The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on.
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Author Topic: The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on.  (Read 49690 times)
cinyc
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« Reply #350 on: May 24, 2011, 08:16:05 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 24, 2011, 08:14:40 PM
Should we post results in a new thread ?

PS: Have polls already closed in NY-26 ?

Yeah - a few precincts are in.

I don't think we need a new thread for a congressional special election.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #351 on: May 24, 2011, 08:16:27 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 24, 2011, 08:14:40 PM
Should we post results in a new thread ?

PS: Have polls already closed in NY-26 ?

I don't think a new thread is warranted.
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Holmes
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« Reply #352 on: May 24, 2011, 08:17:19 PM »
Hochul really needs to improve in Niagara.
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cinyc
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« Reply #353 on: May 24, 2011, 08:18:09 PM »
3 precincts from Erie:
D    HOCHUL, KATHY COURTNEY    1,189    51%
   W    HOCHUL, KATHY COURTNEY    112    5%
        HOCHUL, KATHY COURTNEY  Totals    1,301    56%
   R    CORWIN, JANE L.    702    30%
   C    CORWIN, JANE L.    127    5%
   I    CORWIN, JANE L.    38    2%
        CORWIN, JANE L.  Totals    867    37%
   G    MURPHY, IAN L.    14    1%
   TE    DAVIS, JACK    140    6%
        Office Totals    2,322    100%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #354 on: May 24, 2011, 08:18:59 PM »
Quote from: Sam Spade on May 24, 2011, 08:16:27 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 24, 2011, 08:14:40 PM
Should we post results in a new thread ?

PS: Have polls already closed in NY-26 ?

I don't think a new thread is warranted.

mkay
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Smash255
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« Reply #355 on: May 24, 2011, 08:22:56 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on May 24, 2011, 08:17:19 PM
Hochul really needs to improve in Niagara.

Taking a look at the precincts in Niagara that are in it looks like Hochul is outperforming Obama.
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Meeker
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« Reply #356 on: May 24, 2011, 08:25:33 PM »
14/183 precincts in Erie in and Hochul leads 56-38 there. If that holds this isn't even going to be close.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #357 on: May 24, 2011, 08:27:13 PM »
A 50/50 Hochul/Corwin split in Niagara would track with a close race, maybe slightly leaning to Hochul.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #358 on: May 24, 2011, 08:27:54 PM »
Overall (87/627):

46% - 7,393 votes - Kathy Hochul (DEM)
43% - 7,004 votes - Jane Corwin (GOP)
10% - 1,644 votes - Jack Davis (TEA)
  1% -    200 votes - Ian Murphy (GRN)
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #359 on: May 24, 2011, 08:29:11 PM »
OTOH, Hochul is keeping it close in Livingston, so this may be a pretty easy win for her.
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Seattle
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« Reply #360 on: May 24, 2011, 08:29:18 PM »
32/100 in Niagra... 43-42-1-14.

and livingston has improved for Hochul as well.... I think its still too early to say, but if those Erie numbers continue to be so high..... Corwin won't have a chance.
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cinyc
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« Reply #361 on: May 24, 2011, 08:29:26 PM »
Based on BoE data, I have it at Hochul 47.6%, Corwin 42.2%, Davis 9%, Hochul leading by 1,462 votes.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #362 on: May 24, 2011, 08:30:23 PM »
Overall (115/627):

48% - 11,016 votes - Kathy Hochul (DEM)
42% -   9,495 votes - Jane Corwin (GOP)
  9% -   2,069 votes - Jack Davis (TEA)
  1% -      226 votes - Ian Murphy (GRN)
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Meeker
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« Reply #363 on: May 24, 2011, 08:31:10 PM »
Erie numbers are holding up with 22% in.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #364 on: May 24, 2011, 08:32:07 PM »
Quote from: Smash255 on May 24, 2011, 08:22:56 PM
Quote from: Holmes on May 24, 2011, 08:17:19 PM
Hochul really needs to improve in Niagara.

Taking a look at the precincts in Niagara that are in it looks like Hochul is outperforming Obama.

Where are you finding the detailed precinct results for Niagara?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #365 on: May 24, 2011, 08:32:18 PM »
Livingston is close, which is bad news for Corwin. I wonder if some of these rural ultra GOP counties are like the heavily Republican counties in Central and Western PA, all the dems come in first then the Republicans overwhelm them ending with GOP wins by 2-1 and 3-1 margins. 
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ag
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« Reply #366 on: May 24, 2011, 08:33:44 PM »
First precinct in Wyoming - Hochul 292, Corwin 302
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #367 on: May 24, 2011, 08:34:24 PM »
Wow, the Erie numbers are brutal for Corwin. Not sure how she makes up this deficit, especially if Hochul does as well in the other rural counties as she is doing in Livingston.
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cinyc
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« Reply #368 on: May 24, 2011, 08:34:57 PM »
Unless there's some real surprise in the three rural counties that I don't have data for, I don't see how anyone but Hochul wins this.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #369 on: May 24, 2011, 08:35:19 PM »
Quote from: Senator North Carolina Yankee on May 24, 2011, 08:32:18 PM
Livingston is close, which is bad news for Corwin. I wonder if some of these rural ultra GOP counties are like the heavily Republican counties in Central and Western PA, all the dems come in first then the Republicans overwhelm them ending with GOP wins by 2-1 and 3-1 margins. 

Livingston isn't an ultra GOP county though, it gave Obama 45% of the vote so these current results are consistent with what the results are showing in Monroe and Erie.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #370 on: May 24, 2011, 08:36:04 PM »
Overall (210/627):

48% - 18,022 votes - Kathy Hochul (DEM)
42% - 16,033 votes - Jane Corwin (GOP)
  9% -   3,369 votes - Jack Davis (TEA)
  1% -      408 votes - Ian Murphy (GRN)
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Holmes
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« Reply #371 on: May 24, 2011, 08:37:14 PM »
Hmm. I'm sure Democrats wish every election were a special election. At least in New York.
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Meeker
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« Reply #372 on: May 24, 2011, 08:37:45 PM »
This thing's over. There's no way Corwin can make up for the numbers in Erie.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #373 on: May 24, 2011, 08:37:58 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 24, 2011, 08:36:04 PM
Overall (210/627):

48% - 18,022 votes - Kathy Hochul (DEM)
42% - 16,033 votes - Jane Corwin (GOP)
  9% -   3,369 votes - Jack Davis (TEA)
  1% -      408 votes - Ian Murphy (GRN)
48% is what the Democrat got in 2006, a bad sign for the GOP if this holds.  
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #374 on: May 24, 2011, 08:38:10 PM »
It's over folks.
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