Hold
Kingston and Surbiton  Edward Davey  LIB Hold
Lewisham Deptford  Joan Ruddock  LAB Hold
Lewisham East  Bridget Prentice  LAB Hold
Lewisham West  Jim Dowd  LAB Hold
Mitcham and Morden  Siobhain McDonagh  LAB Hold
Old Bexley and Sidcup  Derek Conway  CON Hold
Orpington  John Horam  CON LIB Gain
Putney  Tony Colman  LAB Hold
Richmond Park  Jenny Tonge  LIB Hold
Ruislip-Northwood  John Wilkinson  CON Hold
Southwark North and Bermondsey  Simon Hughes  LIB Hold
Streatham  Keith Hill  LAB Hold
Sutton and Cheam  Paul Burstow  LIB Hold
Tooting  Tom Cox  LAB Hold
Twickenham  Vincent Cable  LIB Hold
Uxbridge  John Randall  CON Hold
Vauxhall  Kate Hoey  LAB Hold: Being pro-hunting won't be enough to unseat her.
Wimbledon  Roger Casale  LAB Hold

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Northern Home Counties

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Aylesbury  David Liddington  CON Hold
Basildon  Angela Smith  LAB Hold
Beaconsfield  Dominic Grieve  CON Hold
Billericay  John Baron  CON Hold
Braintree  Alan Hurst  LAB CON Gain: Only a majority of 358 last time around. This is Essex, Braintree was probably a fluke.
Brentwood and Ongar  Eric Pickles  CON Hold
Broxbourne  Marion Roe  CON Hold
Buckingham  John Bercow  CON Hold
Castle Point  Robert Spink  CON Hold
Chelmsford West  Simon Burns  CON Hold
Chesham and Amersham  Cheryl Gillan  CON Hold
Colchester  Bob Russell  LIB Hold: It may be a garrison town, but remember that the six Red Caps killed in Iraq came from here. Note the student vote too.
Epping Forest  Eleanor Laing  CON Hold
Essex North  Bernard Jenkin  CON Hold
Harlow  Bill Rammell  LAB Hold
Harwich  Ivan Henderson  LAB Hold
Hemel Hempstead  Tony McWalter  LAB Hold
Hertford and Stortford  Mark Prisk  CON Hold
Hertfordshire North East  Oliver Heald  CON Hold
Hertfordshire South West  Richard Page  CON Hold
Hertsmere  James Clappison  CON Hold
Hitchin and Harpenden  Peter Lilley  CON Hold
Maldon and Chelmsford East  John Whittingdale  CON Hold
Milton Keynes North East  Brian White  LAB Hold
Milton Keynes South West  Phyllis Starkey  LAB Hold
Rayleigh  Mark Francois  CON Hold
Rochford and Southend East  Teddy Taylor  CON Hold
Saffron Walden  Alan Haselhurst  CON Hold
St Albans  Kerry Pollard  LAB Hold
Southend West  David Amess  CON Hold
Stevenage  Barbara Follett  LAB Hold
Thurrock  Andrew Mackinlay  LAB Hold
Watford  Claire Ward  LAB Hold
Welwyn Hatfield  Melanie Johnson  LAB CON Gain: A lot of the 1997 pickups were flukes and this is probably one of them. Mind you she is the Minister for Public Health, which may help her.
Wycombe  Paul Goodman  CON Hold

[Silent Hunter]

South East

Very strong Tory territory this.

