The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on. (user search)
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  The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on. (search mode)
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Author Topic: The NY-26 Election. Have fun but keep your shirt on.  (Read 49782 times)
ag
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« on: March 29, 2011, 05:26:56 PM »
I don't know about the Upstate, but on Long Island the two county clerks are, if not household names, still reasonably known by the populace.
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ag
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« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2011, 10:01:54 AM »
Corwin should win, but a lot depends on who turns out.
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ag
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« Reply #2 on: May 24, 2011, 02:06:59 PM »
Quote from: Meeker on May 24, 2011, 10:29:39 AM
Democrats have a very, very good track record with special elections (especially in New York) so I'm not really sure where all the pessimism is coming from.

This is the one district in the entire state that has been drawn to be a hardcore conservative Republican district (arguably NY-13 is Republican because of Republicans´s secondary role as the Staten Island National Party and NY-3 is merely "Long Island Republican" and not overly conservative).
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ag
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« Reply #3 on: May 24, 2011, 08:33:44 PM »
First precinct in Wyoming - Hochul 292, Corwin 302
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ag
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« Reply #4 on: May 24, 2011, 08:43:24 PM »
W/ 5/19 election districts reporting in Wyoming its Corwin 869, Hochul 703 - clearly, noth enough for Corwin.
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ag
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« Reply #5 on: May 24, 2011, 08:47:30 PM »
Hochul has opened a 450 vote lead in Niagara: 5304 Hochul, 4846 Corwin
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ag
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« Reply #6 on: May 24, 2011, 08:56:20 PM »
Niagara is giving Hochul more and more of a lead:

6095 Hochul
5378 Corwin
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ag
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« Reply #7 on: May 24, 2011, 08:57:50 PM »
Wyoming

Hochul 1274
Corwing 1753
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ag
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« Reply #8 on: May 24, 2011, 08:59:02 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 24, 2011, 08:57:26 PM
Is it possible that she gets close to 50% after all ?

Not likely. A lot of rural areas still outstanding nad Davis is taking his share. Still, even if she stays at 47% or 48% it would be hard to argue it's all Davis's fault.
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ag
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« Reply #9 on: May 24, 2011, 09:13:01 PM »
Niagara isn't going to be close at all - it's well over a 1000 vote lead for Hochul at this point. But where are Orleans and Geneese? I know, nobody cares anymore, but I do Smiley)
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ag
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« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2011, 09:14:43 PM »
Orleans just came in in full:

1393 Hochul (40%)
1626 Corwin (47%)
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ag
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« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2011, 09:29:18 PM »
Niagara complete

Hochul 8550
Corwin 7114
Davis 2267
Murphy 167
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ag
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2011, 10:28:03 PM »
Quote from: Mississippi Political Freak on May 24, 2011, 10:24:42 PM
Quote from: ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ on May 24, 2011, 10:18:08 PM
Wow, this is big. This was one of only 2 districts in the state that Democrats hadn't manage to win yet.

So what's the other one?  Thanks!

The only district that hasn't been democratic at least briefly since 2005 is NY-3 (King). There are still 6 other Republicans who won in 2010, of course.  The seniority of NY Republican delegation is rather underwhelming Smiley))
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ag
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« Reply #13 on: May 24, 2011, 10:52:54 PM »
Most of Genesee is in - Corwin gained a net of about 400 votes.
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