Irish Election Results Thread

[Filuwaúrdjan]

And here it is!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

50% tally in Kerry South... Fleming Ind 18.7 Gleeson SKIA 13.5 Griffen FG 10.1 Healy Rae Ind 15.3 Molony Lab 12.6 ODonoghue FF 12.6 Sheahan FG 15.7

[Filuwaúrdjan]

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[minionofmidas]

Meath West: Christian Solidarity Party's Manus McMeanmain says he's very unhappy that his party logo wasn't on the ballot paper and was instead represented by an image that he claims looks like a picture of nuts.

[minionofmidas]

What's the difference between the "final tallies" in the results livetracker and "first counts" which we are said not to have yet?

[Antonio the Sixth]

What's the difference between the "final tallies" in the results livetracker and "first counts" which we are said not to have yet?

Can you give a link of the tracker please ?

[minionofmidas]

http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0226/election_count_live_saturday.html

[Filuwaúrdjan]

What's the difference between the "final tallies" in the results livetracker and "first counts" which we are said not to have yet?

Tallies are estimates, not official counts IIRC. Tend to be very accurate though.

[Antonio the Sixth]

http://www.rte.ie/news/2011/0226/election_count_live_saturday.html

Thanks.

[minionofmidas]

I may have noticed this before and then forgotten, but I have always mispronounced Finnafoal. I always called them Finnafile.

[Antonio the Sixth]

I've not found any exit polls/projecitons in that site...

[Hash]

The exit poll is: FG 36.1, LAB 20.5, FF 15.1, SF 10.1, GRN 2.7, IND/OTHER 15.5

[Antonio the Sixth]

The exit poll is: FG 36.1, LAB 20.5, FF 15.1, SF 10.1, GRN 2.7, IND/OTHER 15.5

Oh, so no new ones have come since ?

[Hash]

The exit poll is: FG 36.1, LAB 20.5, FF 15.1, SF 10.1, GRN 2.7, IND/OTHER 15.5

Oh, so no new ones have come since ?

Nothing's changed for a while now. Seems like they're all counting and we need to wait until somebody publishes final first prefs.

[Antonio the Sixth]

The exit poll is: FG 36.1, LAB 20.5, FF 15.1, SF 10.1, GRN 2.7, IND/OTHER 15.5

Oh, so no new ones have come since ?

Nothing's changed for a while now. Seems like they're all counting and we need to wait until somebody publishes final first prefs.

Damn... I read prior in this thread that the counts would be long, but I hope we will have a more precise idea of how things are going before tomorrow...

[Hash]

Labour 1 seat in Dublin W.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

DUBLIN WEST [4]
First Preferences
Joan Burton  Lab  9627
Leo Varadkar  FG  8359
Joe Higgins  Soc  8084
Brian Lenihan  FF  6421
Keiran Dennison  FG  3190
Patrick Nulty  Lab  2686
Paul Donnelly  SF  2597
David McGuinness  FF  623
Roderic O'Gorman  Grn  605
Clement Esebamen  Ind  280

Quota is 8495.  Next stage will be transfer of Burton's surplus votes.

Shares are Lab 29 FG 27.2 Soc 19.0 FF 16.6.

[Hash]

Dublin West count
Burton (Lab) 22.7% elected
Varadkar (FG) 19.7%
Higgins (SP) 19%
Lenihan (FF) 15.1%
Dennison (FG) 7.5%
Nulty (Lab) 6.3%
Donnelly (SF) 6.1%

So: LAB 29, FG 27.2, FF 16.6, SF 6.1, GRN 1.4, OTH 19. Turnout up a bunch to 82.3%. FF vote collapses 21.5%

[Verily]

Full Dublin West first preferences:

Burton (Lab) - 9627 (22.7%) Elected
Varadkar (FG) - 8359 (19.7%)
Higgins (Soc) - 8084 (19.0%)
Lenihan (FF) - 6421 (15.1%)
Denison (FG) - 3190 (7.5%)
Nulty (Lab) - 2686 (6.3%)
Donnelly (SF) - 2597 (6.1%)
McGuinness (FF) - 623 (1.5%)
O'Gorman (Grn) - 605 (1.4%)
Esebamen (Ind) - 280 (0.7%)

Look like 1 Lab, 1 FG, 1 Soc, 1 FF unless anti-FF transfers are very, very strong, in which case the last seat could go to FG or Lab.

[Hash]

Dublin MW overall: FG 30.9, LAB 30.8, SF 11.8, FF 11.8, GRN 3.5, OTH 8.9.

2 Lab, 2 FG?

[Verily]

Definitely 2 Lab, 2 FG in Dublin Mid-West. The second Lab candidate is not all that far ahead of the FF and SF candidates (who are almost exactly tied), but there are more transfers in the bucket for Lab than for FF or for SF--unless FF and SF transfer strongly to one another, which seems unlikely to me.

[Chancellor of the Duchy of Little Lever and Darcy Lever]

DUBLIN MID-WEST [4]
First Preferences
Joanna Tuffy  Lab  7495
Frances Fitzgerald  FG  7281
Derek Keating  FG  5933
Robert Dowds  Lab  5643
Eoin O Broin  SF  5060
John Curran  FF  5043
Gino Kenny  PBP  2471
Paul Gogarty  Grn  1484
Michael Finnegan  WP  694
Rob Connolly  Soc  622
Michael Ryan  Ind  375
Jim McHale  Ind  255
Colm McGrath  Ind  253
Niall Smith  Ind  113

Quota is 8545.  Next stage: eliminate Niall Smith.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Definitely 2 Lab, 2 FG in Dublin Mid-West. The second Lab candidate is not all that far ahead of the FF and SF candidates (who are almost exactly tied), but there are more transfers in the bucket for Lab than for FF or for SF--unless FF and SF transfer strongly to one another, which seems unlikely to me.

A large part of the remaining transfers will come from the far left so I wouldn´t rule out an SF seat yet. Alot might depend on where FF transfers go and in reality, nobody really has a clue where those will go. Also LOL@Gogarty.

[Јas]

Definitely 2 Lab, 2 FG in Dublin Mid-West. The second Lab candidate is not all that far ahead of the FF and SF candidates (who are almost exactly tied), but there are more transfers in the bucket for Lab than for FF or for SF--unless FF and SF transfer strongly to one another, which seems unlikely to me.

A large part of the remaining transfers will come from the far left so I wouldn´t rule out an SF seat yet. Alot might depend on where FF transfers go and in reality, nobody really has a clue where those will go. Also LOL@Gogarty.

Yeah, Gogarty's vote imploded.

FF's transfers will decide this. One presumes they'll favour Labour over SF.

[Verily]

Longford-Westmeath first count

Willie Penrose (Lab) 19.9%
James Bannon (FG) 15.9%
Peter Burke (FG) 11.6%
Nicky McFadden (FG) 10.8%
Paul Hogan (SF) 7.5%
Robert Troy (FF) 7.3%
Mae Sexton (Lab) 6.8%
Peter Kelly (FF) 6.7%
Mary O'Rourke (FF) 5.4%
Siobhan Kinahan (Grn) 0.5%
Others 7.7%

Could be 3 FG, 1 Lab. FF also in contention for the last seat, though, especially if most of Mae Sexton's vote is ex-PD like she is.