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Arundel and South Downs  Howard Flight  CON Hold
Ashford  Damien Green  CON Hold
Bexhill and Battle  Greg Barker  CON Hold
Bognor Regis and Littlehampton  Nick Gibb  CON Hold
Brighton Kemptown  Desmond Turner  LAB Hold
Brighton Pavilion  David Lepper  LAB Hold
Canterbury  Julian Brazier  CON Hold
Chatham and Aylesford  Jonathan Shaw  LAB Hold
Chichester  Andrew Tyrie  CON Hold
Crawley  Laura Moffatt  LAB Hold
Dartford  Howard Stoate  LAB Hold
Dover  Gwyn Prosser  LAB Hold
Eastbourne  Nigel Waterson  CON Hold
Faversham and Kent Mid  Hugh Robertson  CON Hold
Folkestone and Hythe  Michael Howard  CON Hold: He had a majority just under 6,000 last time around. If Labour and the Lib Dems fight each other, he'll sail through. If one or the other stands aside, there's a small chance we could see a leader ejection for the first time since Balfour.
Gillingham  Paul Clark  LAB Hold
Gravesham  Chris Pond  LAB Hold
Hastings and Rye  Michael Foster  LAB Hold
Horsham  Francis Maude  CON Hold
Hove  Ivor Caplin  LAB Hold
Lewes  Norman Baker  LIB Hold
Maidstone and The Weald  Ann Widdecombe  CON Hold
Medway  Robert Marshall-Andrews  LAB Hold
Sevenoaks  Michael Fallon  CON Hold
Sittingbourne and Sheppey  Derek Wyatt  LAB Hold
Sussex Mid  Nicholas Soames  CON Hold
Thanet North  Roger Gale  CON Hold
Thanet South  Stephen Ladyman  LAB Hold: Home of UKIP, I'd have given them a fair shot at a pickup here. With no Kilroy-Silk, it now looks highly unlikely. Don't rule out the Tories 3rd placing.
Tonbridge and Malling  John Stanley  CON Hold
Tunbridge Wells  Archie Norman  CON Hold
Wealden  Charles Hendry  CON Hold
Worthing East and Shoreham  Tim Loughton  CON Hold
Worthing West  Peter Bottomley  CON Hold

[Silent Hunter]

East Anglia

With the fox-hunting ban coming in February, any Labour MP outside a major urban conurbation or town with a majority under 5,000 is at serious risk of a defeat.

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Bedford  Patrick Hall  LAB Hold
Bedfordshire Mid  Jonathan Sayeed  CON Hold
Bedfordshire North East  Alastair Burt  CON Hold
Bedfordshire South West  Andrew Selous  CON Hold
Bury St Edmunds  David Ruffley  CON Hold
Cambridge  Anne Campbell  LAB Hold : Most of the student body is probably registered elsewhere. Even so, Campbell's anti-war stance makes this a lock.
Cambridgeshire North East  Malcolm Moss  CON Hold
Cambridgeshire North West  Sir Brian Mawhinney  CON Hold
Cambridgeshire South  Andrew Lansley  CON Hold
Cambridgeshire South East  James Paice  CON Hold
Corby  Phil Hope  LAB Hold: It's a former steel town, the rural vote won't swing it.
Daventry  Tim Boswell  CON Hold
Great Yarmouth  Tony Wright  LAB Hold: The hunting ban could be a problem and he might just lose this.
Huntingdon  Jonathan Djanogly  CON Hold
Ipswich  Jamie Cann  LAB Hold
Kettering  Philip Sawford  LAB CON Gain
Luton North  Kelvin Hopkins  LAB Hold
Luton South  Margaret Moran  LAB Hold
Norfolk Mid  Keith Simpson  CON Hold
Norfolk North  Norman Lamb  LIB Hold: The Libs won by 483 last time, with Labour 3rd placing. This will probably happen again.
Norfolk North West  Henry Bellingham  CON Hold
Norfolk South  Richard Bacon  CON Hold
Norfolk South West  Gillian Shephard  CON Hold
Northampton North  Sally Keeble  LAB Hold
Northampton South  Tony Clarke  CON Gain
Norwich North  Ian Gibson  LAB Hold
Norwich South  Charles Clarke  LAB Hold: A small anti top-up fees vote from the UEA to the Lib Dems, but not sufficient.
Peterborough  Helen Brinton  LAB Hold
Suffolk Central and Ipswich North  Michael Lord  CON Hold
Suffolk Coastal  John Gummer  CON Hold
Suffolk South  Tim Yeo  CON Hold
Suffolk West  Richard Spring  CON Hold
Waveney  Bob Blizzard  LAB Hold
Wellingborough  Paul Stinchcombe  LAB Hold

[Silent Hunter]

South

6 Liberal MPs down here. This is one of the LDs strongest areas, 2nd placing in many of the Conservative constituencies and Labour's worst, dropping below 10% in many areas.

Many of the Tories have big majorities and won't be going anytime soon.

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Aldershot  Gerald Howarth  CON Hold
Basingstoke  Andrew Hunter  CON Hold
Bracknell  Andrew Mackay  CON Hold
Eastleigh  David Chidgey  LIB Hold
Epsom and Ewell  Chris Grayling  CON Hold
Esher and Walton  Ian Taylor  CON Hold
Fareham  Mark Hoban  CON Hold
Gosport  Peter Viggers  CON Hold
Guildford  Sue Doughty  LIB Hold
Hampshire East  Michael Mates  CON Hold
Hampshire North East  James Arbuthnot  CON Hold
Hampshire North West  George Young  CON Hold
Havant  David Willetts  CON Hold
Isle of Wight  Andrew Turner  CON Hold
Maidenhead  Theresa May  CON Hold
Mole Valley  Paul Beresford  CON Hold
New Forest East  Julian Lewis  CON Hold
New Forest West  Desmond Swayne  CON Hold
Newbury  David Rendel  LIB Hold
Portsmouth North  Syd Rapson  LAB Hold
Portsmouth South  Mike Hancock  LIB Hold
Reading East  Jane Griffiths  LAB Hold
Reading West  Martin Salter  LAB Hold
Reigate  Crispin Blunt  CON Hold
Romsey  Sandra Gidley  LIB Hold
Runnymede and Weybridge  Philip Hammond  CON Hold
Slough  Fiona Mactaggart  LAB Hold
Southampton Itchen  John Denham  LAB Hold
Southampton Test  Alan Whitehead  LAB Hold
Spelthorne  David Wilshire  CON Hold
Surrey East  Peter Ainsworth  CON Hold
Surrey Heath  Nicholas Hawkins  CON Hold
Surrey South West  Virginia Bottomley  LIB Gain from CON: Labour didn't make 10% last time. They won't this time. The former Health Secretary's Parliamentary career is over. The Conservatives need to hold this if they're going to make any form of recovery.
Winchester  Mark Oaten  LIB Hold
Windsor  Michael Trend  CON Hold
Woking  Humfrey Malins  CON Hold
Wokingham  John Redwood  CON Hold

[Silent Hunter]

West

A nice mixed area, with 5 LDs.


Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Banbury  Tony Baldry  CON Hold
Bath  Don Foster  LIB Hold
Bristol East  Jean Corston  LAB Hold
Bristol North West  Doug Naysmith  LAB Hold
Bristol South  Dawn Primarolo  LAB Hold
Bristol West  Valerie Davey  LAB Hold
Cheltenham  Nigel Jones  LIB Hold
Cotswold  Geoffrey Clifton-Brown  CON Hold
Devizes  Michael Ancram  CON Hold: Ancram's as safe as houses.
Forest of Dean  Diana Organ  CON Gain from LAB: With the hunting ban, Organ is in serious danger of playing her last. The fact she didn't vote on the issue won't help her.
Gloucester  Parmjit Dhanda  CON Gain from LAB: Voting for the hunting ban isn't going to help him one bit. IMO, there will be an adverse swing against anti-hunting country MPs.
Henley  Boris Johnson  CON Hold: One of the safest Tory seats in the country. Every mess up Boris has made won't be enough to unseat him, unless there's a very high-profile anti-sleaze independent who the other two parties clear the way for. This has happened in the past (Remember Neil Hamilton?).
Kingswood  Roger Berry  LAB Hold
Northavon  Steve Webb  LIB Hold
Oxford East  Andrew Smith  LAB Hold
Oxford West and Abingdon  Evan Harris  LIB Hold: It's the student vote, which the Lib Dems claim they get 47% of.
Salisbury  Robert Key  CON Hold
Stroud  David Drew  LAB Hold
Swindon North  Michael Wills  LAB Hold
Swindon South  Julia Drown  LAB Hold
Tewkesbury  Laurence Robertson  CON Hold
Wansdyke  Dan Norris  LAB Hold
Wantage  Robert Jackson  CON Hold
Westbury  Andrew Murrison  CON Hold
Weston-super-Mare  Brian Cotter  LIB Hold: This is a narrow hold, 
Wiltshire North  James Gray  CON Hold
Witney  David Cameron  CON Hold
Woodspring  Liam Fox  CON Hold: The only Fox that many Labour members would want to hunt, he won't get caught.


I'll do some more tomorrow.

[Silent Hunter]

South West

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Bournemouth East  David Atkinson  CON Hold
Bournemouth West  John Butterfill  CON Hold
Bridgwater  Ian Liddell-Grainger  CON Hold
Christchurch  Christopher Chope  CON Hold
Cornwall North  Paul Tyler  LIB Hold
Cornwall South East  Colin Breed  LIB Hold
Devon East  Hugo Swire  CON Hold
Devon North  Nick Harvey  LIB Hold
Devon South West  Gary Streeter  CON Hold
Devon West and Torridge  John Burnett  LIB Hold
Dorset Mid and Poole North  Annette Brooke  LIB Hold
Dorset North  Robert Walter  CON Hold
Dorset South  Jim Knight  CON Gain from LAB: Knight will not hold this on an 0.34% majority. This will be one of the Conservative pickups, but it's not a bellwether. Electoral Calculus has this swinging and Labour still clearing a 130 majority. Voting for the hunting ban just makes the Tories life easier.
Dorset West  Oliver Letwin  LIB Gain from CON: The Shadow Chancellor is a more likely defeat prospect than Howard. Labour will remain in third place.
Exeter  Ben Bradshaw  LAB Hold: This is a lock.
Falmouth and Camborne  Candy Atherton  LAB Hold
Plymouth Devonport  David Jamieson  LAB Hold
Plymouth Sutton  Linda Gilroy  LAB Hold
Poole  Robert Syms  CON Hold
St Ives  Andrew George  LIB Hold
Somerton and Frome  David Heath  LIB Hold
Taunton  Adrian Flook  LIB Gain from CON: It's the top Lib Dem target in the country. Flook needs a fluke to hold this.
Teignbridge  Richard Younger-Ross  LIB Hold
Tiverton and Honiton  Angela Browning  CON Hold
Torbay  Adrian Sanders  LIB Hold
Totnes  Anthony Steen  CON Hold
Truro and St Austell  Matthew Taylor  LIB Hold
Wells  David Heathcoat-Amory  CON Hold: He'll hold this, but it'll be close.
Yeovil  David Laws  LIB Hold

[Silent Hunter]

Wales

Now we're getting interesting. Will Plaid Cymru do well here?

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Aberavon  Hywel Francis  LAB Hold
Alyn and Deeside  Mark Tami  LAB Hold
Blaenau Gwent  Llew Smith  LAB Hold
Brecon and Radnorshire  Roger Williams  LIB Hold
Bridgend  Win Griffiths  LAB Hold
Caernarfon  Hywel Williams  PC Hold
Caerphilly  Wayne David  LAB Hold
Cardiff Central  Jon Owen Jones  LIB Gain from LAB: 659 votes is too small to hold it.
Cardiff North  Julie Morgan  LAB Hold
Cardiff South and Penarth  Alun Michael  LAB Hold: He's Rural Affairs Minister, but this is a city. Callaghan's old seat will stay red.
Cardiff West  Kevin Brennan  LAB Hold
Carmarthen East and Dinefwr  Adam Price  PC Hold
Carmarthen West and Pembrokeshire South  Nick Ainger  LAB Hold
Ceredigion  Simon Thomas  PC Hold
Clwyd South  Martyn Jones  LAB Hold
Clwyd West  Gareth Thomas  CON gain from LAB: The majority's just too small and he voted for the hunting ban. Even Electoral Calculus gives him a lead of only 0.01%.
Conwy  Betty Williams  LAB Hold
Cynon Valley  Ann Clwyd  LAB Hold
Delyn  David Hanson  LAB Hold
Gower  Martin Caton  LAB Hold
Islwyn  Don Touhig  LAB Hold
Llanelli  LAB Hold
Meirionnydd Nant Conwy  Elfyn Llwyd  PC Hold
Merthyr Tydfil and Rhymney  Dai Havard  LAB Hold
Monmouth  Huw Edwards  CON Gain from LAB: Edwards won by less than 1,000 votes. Voting for the hunting ban will finish him off.
Montgomeryshire  Lembit Opik  LIB Hold: He'll be around for a while yet.
Neath  Peter Hain  LAB Hold
Newport East  Alan Howarth  LAB Hold
Newport West  Paul Flynn  LAB Hold
Ogmore  Ray Powell  LAB Hold
Pontypridd  Kim Howells  LAB Hold
Preseli Pembrokeshire LAB Hold
Rhondda  Chris Bryant  LAB Hold: Wasn't this the guy who took a picture of himself in his underwear? It won't be enough to swing it unless there's another Tatton.
Swansea East  LAB Hold
Swansea West  Alan Williams  LAB Hold
Torfaen  Paul Murphy  LAB Hold
Vale of Clwyd  Chris Ruane  LAB Hold
Vale of Glamorgan  John Smith  LAB Hold
Wrexham  Ian Lucas  LAB Hold
Ynys Mon  Albert Owen  PC Gain from LAB: Tories 3rd place here, LD's 4th.

[Silent Hunter]

East Midlands

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Amber Valley  Judy Mallaber  LAB Hold
Ashfield  Geoff Hoon  LAB Hold: An anti-Iraq backlash, but still safe. I don't expect he'll stay on as Defence Secretary though.
Bassetlaw  John Mann  LAB Hold
Blaby  Andrew Robathan  CON Hold
Bolsover  Dennis Skinner  LAB Hold: Is Skinner retiring? Even if he is (and he'll be sorely missed), this is an ex-mining area and is safe Labour.
Bosworth  David Tredinnick  CON Hold
Broxtowe  Nick Palmer  LAB Hold
Charnwood  Stephen Dorrell  CON Hold
Chesterfield  Paul Holmes  LIB Hold
Derby North  Bob Laxton  LAB Hold
Derby South  Margaret Beckett  LAB Hold: Don't bother betting against her.
Derbyshire North East  Harry Barnes  LAB Hold: Him of the anti-STW anti-war crowd. A lock.
Derbyshire South  Mark Todd  LAB Hold
Derbyshire West  Patrick McLoughlin  CON Hold
Erewash  Liz Blackman  LAB Hold
Gedling  Vernon Coaker  LAB Hold
Harborough  Edward Garnier  CON Hold
High Peak  Tom Levitt  LAB Hold
Leicester East  Keith Vaz  LAB Hold
Leicester South  Parmjit Singh Gill LAB gain from LD: He's an ethnic minority candidate in an ethnic minority area, but the protest vote won't be as noticeable. Respect will save their deposit, the Tories will 3rd place and there almost certainly will be a recount.
Leicester West  Patrica Hewitt  LAB Hold: She's in the Cabinet. She'll stay in and is tipped for Defence.
Leicestershire North West  David Taylor  LAB Hold
Loughborough  Andy Reed  LAB Hold
Mansfield  Alan Meale  LAB Hold
Newark  Patrick Mercer  CON Hold
Nottingham East  John Heppell  LAB Hold
Nottingham North  Graham Allen  LAB Hold
Nottingham South  Alan Simpson  LAB Hold
Nuneaton  Bill Olner  LAB Hold
Rugby and Kenilworth  Andy King  LAB Hold
Rushcliffe  Kenneth Clarke  CON Hold
Rutland and Melton  Alan Duncan  CON Hold
Sherwood  Paddy Tipping  LAB Hold
Stratford-on-Avon  John Maples  CON Hold
Warwick and Leamington  James Plaskitt  LAB Hold
Warwickshire North  Mike O'Brien  LAB Hold

[Silent Hunter]

West Midlands

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Aldridge-Brownhills  Richard Shepherd  CON Hold
Birmingham Edgbaston  Gisela Stuart  LAB Hold
Birmingham Erdington  Sion Simon  LAB Hold
Birmingham Hall Green  Stephen McCabe  LAB Hold
Birmingham Hodge Hill Liam Byrne LAB Hold: He'll retain his seat.
Birmingham Ladywood  Clare Short  LAB Hold: She's going to clear 55%. Iraq would have been a bonus- if she'd gone earlier.
Birmingham Northfield  Richard Burden  LAB Hold
Birmingham Perry Barr  Khalid Mahmood  LAB Hold
Birmingham Selly Oak  Lynne Jones  LAB Hold
Birmingham Sparkbrook and Small Heath  Roger Godsiff  LAB Hold
Birmingham Yardley  LD gain from LAB: Morris retiring and the council leader running give this seat to the Lib Dems.
Coventry North East  Bob Ainsworth  LAB Hold
Coventry North West  Geoffrey Robinson  LAB Hold: 'Being sent to Coventry' means to be shunned, ignored or even executed in my country. Woe betide the reporter who gets saddled with this predictable seat.
Coventry South  Jim Cunningham  LAB Hold
Dudley North  Ross Cranston  LAB Hold
Dudley South  Ian Pearson  LAB Hold
Halesowen and Rowley Regis  Sylvia Heal  LAB Hold
Meriden  Caroline Spelman  CON Hold
Solihull  John Taylor  CON Hold
Stourbridge  Debra Shipley  LAB Hold
Sutton Coldfield  Andrew Mitchell  CON Hold
Walsall North  David Winnick  LAB Hold
Walsall South  Bruce George  LAB Hold
Warley  John Spellar  LAB Hold
West Bromwich East  Tom Watson  LAB Hold: The blogging MP will carry on blogging.
West Bromwich West  Adrian Bailey  LAB Hold
Wolverhampton North East  Ken Purchase  LAB Hold
Wolverhampton South East  Dennis Turner  LAB Hold
Wolverhampton South West  Robert Marris  LAB Hold

[Silent Hunter]

Severn Valley

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Bromsgrove  Julie Kirkbride  CON Hold
Burton  Janet Dean  LAB Hold: 'Going for a Burton' was WW2 RAF slang for dying. Dean won't be doing it politically.
Cannock Chase  Tony Wright  LAB Hold
Chester, City Of  Christine Russell  LAB Hold
Congleton  Ann Winterton  CON Hold
Crewe and Nantwich  Gwyneth Dunwoody  LAB Hold
Eddisbury  Stephen O'Brien  CON Hold
Ellesmere Port and Neston  Andrew Miller  LAB Hold
Halton  Derek Twigg  LAB Hold
Hereford  Paul Keetch  LIB Hold
Leominster  Bill Wiggin  CON Hold
Lichfield  Michael Fabricant  CON Hold
Ludlow  Matthew Green  LIB Hold
Macclesfield  Nicholas Winterton  CON Hold
Newcastle-under-Lyme  Paul Farrelly  LAB Hold: Don't confuse this with the land of Geordies, even if they are electorally the same.
Redditch  Jacqui Smith  LAB Hold: She'll hold this- just.
Shrewsbury and Atcham LAB gain from LD: Marsden's defection meant nothing.
Shropshire North  Owen Paterson  CON Hold
Stafford  David Kidney  LAB Hold
Staffordshire Moorlands  Charlotte Atkins  LAB Hold
Staffordshire South  Patrick Cormack  CON Hold
Stoke-on-Trent Central  Mark Fisher  LAB Hold
Stoke-on-Trent North  Joan Walley  LAB Hold
Stoke-on-Trent South  George Stevenson  LAB Hold
Stone  William Cash  CON Hold
Tamworth  Brian Jenkins  LAB Hold
Tatton  George Osborne  CON Hold: 1997 was a carefully engineered defeat. No chance of a repeat.
Telford  David Wright  LAB Hold
Warrington North  Helen Jones  LAB Hold
Warrington South  Helen Southworth  LAB Hold
Weaver Vale  Mike Hall  LAB Hold
Worcester  Michael Foster  LAB Hold
Worcestershire Mid  Peter Luff  CON Hold
Worcestershire West  Michael Spicer  CON Hold
Wrekin, The  Peter Bradley  CON gain from LAB: The hunting ban vote will give his career one.
Wyre Forest  Richard Taylor  IND Hold: We'll still have an independent MP after the election.

[Silent Hunter]

Humberside

There's some Cabinet people down here and it's nicely balanced between the two parties.

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Barnsley Central  Eric Illsley  LAB Hold
Barnsley East and Mexborough  Jeff Ennis  LAB Hold
Barnsley West and Penistone  Michael Clapham  LAB Hold
Beverley and Holderness  James Cran  CON Hold
Boston and Skegness  Mark Simmonds  CON Hold
Brigg and Goole  Ian Cawsey  LAB Hold: It's a dock town, he's safe.
Cleethorpes  Shona McIsaac  LAB Hold
Doncaster Central  Rosie Winterton  LAB Hold
Doncaster North  Kevin Hughes  LAB Hold
Don Valley  Caroline Flint  LAB Hold
Gainsborough  Edward Leigh  CON Hold
Grantham and Stamford  Quentin Davies  CON Hold
Great Grimsby  Austin Mitchell  LAB Hold
Haltemprice and Howden  David Davis  CON Hold
Hull East  John Prescott  LAB Hold: He can't lose.
Hull North  Kevin McNamara  LAB Hold
Hull West and Hessle  Alan Johnson  LAB Hold
Lincoln  Gillian Merron  LAB Hold
Louth and Horncastle  Peter Tapsell  CON Hold
Rother Valley  Kevin Barron  LAB Hold
Rotherham  Denis MacShane  LAB Hold
Sc**nthorpe  Elliot Morley  LAB Hold
Sheffield Attercliffe  Clive Betts  LAB Hold
Sheffield Brightside  David Blunkett  LAB Hold: The civil liberties crew might go LD, but he's going to clear 60% easily.
Sheffield Central  Richard Caborn  LAB Hold
Sheffield Hallam  LIB Hold: The other blogger (Allan) is stepping down, but this is a safe seat.
Sheffield Heeley  Meg Munn  LAB Hold
Sheffield Hillsborough  Helen Jackson  LAB Hold
Sleaford and North Hykeham  Douglas Hogg  CON Hold
South Holland and The Deepings  John Hayes  CON Hold
Wentworth  John Healey  LAB Hold
Yorkshire East  Greg Knight  CON Hold